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Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people

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Background

Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) is a multidimensional interdisciplinary diagnostic process focused on determining an older person's medical, psychological and functional capability in order to develop a co‐ordinated and integrated care plan. CGA is not limited simply to assessment, but also directs a holistic management plan for older people, which leads to tangible interventions.

While there is established evidence that CGA reduces the likelihood of death and disability in acutely unwell older people, the effectiveness of CGA for community‐dwelling, frail, older people at risk of poor health outcomes is less clear.

Objectives

To determine the effectiveness of CGA for community‐dwelling, frail, older adults at risk of poor health outcomes in terms of mortality, nursing home admission, hospital admission, emergency department visits, serious adverse events, functional status, quality of life and resource use, when compared to usual care.

Search methods

We searched CENTRAL, MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, three trials registers (WHO ICTRP, ClinicalTrials.gov and McMaster Aging Portal) and grey literature up to April 2020; we also checked reference lists and contacted study authors.

Selection criteria

We included randomised trials that compared CGA for community‐dwelling, frail, older people at risk of poor healthcare outcomes to usual care in the community.

Older people were defined as 'at risk' either by being frail or having another risk factor associated with poor health outcomes.

Frailty was defined as a vulnerability to sudden health state changes triggered by relatively minor stressor events, placing the individual at risk of poor health outcomes, and was measured using objective screening tools.

Primary outcomes of interest were death, nursing home admission, unplanned hospital admission, emergency department visits and serious adverse events.

CGA was delivered by a team with specific gerontological training/expertise in the participant's home (domiciliary Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (dCGA)) or other sites such as a general practice or community clinic (community Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (cCGA)).

Data collection and analysis

Two review authors independently extracted study characteristics (methods, participants, intervention, outcomes, notes) using standardised data collection forms adapted from the Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care (EPOC) data collection form.

Two review authors independently assessed the risk of bias for each included study and used the GRADE approach to assess the certainty of evidence for outcomes of interest.

Main results

We included 21 studies involving 7893 participants across 10 countries and four continents.

Regarding selection bias, 12/21 studies used random sequence generation, while 9/21 used allocation concealment. In terms of performance bias, none of the studies were able to blind participants and personnel due to the nature of the intervention, while 14/21 had a blinded outcome assessment. Eighteen studies were at low risk of attrition bias, and risk of reporting bias was low in 7/21 studies. Fourteen studies were at low risk of bias in terms of differences of baseline characteristics. Three studies were at low risk of bias across all domains (accepting that it was not possible to blind participants and personnel to the intervention).

CGA probably leads to little or no difference in mortality during a median follow‐up of 12 months (risk ratio (RR) 0.88, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76 to 1.02; 18 studies, 7151 participants (adjusted for clustering); moderate‐certainty evidence).

CGA results in little or no difference in nursing home admissions during a median follow‐up of 12 months (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.14; 13 studies, 4206 participants (adjusted for clustering); high‐certainty evidence).

CGA may decrease the risk of unplanned hospital admissions during a median follow‐up of 14 months (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.99; 6 studies, 1716 participants (adjusted for clustering); low‐certainty evidence).

The effect of CGA on emergency department visits is uncertain and evidence was very low certainty (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.26 to 1.59; 3 studies, 873 participants (adjusted for clustering)).

Only two studies (1380 participants; adjusted for clustering) reported serious adverse events (falls) with no impact on the risk; however, evidence was very low certainty (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.58 to 1.17).

Authors' conclusions

CGA had no impact on death or nursing home admission.

There is low‐certainty evidence that community‐dwelling, frail, older people who undergo CGA may have a reduced risk of unplanned hospital admission.

Further studies examining the effect of CGA on emergency department visits and change in function and quality of life using standardised assessments are required.

PICOs

Population
Intervention
Comparison
Outcome

The PICO model is widely used and taught in evidence-based health care as a strategy for formulating questions and search strategies and for characterizing clinical studies or meta-analyses. PICO stands for four different potential components of a clinical question: Patient, Population or Problem; Intervention; Comparison; Outcome.

See more on using PICO in the Cochrane Handbook.

Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment for older people in the community at risk of poor health outcomes

With increased life expectancy worldwide, there is an urgent need to explore different ways to deliver appropriate healthcare to older people who require it in the most appropriate setting. More older people are now living with frailty, a clinical syndrome characterised by vulnerability to adverse health outcomes including early death, nursing home admission or loss of independence.

We wanted to find out if organised and co‐ordinated care delivered by healthcare professionals such as doctors, nurses or therapists with expertise in caring for frail, older people (known as Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment, or CGA) increased the chances that they would be alive and still living in the community (rather than in a nursing home) when compared to the usual care community‐dwelling, frail, older people receive. We also wanted to find out if CGA reduced the likelihood of admission to hospital or visiting the emergency department and the effect CGA might have on an older person's level of functioning and quality of life.

CGA took place in the older person's own home or another setting in the community, and was delivered by a healthcare team with expertise in medical care of older people. We looked for studies comparing care based on CGA to the usual medical care older people receive in the community.

Review authors found 21 relevant studies giving information on 7893 frail, older people across 10 countries and four continents. The review shows that older people who underwent CGA rather than usual medical care did not have a significantly lower risk of death overall.

While the chances of being admitted to a nursing home did not appear to change, there is low‐quality evidence showing there may be a lower risk of being admitted to hospital in people who received CGA.

While CGA did not appear to affect the need to visit the emergency department or of falls, there were insufficient studies looking at these for us to draw any conclusions.

We searched for studies up to April 2020.

Authors' conclusions

Implications for practice

With increased longevity worldwide, there is an urgent need to explore different ways to deliver age‐attuned health care to frail, older patients who require it in the most appropriate setting. Traditionally gerontological expertise could only be accessed via the acute hospital and, while there is already strong evidence for Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) in the acute setting, this review examines CGA underpinned by gerontological expertise for community‐dwelling, frail, older people at risk of poor health outcomes.

Best practice guidelines for the management of frailty recommend a holistic medical review based on the principles of CGA (Turner 2014), the findings from this review provide low‐certainty evidence to support these guidelines in terms of prevention of unplanned hospital admission. Promotion of training and development of healthcare workers with gerontological expertise is crucial in order to meet this need, particularly when we consider, for example, that despite increased longevity, the geriatric workforce in the US actually decreased between 2000 and 2010 (Lester 2019), or that South Africa has just one geriatrician per 275,000 older people (Cassim 2017).

The cost of CGA compared with usual care is uncertain. 

Implications for research

There is low‐certainty evidence that CGA for frail, community‐dwelling, older people may reduce the risk of hospital admission. It is important to clarify the impact of community CGA on functional status, as the aim of any such intervention is to prolong life while also maintaining functional independence. Unfortunately, evidence related to functional status and quality of life is currently not robust and further randomised trials examining the effect of CGA in the community on functional trajectory using standardised assessments would be very welcome.

Further work is also required to clarify the most appropriate setting for CGA in the community and to investigate the differences between domiciliary and non‐domiciliary‐based care.

Given the significant potential costs in applying the CGA intervention, additional well‐designed cost‐analysis studies are required to reliably clarify the cost:benefit ratio of CGA in the community.

Future iterations of this review may consider examining specific components of the CGA intervention, as there may be an opportunity to dissect out which components are associated with positive outcomes, as well as examining the satisfaction/experience of older people who undergo CGA compared to usual care.

Summary of findings

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Summary of findings 1. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment compared with usual care for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people

CGA compared with usual care for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people

Patient or population: older people at risk of poor health outcomes

Settings: either the participant's own home or other community setting

Intervention: CGA

Comparison: usual care

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Control

Intervention

Death

Median follow‐up 12 months

94 per 1000

83 per 1000

(71 to 96)

RR 0.88

(0.76 to 1.02)

7151 (18)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

7232 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Nursing home admission

Median follow‐up 12 months

94 per 1000

84 per 1000

(71 to 107)

 

RR 0.93

(0.76 to 1.14)

4206 (13)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
High

4218 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Unplanned hospital admission

Median follow‐up 14 months

477 per 1000

388 per 1000
(334 to 472)

 

RR 0.83

(0.70 to 0.99)

1716 (6)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowb

1905 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Emergency department visits

Median follow‐up 24 months

139 per 1000

114 per 1000
(36 to 221)

RR 0.65

(0.26 to 1.59)

873 (3)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowc

1043 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Serious adverse events (falls)

Median follow‐up 16.5 months

291 per 1000

241 per 1000
(169 to 340)

RR 0.82

(0.58 to 1.17)

1380 (2)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowd

1412 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

Number of participants after adjustment for clustering.
CGA: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment; CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aConsidered moderate‐certainty evidence due to possible imprecision.
bConsidered low‐certainty evidence as subgroup analysis was significant only in studies at high risk of bias and with high degree of heterogeneity. Five studies included unplanned admission as an outcome but did not present data sufficiently for extraction; however, the data reported in these studies generally favoured the intervention, so certainty was not downgraded based on publication bias.
cConsidered very low‐certainty evidence due to limitations of available studies with only three studies involving 13% of total participants identified in the review; high degree of heterogeneity and imprecision with low numbers of total events.
dConsidered very low‐certainty evidence due to limitations of available studies with only two studies identified involving less than 10% of total participants; high degree of heterogeneity and significant risk of publication bias.

Background

The 20th century has seen an unprecedented gain of 30 years' life expectancy for European and North American older people (Christensen 2009), and is mirrored by rapid population ageing in low‐ and middle‐income countries (Smith 2003). This increased longevity is one of the greatest achievements of modern times, but it also poses significant challenges for provision of appropriate health care in a suitable environment to greater numbers of older people. High‐income nations are now spending an increasing amount of gross domestic product (GDP) on health care (McCarthy 2015). As life expectancy increases, an age‐attuned approach to healthcare is becoming increasingly relevant to primary (care in the community) and secondary (specialist care including rehabilitation and social care) care (O'Neill 2011).

Description of the condition

The population of interest was community‐dwelling, frail, older people at risk of early mortality, admission to a nursing home, hospital admission or functional decline.

About 4% to 6% of older people in Europe live in nursing homes (Martin 2021ONS 2021Rolland 2011), while nine million people lived in nursing homes in the US alone in 2013 and 2014 (Harris‐Kojetin 2016). The numbers of people requiring nursing home care will increase markedly in the coming years, with projections suggesting that admissions to nursing homes will rise by 127% in Germany and 111% in the UK between the years 2000 and 2050 (Comas‐Herrera 2003). Therefore, healthcare strategies for older people that are aimed at preventing disability and morbidity and averting the need for nursing home admission are crucial (Colón‐Emeric 2014).

While most older people live independent healthy lives, longevity also brings an increased risk of adverse outcomes. Therefore, we restricted this systematic review to people who were community‐dwelling and aged 65 years or more at the time of the study.

We used frailty, a common clinical syndrome in older adults, which is characterised by decline in several physiological systems and collectively results in a vulnerability to sudden health state changes triggered by relatively minor stressor events (Clegg 2011), to define those 'at risk' of adverse outcomes.

Description of the intervention

Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment (CGA) is one of the pillars of age‐attuned care. It is defined as a "multidimensional interdisciplinary diagnostic process focused on determining a frail older person's medical, psychological and functional capability in order to develop a coordinated and integrated plan for treatment and long term follow up" (Ellis 2017). Thus, CGA is not limited simply to assessment, but also directs a holistic management plan for older people, which leads to tangible interventions.

These interventions are tailored to the specific needs of the person and can involve the full spectrum of the multidisciplinary team, including specialist nurses, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, speech and language therapy, psychology and social work.

How the intervention might work

There is established evidence from a previous Cochrane Review that, when delivered to acutely unwell older people, CGA reduces the likelihood of subsequent death and disability (Ellis 2017). However, the setting in which CGA was delivered and acted upon is also key, with benefits seen only on wards specialising in the care of older people (Ellis 2017). Delivery of CGA by a healthcare professional with expertise in geriatric medicine is now considered central to acute in‐hospital care of the older person (Scanlan 2005).

However, while care of the older person already comprises a large proportion of acute hospital activity, further future demographic shifts dictate that community‐based interventions that reduce the need for hospitalisation will be increasingly important. Additionally, when older people present to the acute hospital, they have often already reached a point of significant functional decline (Isaia 2010). They also more commonly present with an exacerbation of a pre‐existing chronic disease than with a de novo illness (Martin 2004), so targeted intervention at an earlier stage in disease trajectory could positively impact on this acquired disability, as well as reduce healthcare utilisation in tertiary facilities.

Acute hospital settings, while often helpful and necessary, are not often the best settings to care for vulnerable older people. Hospital admission is associated with delirium (Ryan 2013), increased risk of falls (Rapp 2016), cognitive and functional decline (Mathews 2014), independent of acute illness severity. While a previous Cochrane Review demonstrated the significant impact of CGA once the older person is hospitalised (Ellis 2017), community‐based CGA could impact significantly on healthcare delivery by averting acute hospital admissions, as well as giving older people access to timely specialist assessment in order to reduce the risk of functional decline and optimise medical care prior to the onset of acute illness. There is growing evidence for the effectiveness of community‐based models of care for frail, older people (Shepperd 2021).

There is also a likely benefit to be gleaned by seeing the older person in their own home, where one can readily assess how they interact with their own usual environment and issues, such as environmental hazards or falls risks, are more likely to be highlighted to the healthcare provider (Sahlen 2008). It also facilitates specialist review for frail, older people with significant disability who would otherwise be unable to attend outpatient clinic appointments.

However, CGA is a finite resource and particularly when delivered in a community setting will need to be targeted at appropriate cohorts of patients in order for it to be practical and feasible. Identification of older people who would derive most benefit from such an intervention is therefore crucial. CGA may be particularly beneficial in older people with frailty, given their increased risk of poor health outcomes (Romero‐Ortuno 2015).

Why it is important to do this review

Demonstration of the benefits of a structured intervention targeted at older people prior to hospitalisation would be extremely valuable and would have significant impact on the organisation of medical services for older adults. While there is some evidence to date that community‐based interventions targeted at older people are beneficial, as yet there has been no comprehensive review in this area (Beswick 2008Ploeg 2005). Thus, the aim of this Cochrane Review was to establish whether CGA, delivered in a community setting and at an earlier stage than at the point of admission to the acute hospital, would impact positively on healthcare utilisation, nursing home admission and mortality longitudinally in older people at risk of functional decline.

Policymakers may be concerned about the cost involved in provision of CGA to a wide population of community‐dwelling, older people. While initial evidence suggests that targeted interventions such as this are cost‐effective (Counsell 2007), it is important to test this in a systematic review.

Objectives

To determine the effectiveness of CGA for community‐dwelling, frail, older adults at risk of poor health outcomes in terms of mortality, nursing home admission, hospital admission, emergency department visits, serious adverse events, functional status, quality of life and resource use, when compared to usual care.

Methods

Criteria for considering studies for this review

Types of studies

We included individual and clustered randomised trials that compared intervention to usual care.

We included full‐text studies, conference abstracts and unpublished data. The minimum follow‐up period for included studies was six months, as this is the minimum amount of time until impact on outcomes such as nursing home admission should be assessed.

We excluded the following types of studies.

  • Studies that focused solely on a single particular disease or syndrome (e.g. heart failure, falls, stroke).

  • Studies of interventions after discharge from hospital.

  • Studies designed to test hospital avoidance in exacerbations of chronic conditions.

  • Studies involving participants who were not community‐dwelling.

Types of participants

We included participants aged 65 years or older (or 55 years or older if the mean age of study participants was over 70 years) who satisfied each of the following criteria.

  • Community dwelling.

  • Not acutely unwell (i.e. not currently an inpatient in an acute hospital and not presenting to an emergency department or general practitioner (GP) for unscheduled care).

  • Identified as at risk of nursing home admission or defined as frail.

Community dwelling was defined as living outside an environment where 24‐hour nursing care was provided onsite. This encompassed participants living in their own home (with or without assistance), in a relative's home, or in a retirement village or sheltered accommodation but excluded participants living in nursing or care homes or full‐time residential care.

Frailty is defined as a vulnerability to sudden health state changes triggered by relatively minor stressor events (Clegg 2011), and was measured by an objective scale/screening tool in included studies.

Types of interventions

We included trials that compared CGA meeting the following criteria with usual care.

  • Delivered by a healthcare professional with gerontological expertise. This included a geriatrician, specialist nurse or therapist with gerontological expertise and must have been explicitly stated in the study methodology.

  • Used to inform a holistic care plan.

  • A single assessment or multiple visits.

  • Delivered in a community setting (i.e. participant's home, general practice, community‐based clinic, etc.).

Traditionally CGA requires a minimum number of disciplines to be involved within the team (Ellis 2017). Given the community‐based nature of the intervention involved in this Cochrane Review, one healthcare professional with an expertise in geriatric medicine, and, therefore, multidisciplinary work and links, was considered sufficient.

CGA was either provided in the participant's own home (i.e. dCGA) or in a community setting other than the participant's home (i.e. cCGA).

Usual care was defined as the current standard care received by frail, older people where the study is carried out. This generally involved usual care by the GP or family doctor in the community, with CGA provided only when the older person was admitted to the acute hospital or when they were referred by their GP to a geriatric medicine clinic with issues such as functional decline, cognitive decline, falls, etc.

Types of outcome measures

Primary outcomes

  • Death.

  • Nursing home admission (i.e. new admission to full‐time residential care during study follow‐up period).

  • Unplanned hospital admission.

  • Emergency department visits.

  • Serious adverse events.

Secondary outcomes

  • Change in function.

  • Quality of life (QoL).

  • Resource use.

For the outcomes change in function and QoL, investigators used different scales to assess the same outcomes across studies. When this was the case, we reached a consensus decision whether it was feasible to pool results, based on the characteristics of the outcome, as well as the tool used to measure it.

Search methods for identification of studies

Electronic searches

The Information Specialist of the Cochrane EPOC Group developed the search strategies in consultation with the review authors. We searched the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews (CDSR) and the Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE) for related systematic reviews.

We searched the following databases (from inception) for primary studies on 28 April 2020.

  • Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL; 2020, Issue 4) in the Cochrane Library.

  • MEDLINE, Ovid (including Epub ahead of print, in‐process and other non‐indexed citations, 1946 onwards).

  • Embase, Ovid (1974 onwards).

  • CINAHL, EBSCO (Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature; 1980 onwards).

Search strategies comprised natural language and controlled vocabulary terms. We applied no language limits. We used a study design filter to identify randomised trials. All strategies used are provided in Appendix 1.

Searching other resources

Trial registries

Grey literature

We conducted a grey literature search of the following sources to identify studies not indexed in the databases listed above.

We also reviewed reference lists of all included studies and relevant systematic reviews for additional potentially eligible primary studies; contacted authors of included studies and reviews to clarify reported published information and seek unpublished results/data; contacted researchers with expertise relevant to the review topic/EPOC interventions; conducted cited reference searches for all included studies in the Science Citation Index (Clarivate Analytics; searched for references citing 17 included studies on 29 April 2020 – see details in Appendix 1); and screened individual journals and conference proceedings (e.g. handsearch).

Data collection and analysis

Selection of studies

We downloaded all titles and abstracts retrieved by electronic searching to a reference management database and removed duplicates. Two review authors (RB and AM) independently screened titles and abstracts for inclusion. We retrieved the full‐text study reports/publications. Two review authors (RB and AM) independently screened the full texts and identified studies for inclusion, and identified and recorded reasons for exclusion of the ineligible studies. We resolved any disagreements through discussion or, if required, consulted a third review author (DR). We listed any studies that initially appeared to meet the inclusion criteria but that we later excluded, and their reasons for exclusion, in the Characteristics of excluded studies table. We collated multiple reports of the same study, so that each study rather than each report, was the unit of interest in the review. We also provided any information we could obtain about ongoing studies. We recorded the selection process in sufficient detail to complete a PRISMA flow diagram (Liberati 2009), and Characteristics of included studies table.

Data extraction and management

We used a standard data collection form adapted from the EPOC data collection form, described in the EPOC‐specific resources for review authors (EPOC 2013), for study characteristics and outcome data. Two review authors (RB and AM) independently extracted the following study characteristics from the included studies.

  • Methods: year, location, study personnel.

  • Participants: number, mean age, sex, inclusion and exclusion criteria.

  • Interventions: description of interventions.

  • Outcomes: main and other outcomes specified and collected, time points reported.

  • Notes: funding for trial, notable conflicts of interest of trial authors, ethical approval.

Two review authors (RB and AM) independently extracted outcome data from included studies. If an included study reported outcome data in an unusable way, we noted this in the Characteristics of included studies table. We resolved disagreements in extracted data by consensus or by involving a third review author (DR) according to the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Section 7.6.5; Higgins 2011a).

RB and AM repeated data extraction and reconciliation for all studies during peer review.

Assessment of risk of bias in included studies

Two review authors (RB and AM) independently assessed the risk of bias for each included study using the criteria outlined in the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011b). We resolved any disagreements by discussion or by involving a third review author (DR). We assessed the risk of bias according to the following domains.

  • Random sequence generation.

  • Allocation concealment.

  • Blinding of participants and personnel.

  • Blinding of outcome assessment.

  • Incomplete outcome data.

  • Selective outcome reporting.

  • Baseline characteristics.

  • Other bias.

We judged each potential source of bias as high, low or unclear and provided a quote from the study report, together with a justification for our judgement, in the risk of bias table. We summarised the risk of bias judgements across different studies for each of the domains listed. We considered blinding separately for different key outcomes where necessary. We did not exclude studies on the basis of their risk of bias, but we clearly reported the risk of bias when presenting the results of the studies.

Studies were defined as high risk of bias based for unbalanced baseline characteristics when baseline differences were considered likely to impact on outcomes of interest, allowing for adjustments made in the study analysis.

When we considered treatment effects, we took into account the risk of bias for the studies that contributed to that outcome.

For cluster‐randomised trials, we considered the following additional factors when considering risk of bias.

  • Bias arising from the randomisation process, including bias arising from the recruitment of participants into clusters.

  • Bias due to deviation from intended intervention.

  • Bias due to missing outcome data, including loss of clusters.

  • Bias in measurement of outcome, including whether outcome assessors were aware participants were in a trial.

Assessment of bias in conducting the systematic review

We conducted the review according to the published protocol (Briggs 2017), and reported any deviations from it in the Differences between protocol and review section.

Measures of treatment effect

We estimated the effect of the intervention using the risk ratio (RR) for dichotomous data, together with the appropriate associated 95% confidence interval (CI) and mean difference (MD) or standardised mean difference (SMD) for continuous data, together with the 95% appropriate associated CI. We ensured that an increase in scores for continuous outcomes was interpreted in the same way for each outcome, explaining the direction to the reader and reporting where we reversed the directions if this was necessary. When both change scores and postintervention outcomes were available, we used postintervention outcomes as long as there was no significant difference in the continuous variable of interest at baseline.

Unit of analysis issues

We included cluster randomised trials in the review. We attempted to obtain a direct estimate of the required effect measure from the cluster randomised trials (e.g. an RR with CI) if the analysis properly accounted for the cluster design. If this was not available, we extracted the following data from cluster trials:

  • mean size of each cluster;

  • outcome data ignoring cluster design.

This was combined with an estimated intracluster correlation coefficient (ICC) from similar studies to ascertain a design effect and an effective sample size, which were then incorporated into supplementary analyses.

The ICC estimates were 0.001 for death (Kul 2014), 0.007 for nursing home admission (Buys 2013), 0.004 for unplanned hospital admission (Kul 2014), 0.003 for emergency department visits (Howard 2008), 0.007 for serious adverse events (falls) (Cumming 2008), 0.05 for change in function (Metzelthin 2013), and 0.002 for QoL (Hoogendijk 2016).

We based the methods we used to include cluster randomised trials on guidance from the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Deeks 2011).

For studies with a stepped wedge cluster design, we included participants who remained either in the control or intervention arm for 12 months. This is due to the nature of CGA, which aims to have benefits relatively far beyond the time it is applied (e.g. long‐term prevention of nursing home admission or hospital admission), as well as the outcomes of interest. Therefore, we only included participants who did not 'cross‐over' up to 12 months.

Dealing with missing data

If data were missing, we contacted the study authors to request them. If it was not possible to retrieve complete data, we reported this in the risk of bias assessment and addressed missing outcomes and summary data as a source of bias in the data analyses. We contacted study investigators to verify key study characteristics and obtain missing outcome data where possible.

If standard deviation (SD) values were missing, we used any other available information (CIs, standard errors) to derive SD values. If this information was not available, we contacted the study authors to request the missing information. If we were unable to obtain any information, we imputed the SD values using the available information.

As per the guidance in Chapter 16 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions, we assumed that missing data were missing at random (Lefebvre 2011).

Assessment of heterogeneity

We used the I² statistic to measure heterogeneity among the trials in each analysis. If we identified significant heterogeneity (i.e. I² values greater than 75%; Higgins 2003), we examined the subgroup analyses (high versus low risk of bias) to determine if this explained the heterogeneity (Deeks 2011).

Assessment of reporting biases

We assessed whether study authors published a study protocol detailing study methodology and outcomes in advance of the index study.

Data synthesis

If we found a sufficient number of studies (at least five), we conducted a meta‐analysis. We undertook meta‐analyses only where it was meaningful (i.e. if the treatments, participants and the underlying clinical question were similar enough for pooling to make sense). Where a trial reported multiple arms, we included only the relevant trial arms.

In the absence of between‐study heterogeneity (I2 = 0), we used fixed‐effect estimates; however, when I2 > 0, we used random‐effects estimates.

Subgroup analysis and investigation of heterogeneity

At the protocol stage, we had planned to perform subgroup analyses of CGA alone versus CGA with additional structured intervention, but this was not practical as all but one study (Clarkson 2006) involved structured interventions afterwards. Further, we had planned a subgroup analysis analysing single assessment versus multiple visits but again, all but one study (Clarkson 2006) involved at least one or more episodes of contact with the participant so this subgroup analysis was not conducted.

Sensitivity analysis

We applied the Cochrane RoB 1 tool (Deeks 2011), and selected the domains of allocation concealment (selection bias), incomplete outcome data (attrition bias) and blinding of outcome assessment (detection bias) as priorities for defining studies as high or low risk of bias as bias in these domains was most likely to exaggerate the effect seen in the studies. We defined 'low risk' as being at low risk of bias for at least two of the three domains, as long as the other domain was not considered at 'high risk'. We defined 'high risk' as having one or more of these domains considered at 'high risk' or having one or two of the three domains considered 'low risk'.

We performed sensitivity analysis defined a priori to assess the robustness of our conclusions and explore its impact on effect sizes. This involved restriction of the analysis to studies at low risk of bias.

We had also planned at the protocol stage to perform sensitivity analysis restricting the analysis to published studies only but this was not possible as all included studies were published. Additionally, we had planned a sensitivity analysis for imputation of missing data but no data was imputed.

Summary of findings and assessment of the certainty of the evidence

We summarised the findings of the main intervention comparison for the study outcomes (death, nursing home admission, unplanned hospital admission, emergency department visits and serious adverse events) in a summary of findings table to draw conclusions about the certainty of the evidence within the text of the review.

Two review authors independently assessed the certainty of the evidence (high, moderate, low or very low) using the five GRADE considerations (study limitations, consistency of effect, imprecision, indirectness and publication bias). We used methods and recommendations described in Section 8.5 and Chapter 12 of the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions (Higgins 2011bSchünemann 2011), and the Cochrane EPOC worksheets (EPOC 2016).

Selective reporting of outcomes is assessed at the study level as part of the assessment of risk of bias, so for the studies contributing to the outcome in the summary of findings table, this was addressed by study limitations. We used the GRADE approach for assessing the certainty of evidence (Higgins 2011c), and resolved disagreements on the assessments of the certainty of the evidence by discussion. We provided justification for our decisions to downgrade or upgrade the certainty of the evidence using footnotes in the summary of findings tables. We used plain language statements to report these findings in the review.

We considered whether there was any additional outcome information that we were unable to incorporate into the meta‐analyses. We noted this in the comments and stated if it supported or contradicted the information from the meta‐analyses. If it was not possible to meta‐analyse the data, we summarised the results in the text.

Results

Description of studies

See Characteristics of included studies and Characteristics of excluded studies tables.

Results of the search

We retrieved 5489 titles to review after removal of duplicates. We reviewed 51 full texts, and excluded 25 of these. We identified 21 relevant randomised trials (26 reports) for inclusion. See Figure 1.


Study flow diagram.

Study flow diagram.

Included studies

The 21 studies included in the review gave information on 7893 older participants across 10 countries and four continents.

Seven studies included participants based on an assessment on their frailty status (Di Pollina 2017Fairhall 2015Hoogendijk 2016Li 2010Metzelthin 2013Rockwood 2000Spoorenberg 2018).

Alternative strategies used to identify older participants at risk of poor outcomes were based on requirement for social support (Bernabei 1998Clarkson 2006Di Pollina 2017Spoorenberg 2018), aged 80 years or more (Imhof 2012), recent high level of healthcare utilisation (Counsell 2007Ekdahl 2016Engelhardt 1996Fristedt 2019Sommers 2000), low income status (Counsell 2007), projected risk of hospital or nursing home admission (Boult 2001Silverman 1995), multimorbidity (Ekdahl 2016Fristedt 2019Melis 2008Monteserin 2010Montgomery 2003Reuben 1999Sommers 2000), or functional impairment (Engelhardt 1996Reuben 1999Sommers 2000).

Fifteen studies were patient randomised, while five studies were cluster‐randomised based primarily on general practices that participants attended (Counsell 2007Di Pollina 2017Melis 2008Metzelthin 2013Spoorenberg 2018). One study employed a stepped wedge cluster design (Hoogendijk 2016).

Nine studies involved predominantly home‐based or dCGA and intervention (Clarkson 2006Di Pollina 2017Fristedt 2019Hoogendijk 2016Imhof 2012Melis 2008Metzelthin 2013Montgomery 2003Rockwood 2000), while the remaining 12 studies performed CGA in community clinics or general practice settings (i.e. cCGA) (Bernabei 1998Boult 2001Counsell 2007Ekdahl 2016Engelhardt 1996Fairhall 2015Li 2010Monteserin 2010Reuben 1999Silverman 1995Sommers 2000Spoorenberg 2018).

All studies documented funding sources. All funding sources were local or national agencies/funding bodies/grants. None of the studies were industry‐sponsored.

Excluded studies

We excluded 25 studies after full‐text review. Reasons for exclusion at this stage were lack of explicit geriatric/gerontological expertise within the healthcare team delivering CGA (Behm 2014Beland 2006Bleijenberg 2016Blom 2016Boyd 1996Dalby 2000Dolovich 2019Frese 2012Gill 2002Kono 2012Senior 2014Suijker 2016van Hout 2010), that CGA was hospital‐based (Applegate 1990), participants were recruited in hospital (Burns 2000), study sample was not defined as being at risk of outcomes such as nursing home admission or preventable death (Fabacher 1994Liimatta 2019Stuck 1995Stuck 2000), had too short a follow‐up period (less than six months) (Romskaug 2020Yu 2020), or was not a randomised trial (de Stampa 2014Engel 2016Famadas 2008Ruikes 2016).

Risk of bias in included studies

We reported risk of bias assessments of the included studies in Figure 2 and Figure 3. See also Characteristics of included studies table.


Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.


Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Allocation

Nine studies were at low risk of selection bias (Bernabei 1998Boult 2001Counsell 2007Ekdahl 2016Fristedt 2019Imhof 2012Monteserin 2010Reuben 1999Spoorenberg 2018), while four were at high risk (Di Pollina 2017Hoogendijk 2016Metzelthin 2013Sommers 2000).

For allocation concealment, we assessed nine studies at low risk of bias (Boult 2001Counsell 2007Fristedt 2019Imhof 2012Monteserin 2010Montgomery 2003Reuben 1999Rockwood 2000Spoorenberg 2018), with the remaining 12 studies at unclear risk of bias as they did not detail their methods for allocation concealment.

Blinding

All studies were at high risk of performance bias as it was not possible to blind participants or personnel to group allocation due to the nature of the intervention.

We assessed 14 studies at low risk of detection bias as the interviews were conducted by research personnel blinded to group allocation (Bernabei 1998Boult 2001Counsell 2007Ekdahl 2016Engelhardt 1996Fairhall 2015Imhof 2012Li 2010Melis 2008Metzelthin 2013Monteserin 2010Reuben 1999Rockwood 2000Spoorenberg 2018). We assessed four studies at unclear risk of detection bias as the research interviewers were not noted to be blinded but the outcomes for these studies were objective only (e.g. death, nursing home admission, etc.) (Clarkson 2006Di Pollina 2017Fristedt 2019Hoogendijk 2016). We classified three studies at high risk of detection bias as the interviewers were not blinded to group allocation (or this was not specified in the methodology of the study) and assessments carried out were subjective (e.g. cognitive or functional assessments) (Montgomery 2003Silverman 1995Sommers 2000).

Incomplete outcome data

Eighteen studies were at low risk of attrition bias with attrition data presented in the results. One study was at unclear risk of bias as attrition was not presented by study group (Rockwood 2000). We assessed two studies at high risk of attrition bias (Li 2010Silverman 1995). Almost 40% of the intervention group in Li 2010 did not complete the intervention, while attrition rates were significantly higher in the intervention group in Silverman 1995, leading to an adjustment in the recruitment schedule to allow for this.

Selective reporting

Seven studies published protocols in advance and were at low risk of reporting bias (Ekdahl 2016Fairhall 2015Fristedt 2019Hoogendijk 2016Imhof 2012Reuben 1999Spoorenberg 2018). Twelve studies did not publish protocols in advance and were at unclear risk of reporting bias (Bernabei 1998Clarkson 2006Counsell 2007Di Pollina 2017Engelhardt 1996Li 2010Melis 2008Metzelthin 2013Montgomery 2003Rockwood 2000Silverman 1995Sommers 2000). Two studies were at high risk of reporting bias (Boult 2001Monteserin 2010). Boult 2001 recorded healthcare utilisation based on mean Medicare payments only, with no specific data presented, while Monteserin 2010 did not report a composite outcome (death and nursing home admission combined) separately.

Other potential sources of bias

We assessed risk of bias due to differences in baseline characteristics of study participants. Fourteen studies were at low risk (Bernabei 1998Clarkson 2006Counsell 2007Ekdahl 2016Engelhardt 1996Fairhall 2015Imhof 2012Li 2010Melis 2008Monteserin 2010Montgomery 2003Reuben 1999Rockwood 2000Spoorenberg 2018). Four studies were at unclear risk of bias as the control group was younger than the intervention group (Di Pollina 2017), had lower prevalence of heart disease at baseline (Sommers 2000), were less likely to be cohabiting (Fristedt 2019), or had lower educational attainment (Silverman 1995). Three studies were at high risk of bias as the control group was significantly more functionally impaired than the intervention group (Boult 2001), or vice versa (Hoogendijk 2016Metzelthin 2013). 

The other bias of note that was identified for Hoogendijk 2016 was the stepped wedge cluster design of the study. The nature of CGA is such that the control arm of the study should not be exposed to the intervention at any stage during follow‐up and as a result, participants from this study were only included if they remained in the same arm of the trial for the whole study period (i.e. those that 'crossed‐over' were excluded). There were no other biases of note identified for the other included studies.

Effects of interventions

See: Summary of findings 1 Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment compared with usual care for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people

Comparison 1. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment versus usual care

This first comparison involved 21 studies with data on 7893 frail, older participants who underwent CGA either in their own home or another community‐based setting.

1.1. Death

We analysed data from 18 studies (7232 participants prior to adjustment for clustering; 7151 after adjustment) reporting death. At the end of follow‐up (median follow‐up 12 months, range 6 to 36 months), CGA probably leads to no difference in the risk of death (RR 0.88, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.02; test for overall effect: Z = 1.69 (P = 0.09); moderate‐certainty evidence; Analysis 1.1Figure 4).


Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.1 Death.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.1 Death.

In sensitivity analysis, 13 studies were at low risk of bias, while five studies were at high risk of bias. There was no evidence of a difference between these subgroups (test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.00, df = 1 (P = 0.98), I² = 0%).

1.2. Nursing home admission

By end of follow‐up (median follow‐up 12 months, range 6 to 36 months), CGA results in little or no difference in nursing home admissions (RR 0.93, 95% CI 0.76 to 1.14); test for overall effect: Z = 0.70 (P = 0.49); 13 studies, 4218 participants prior to adjustment for clustering, 4206 after adjustment; high‐certainty evidence; Analysis 1.2Figure 5).


Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.2 Nursing home admission.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.2 Nursing home admission.

Seven studies were at low risk of bias, while six were at high risk of bias. There was no evidence of a difference between these subgroups (test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.99, df = 1 (P = 0.32), I² = 0%).

1.3. Unplanned hospital admission

Six studies (1905 participants prior to adjustment for clustering, 25% of the total sample, 1716 after adjustment) provided data for the number of participants admitted unplanned to the acute hospital during follow‐up (median follow‐up 14 months, range 9 to 36 months). CGA may decrease the risk of unplanned hospital admission (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.99; low‐certainty evidence; Analysis 1.3Figure 6).


Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.3 Unplanned hospital admission.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.3 Unplanned hospital admission.

Four studies were at low risk of bias, while two studies were at high risk of bias. There was no evidence of a difference between these subgroups (test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.03, df = 1 (P = 0.86), I² = 0%).

Five further studies also presented acute hospital admission data in terms of mean hospital admissions during follow‐up, but did not report the absolute number of participants with one or more hospital admissions so could not be included in the analysis (Counsell 2007Ekdahl 2016Fristedt 2019Melis 2008Silverman 1995).

1.4. Emergency department visits

Three studies (1043 participants prior to adjustment for clustering, 18% of the total sample, 873 after adjustment) had data available for one or more emergency department visits during the study period. The effect of CGA on emergency department visits is uncertain (RR 0.65, 95% CI 0.26 to 1.59; very low‐certainty evidence; Analysis 1.4).

Three further studies also presented emergency department visit data (Counsell 2007Engelhardt 1996Fristedt 2019). Engelhardt 1996 demonstrated a lower mean number of emergency department visits in the cCGA group; Counsell 2007 found a lower cumulative emergency department visit rate in the CGA group; Fristedt 2019 found no difference between groups. None of these studies reported the absolute numbers of participants with one or more emergency department visits, however, so could not be included in the analysis.

1.5. Serious adverse events

Two studies (1412 participants prior to adjustment for clustering, 1380 after adjustment, median follow‐up 16.5 months) presented data on serious adverse events and both related to falls during follow‐up. There was no evidence of a difference between groups (RR 0.82, 95% CI 0.58 to 1.17; very low certainty evidence; Analysis 1.5). The effect of CGA on adverse events is therefore uncertain.

Two further studies reported lower rates of falls in the intervention group but did not present data sufficiently for it to be extracted for use in the meta‐analysis (Di Pollina 2017Fristedt 2019).

1.6. Change in function

We analysed data from nine studies for functional status at end of follow‐up (4037 participants prior to adjustment for clustering, 3295 after adjustment, median follow‐up 15 months, range 6 to 24 months). We included studies measuring functional status using validated scales where mean scores on the scales at end of follow‐up were published within the manuscript. We calculated SMDs to standardise the results from these studies to a uniform scale to be combined in a meta‐analysis as studies used different scales to measure functional status. Functional scales used included the Barthel Index (Sainsbury 2005) by Li 2010; Short Form – 36 Physical Functioning Score (Syddall 2009) by Counsell 2007; Sickness Impact Profile – Physical Functional Dimension (Bergner 1981) by Boult 2001; Groningen Activity Restriction Scale (Kempen 1996) by Melis 2008 and Metzelthin 2013; Medical Outcomes Study – Short Form 36 Physical Functioning Scale‐10 (Haley 1994) by Reuben 1999; the Katz Index (Shelkey 1999) by Spoorenberg 2018; and Health Assessment Questionnaire (Bruce 2005) by Sommers 2000. For the purpose of the analysis, higher scores were indicative of worse functional status. See Figure 7.


Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.6 Change in function.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.6 Change in function.

CGA did not improve functional status at end of follow‐up (SMD −0.09, 95% CI −0.24 to 0.05; test for overall effect: Z = 1.27 (P= 0.20); low‐certainty evidence; Analysis 1.6). There was significant heterogeneity (I² = 75%).

Three studies did not report SDs for mean functional outcomes and additional data were not available from the authors. For Metzelthin 2013Reuben 1999, and Sommers 2000, SDs were obtained from the standard error calculated for the difference in mean values, which was itself calculated from the 95% CIs as presented in the study. For Bernabei 1998, SDs were calculated by multiplying the square root of the number of participants in each group by the standard error. For Spoorenberg 2018, weighted means and SDs of change scores were presented for 'complex care' and 'frail' groups combined. For Counsell 2007, change scores were presented, multiplied by −1, to align with other studies where a higher score indicates worse functional status.

Sensitivity analysis demonstrated little or no difference between subgroups of studies considered low and high risk of bias (test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.71, df = 1 (P = 0.40), I² = 0%).

Five additional studies reported functional status. Data were either presented in graphical form only (Rockwood 2000) or insufficiently presented for us to extract data for use in the analysis (Engelhardt 1996Hoogendijk 2016Montgomery 2003Silverman 1995).

The effect of CGA on functional status is uncertain and certainty of evidence was low.

1.7. Quality of life

Six studies (2855 participants prior to adjustment for clustering, 2188 after adjustment) examined the effect of CGA on QoL. We included studies measuring QoL using validated scales where mean scores on the scales at end of follow‐up were published within the manuscript. We calculated SMDs to standardise the results from these studies to a uniform scale to be combined in a meta‐analysis as studies used different scales to measure QoL. QoL scales used in the studies included the EuroQual‐5D (Rabin 2001) by Fairhall 2015 and Spoorenberg 2018; Short Form – 36 Physical Component Summary (Jenkinson 1998) by Counsell 2007; Medical Outcomes Study – 20 (Carver 1999) by Melis 2008 and Reuben 1999; and Short Form‐36 Self‐Rated Health (Miller 2007) by Sommers 2000. For the purpose of the analysis, higher scores were indicative of better QoL.

CGA was associated with little change in QoL at end of follow‐up (SMD 0.10, 95% CI 0.00 to 0.21; test for overall effect: Z = 1.96 (P = 0.05); very low‐certainty evidence). There was evidence of heterogeneity (I² = 27%).

Two studies did not report SDs for mean QoL scores and additional data were unavailable from the authors. For Reuben 1999 and Sommers 2000, a standard error was calculated using the 95% CIs for the difference in change scores presented and this in turn was then used to calculate SDs. For Spoorenberg 2018, weighted means and SDs of change scores were presented for 'complex care' and 'frail' groups combined.

Sensitivity analysis demonstrated little or no difference between subgroups of studies considered low and high risk of bias (test for subgroup differences: Chi² = 0.04, df = 1 (P = 0.84); I² = 0%).

The impact of cCGA on QoL is uncertain and certainty of evidence was very low.

1.8. Resource use

Eight studies presented cost analysis data (Bernabei 1998Boult 2001Counsell 2007 (in the secondary analysis Counsell 2009); Ekdahl 2016Engelhardt 1996Fairhall 2015Hoogendijk 2016 (in the secondary analysis van Leeuwen 2015); Metzelthin 2013 (in the secondary analysis Metzelthin 2015)). As studies calculated costs differently, we did not combine results in a meta‐analysis and instead presented data in Table 1. Four of the eight studies reported lower costs in the CGA group compared to the control group (Bernabei 1998Boult 2001Engelhardt 1996Hoogendijk 2016). This appeared to be driven primarily by lower costs for inpatient hospital care which offsets the cost of the intervention, while only Metzelthin 2013 demonstrated significantly higher costs associated with the intervention group.

Open in table viewer
Table 1. Cost analysis

Study

Country

Mean costs per 12 months (SD/SE)

Comments

Control group

Intervention group 

Bernabei 1998

Italy

Mean values not presented but total per capita health care cost over 12 months for intervention group reported to be 23% less than control group.

Intervention group savings resulted mainly from substantial decreases in nursing home and hospital expenses.

Boult 2001

USA

USD 7857 (SD 12,812)

USD 7569 (SD 12,502)

Costs represent Medicare payments for health services (inpatient hospital care, physicians' care, care in outpatient facilities, nursing home care, home care, durable medical equipment and hospice care).

Counsell 2007 (reported in the secondary analysis; see Counsell 2009)

USA

USD 6654 (SD 7143)

USD 7174 (SD 7504)

Mean total costs for intervention patients were not significantly different from those for usual care patients.

Ekdahl 2016

Sweden

USD 21,875 (SD 22,113)

USD 23,968 (SD 28,520)

Costs due to in‐hospital care, operative/intensive care, visits to physicians and other staff, incidental operative costs, home care, laboratory/other investigations, pharmaceuticals, helping aids, home help, nursing home care and other healthcare costs.

Engelhardt 1996

USA

USD 3538 (SD 12,890)

USD 3147 (SD 11,678)

Costs comprised of total outpatient cost, total inpatient cost, nursing home costs and institutional costs.

Fairhall 2015

Australia

USD 23,920 (SD 40,647)

USD 25,078 (SD 38,123)

Costs comprised of hospital admission cost, primary care costs, health professional services and community services costs.

Hoogendijk 2016 (reported in the secondary analysis; see van Leeuwen 2015)

Netherlands

USD 23,318 (SE 658)

USD 20,414 (SE 816)

Costs included primary and community care, secondary care (including hospital admission) and societal care.

Metzelthin 2013 (reported in the secondary analysis; see Metzelthin 2015)

Netherlands

EUR 10,275 (SD 9446)

EUR 13,252 (SD 13,627)

Higher costs in intervention group but no benefit seen in terms of disability prevention or quality of life at end of follow‐up.

SD: standard deviation; SE: standard error.

Discussion

Summary of main results

A summary of our main findings is outlined in summary of findings Table 1.

We found that CGA for frail, older people living in the community probably leads to little or no difference in death during a median follow‐up of 12 months.

There was little or no effect of CGA on the risk of nursing home admission over a median follow‐up of 12 months.

We found that there was low‐certainty evidence that community‐dwelling, frail, older people who underwent CGA may have a reduced risk of unplanned hospital admission during a median 14‐month follow‐up (range 9 to 36 months) (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.70 to 0.99).

Analysis of the effect of CGA on emergency department visits and serious adverse events, specifically falls, was limited by a lack of available studies with only three studies reporting emergency department visits and two studies reported falls. The effect of CGA on emergency department visits and adverse events is, therefore, uncertain.

There was little effect of CGA on functional status or QoL when compared to usual care, but these analyses were also limited by low‐certainty evidence (functional status) and very low‐certainty evidence (QoL).

Reporting differences meant that we could not combine the eight studies that reported cost data into a meta‐analysis. There was low‐certainty evidence of the cost of cCGA compared with usual care (Table 1).

Overall completeness and applicability of evidence

We included studies dating from 1996 to 2020 in different healthcare systems in 10 countries across four continents. The studies identified were sufficient to analyse the primary outcomes of death, nursing home admission and unplanned hospital admission. Data on emergency department visits and adverse events were lacking.

Further, it is inevitable that practice varies from country to country in terms of assessment of frail, older adults. Therefore, we felt it was important to only include studies where CGA was underpinned by specific gerontological expertise, primarily geriatricians or geriatric nurses, in order to validate and standardise the CGA process across the studies we included and make our findings more generalisable. However, it must be noted that what constitutes 'usual care' is likely to differ across health systems, which may have an impact on generalisability.

Given that the CGA intervention reduces the risk of hospital admission (albeit based on low‐certainty evidence), one would expect a knock‐on effect on nursing home admission, but this is not seen in the review. The rates of, and reasons for, nursing home admission, an important primary outcome in this review, also vary considerably internationally however, and are intrinsically linked with other important social factors such as availability of home cares, family dynamics and viable alternatives to nursing homes.

The evidence we presented in this review is widely applicable and very relevant given changing global demographics. Currently, 962 million people worldwide are aged 60 years or over (United Nations 2017), and the estimated prevalence of frailty for community‐dwelling people in this age bracket is around 17% (Siriwardhana 2018). Frailty places these individuals at higher risk of early death, nursing home admission, hospital admission and functional decline (Dent 2019).

By 2050, it is expected that the number of people aged 60 years or more will reach nearly 2.1 billion (United Nations 2017). It is imperative therefore that new strategies are adopted in order to respond to the challenge of delivering age‐attuned healthcare to this ever‐increasing number of frail, older adults worldwide. Even a relatively small impact on health parameters such as functional decline or hospital admission from an intervention such as this, which can be applied potentially to large numbers of community‐dwelling, older people, can have a hugely significant impact on health at a population level.

Quality of the evidence

This review includes 21 studies with data on almost 7900 frail, older people.

For the outcome 'Death', we judged the certainty of evidence as moderate and for 'Nursing home admission', we judged the certainty of evidence as high. Overall risk of bias was low and heterogeneity across included studies was low.

For other outcomes, certainty of evidence was low or very low. Certainty of evidence for change in function and QoL was limited by inconsistency and heterogeneity across studies.

Potential biases in the review process

Strengths of this review include the fact that we limited potential for bias in the review process by having two review authors independently screen abstracts and full‐texts, as well as assessing study biases. Further, we limited publication bias by conducting an extensive search of all published and non‐published work. We are confident that all relevant studies were obtained as we used an inclusive search strategy at the outset.

However, there are some limitations that should be noted. It was not possible to extract data for some secondary outcomes such as change in function from some studies that reported these outcomes due to the way these data were presented in the studies.

Agreements and disagreements with other studies or reviews

This is the first systematic review to specifically examine the effect of community‐based CGA delivered by healthcare professionals with gerontological expertise on health outcomes of frail/at‐risk older people.

Prior studies have assessed the impact of home‐based interventions in community‐dwelling, older people. One systematic review and meta‐regression analysis of preventive home visits found that beneficial effect on mortality but only in the youngest tertile of participants, a significant reduction in nursing home admissions in the subgroup where the intervention involved more than nine home visits and interestingly, a beneficial effect on functional ability only in the subgroup where assessment was multidimensional (i.e. more closely aligned to CGA) (Stuck 2002). The review did not risk stratify participants, and importantly gerontological expertise was not required for the intervention.

More recently, one large systematic review and meta‐analysis included a subgroup examining the impact of geriatric assessment of frail, older people and found a beneficial effect on physical function but no significant effect on mortality or nursing home admission (Beswick 2008). While participants were defined as frail and therefore risk stratified prior to inclusion, the study intervention also did not require specific gerontological expertise.

Study flow diagram.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 1

Study flow diagram.

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 2

Risk of bias graph: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item presented as percentages across all included studies.

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 3

Risk of bias summary: review authors' judgements about each risk of bias item for each included study.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.1 Death.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 4

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.1 Death.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.2 Nursing home admission.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 5

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.2 Nursing home admission.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.3 Unplanned hospital admission.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 6

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.3 Unplanned hospital admission.

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.6 Change in function.

Figures and Tables -
Figure 7

Forest plot of comparison: 1 Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) versus usual care, outcome: 1.6 Change in function.

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 1: Death

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.1

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 1: Death

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 2: Nursing home admission

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.2

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 2: Nursing home admission

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 3: Unplanned hospital admission

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.3

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 3: Unplanned hospital admission

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 4: Emergency department visit

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.4

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 4: Emergency department visit

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 5: Serious adverse events

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.5

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 5: Serious adverse events

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 6: Change in function

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.6

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 6: Change in function

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 7: Quality of life

Figures and Tables -
Analysis 1.7

Comparison 1: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care, Outcome 7: Quality of life

Summary of findings 1. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment compared with usual care for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people

CGA compared with usual care for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people

Patient or population: older people at risk of poor health outcomes

Settings: either the participant's own home or other community setting

Intervention: CGA

Comparison: usual care

Outcomes

Illustrative comparative risks* (95% CI)

Relative effect
(95% CI)

No of participants
(studies)

Certainty of the evidence
(GRADE)

Comments

Assumed risk

Corresponding risk

Control

Intervention

Death

Median follow‐up 12 months

94 per 1000

83 per 1000

(71 to 96)

RR 0.88

(0.76 to 1.02)

7151 (18)

⊕⊕⊕⊝
Moderatea

7232 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Nursing home admission

Median follow‐up 12 months

94 per 1000

84 per 1000

(71 to 107)

 

RR 0.93

(0.76 to 1.14)

4206 (13)

⊕⊕⊕⊕
High

4218 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Unplanned hospital admission

Median follow‐up 14 months

477 per 1000

388 per 1000
(334 to 472)

 

RR 0.83

(0.70 to 0.99)

1716 (6)

⊕⊕⊝⊝
Lowb

1905 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Emergency department visits

Median follow‐up 24 months

139 per 1000

114 per 1000
(36 to 221)

RR 0.65

(0.26 to 1.59)

873 (3)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowc

1043 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

Serious adverse events (falls)

Median follow‐up 16.5 months

291 per 1000

241 per 1000
(169 to 340)

RR 0.82

(0.58 to 1.17)

1380 (2)

⊕⊝⊝⊝
Very lowd

1412 participants prior to adjustment for clustering.

*The basis for the assumed risk (e.g. the median control group risk across studies) is provided in footnotes. The corresponding risk (and its 95% confidence interval) is based on the assumed risk in the comparison group and the relative effect of the intervention (and its 95% CI).

Number of participants after adjustment for clustering.
CGA: Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment; CI: confidence interval; RR: risk ratio.

GRADE Working Group grades of evidence
High certainty: we are very confident that the true effect lies close to that of the estimate of the effect.
Moderate certainty: we are moderately confident in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be close to the estimate of the effect, but there is a possibility that it is substantially different.
Low certainty: our confidence in the effect estimate is limited: the true effect may be substantially different from the estimate of the effect.
Very low certainty: we have very little confidence in the effect estimate: the true effect is likely to be substantially different from the estimate of effect.

aConsidered moderate‐certainty evidence due to possible imprecision.
bConsidered low‐certainty evidence as subgroup analysis was significant only in studies at high risk of bias and with high degree of heterogeneity. Five studies included unplanned admission as an outcome but did not present data sufficiently for extraction; however, the data reported in these studies generally favoured the intervention, so certainty was not downgraded based on publication bias.
cConsidered very low‐certainty evidence due to limitations of available studies with only three studies involving 13% of total participants identified in the review; high degree of heterogeneity and imprecision with low numbers of total events.
dConsidered very low‐certainty evidence due to limitations of available studies with only two studies identified involving less than 10% of total participants; high degree of heterogeneity and significant risk of publication bias.

Figures and Tables -
Summary of findings 1. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment compared with usual care for community‐dwelling, high‐risk, frail, older people
Table 1. Cost analysis

Study

Country

Mean costs per 12 months (SD/SE)

Comments

Control group

Intervention group 

Bernabei 1998

Italy

Mean values not presented but total per capita health care cost over 12 months for intervention group reported to be 23% less than control group.

Intervention group savings resulted mainly from substantial decreases in nursing home and hospital expenses.

Boult 2001

USA

USD 7857 (SD 12,812)

USD 7569 (SD 12,502)

Costs represent Medicare payments for health services (inpatient hospital care, physicians' care, care in outpatient facilities, nursing home care, home care, durable medical equipment and hospice care).

Counsell 2007 (reported in the secondary analysis; see Counsell 2009)

USA

USD 6654 (SD 7143)

USD 7174 (SD 7504)

Mean total costs for intervention patients were not significantly different from those for usual care patients.

Ekdahl 2016

Sweden

USD 21,875 (SD 22,113)

USD 23,968 (SD 28,520)

Costs due to in‐hospital care, operative/intensive care, visits to physicians and other staff, incidental operative costs, home care, laboratory/other investigations, pharmaceuticals, helping aids, home help, nursing home care and other healthcare costs.

Engelhardt 1996

USA

USD 3538 (SD 12,890)

USD 3147 (SD 11,678)

Costs comprised of total outpatient cost, total inpatient cost, nursing home costs and institutional costs.

Fairhall 2015

Australia

USD 23,920 (SD 40,647)

USD 25,078 (SD 38,123)

Costs comprised of hospital admission cost, primary care costs, health professional services and community services costs.

Hoogendijk 2016 (reported in the secondary analysis; see van Leeuwen 2015)

Netherlands

USD 23,318 (SE 658)

USD 20,414 (SE 816)

Costs included primary and community care, secondary care (including hospital admission) and societal care.

Metzelthin 2013 (reported in the secondary analysis; see Metzelthin 2015)

Netherlands

EUR 10,275 (SD 9446)

EUR 13,252 (SD 13,627)

Higher costs in intervention group but no benefit seen in terms of disability prevention or quality of life at end of follow‐up.

SD: standard deviation; SE: standard error.

Figures and Tables -
Table 1. Cost analysis
Comparison 1. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care

Outcome or subgroup title

No. of studies

No. of participants

Statistical method

Effect size

1.1 Death Show forest plot

18

7151

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.76, 1.02]

1.1.1 Low risk of bias

13

4703

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.88 [0.74, 1.04]

1.1.2 High risk of bias

5

2448

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Fixed, 95% CI)

0.89 [0.67, 1.17]

1.2 Nursing home admission Show forest plot

13

4206

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.93 [0.76, 1.14]

1.2.1 Low risk of bias

7

2330

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.81 [0.61, 1.09]

1.2.2 High risk of bias

6

1876

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

1.00 [0.75, 1.34]

1.3 Unplanned hospital admission Show forest plot

6

1716

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.83 [0.70, 0.99]

1.3.1 Low risk of bias

4

1061

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.62, 1.08]

1.3.2 High risk of bias

2

655

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.84 [0.65, 1.10]

1.4 Emergency department visit Show forest plot

3

873

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.65 [0.26, 1.59]

1.5 Serious adverse events Show forest plot

2

1380

Risk Ratio (M‐H, Random, 95% CI)

0.82 [0.58, 1.17]

1.6 Change in function Show forest plot

9

3295

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.09 [‐0.24, 0.05]

1.6.1 Low risk of bias

7

2808

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

‐0.13 [‐0.29, 0.03]

1.6.2 High risk of bias

2

487

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.04 [‐0.32, 0.40]

1.7 Quality of life Show forest plot

6

2188

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.10 [0.00, 0.21]

1.7.1 Low risk of bias

5

1849

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.10 [‐0.03, 0.23]

1.7.2 High risk of bias

1

339

Std. Mean Difference (IV, Random, 95% CI)

0.13 [‐0.09, 0.34]

Figures and Tables -
Comparison 1. Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment  versus usual care