Thought: A Journal of Philosophy

Volume 4, Issue 4, December 2015

Casey Hart, Michael G. Titelbaum
Pages 252-262

Intuitive Dilation?

Roger White objects to interval-valued credence theories because they produce a counterintuitive “dilation” effect in a story he calls the Coin Game. We respond that results in the Coin Game were bound to be counterintuitive anyway, because the story involves an agent who learns a biconditional. Biconditional updates produce surprising results whether the credences involved are ranged or precise, so White’s story is no counterexample to ranged credence theories.