Skip to main content

Does Risk Management Make Financial Markets Riskier?

  • Chapter
Risk Management

Abstract

Value-at-risk figures are calculated on the basis of historical market volatility and capital requirements are determined on the basis of these calculations. A rise in historical market volatility leads to an increase of the regulatory capital requirement. If market participants engage in forced selling to decrease risk exposure to meet imposed capital requirements, volatility may be amplified. Risk management on the individual firm level may thus actually lead to an increase of market volatility in the economy as a whole and the regulatory aim to limit the chances of systemic effects is undermined. We present an informal exposition of this argument as well as supporting empirical and anecdotal evidence.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Hardcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Basle Committee on Banking Supervision (1988) International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards

    Google Scholar 

  • — (1996a) Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risks

    Google Scholar 

  • — (1996b) Overview of the Amendment to the Capital Accord to Incorporate Market Risks

    Google Scholar 

  • — (1996c) Supervisory Framework for the Use of Backtesting in Conjunction with the Internal Models Approach to Market Risk Requirements

    Google Scholar 

  • — (1999) Capital Requirements and Bank Behaviour: The Impact of the Basle Accord.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bollerslev, T. (1986) Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics 31:307–27

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Bollerslev T, Wooldrigde M (1992) Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Interference in Dynamic Models with Time Varying Covariances. Econometric Review 52:5–59

    Google Scholar 

  • Deutsche Bundesbank (1998) Banks’ Internal Risk Management Models and their Prudential Recognition. Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, October 1998, 65–80

    Google Scholar 

  • Dowd K (1998) Beyond Value at Risk: The New Science of Risk Management. Wiley, Chichester

    Google Scholar 

  • Duffie D, Pan J (1997) An Overview of Value-at-Risk. Journal of Derivatives 4:7–49

    Google Scholar 

  • Economist, 349, November 14, 1998: Too Clever by Half:82–85

    Google Scholar 

  • — 351, April 17, 1999: Living Dangerously:B24–B25

    Google Scholar 

  • — 351, June 12, 1999: The Price of Uncertainty:65–66

    Google Scholar 

  • Engle R (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of the UK Inflation. Econometrica 50:987–1008

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Engle R, Lilien D, Robins R (1987) Estimating Time-Varying Risk Premia in the Term Structure: The ARCH-M Model. Econometrica 55:391–407

    Google Scholar 

  • Eichberger J, Harper I (1995) Financial Economics. Oxford University Press, Oxford

    Google Scholar 

  • Fama E (1965) The Behaviour of Stock Prices. Journal of Business 38:34–105

    Google Scholar 

  • Hellwig M (1996) Financial Innovations and the Incidence of Risk in the Financial System. In: Bruni et al. (eds) Risk Management in Volatile Financial Markets. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 25–39

    Google Scholar 

  • Hendricks D (1996) Evaluation of Value-at-Risk Models Using Historical Data. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review 2:39–69

    Google Scholar 

  • Hendricks D, Hirtle B (1997) Bank Capital Requirements for Market Risk: The Internal Models Approach. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Economic Policy Review 3:1–12

    Google Scholar 

  • JP Morgan (1996) RiskMetrics — Technical Document, Fourth Edition, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Kearney C (1996) Volatility and Risk in Integrated Financial Systems: Measurement, Transmission and Policy Implications. In: Bruni et al. (eds) Risk Management in Volatile Financial Markets. Kluwer, Dordrecht, 87–114

    Google Scholar 

  • King M, Sentana E, Wadhwani S (1994) Volatility and Links Between National Stock Markets. Econometrica 62:901–33

    Google Scholar 

  • Koch P, Koch T (1991) Evolution in Dynamic Linkages Across Daily National Stock Indexes. Journal of International Money and Finance 10:231–51

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • LeRoy S, Porter C (1981) Stock Price Volatility: Tests Based on Implicit Variance Bounds. Review of Financial Studies 1:41–66

    Google Scholar 

  • Lintner J (1965) The Valuation of Risky Assets and The Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budget. Review of Economics and Statistics 47:13–37

    Google Scholar 

  • Nelson D (1991) Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A new Approach. Econometrica 59:347–70

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Rochet J-C (1992) Capital Requirements and the Behaviour of Commercial Banks. European Economic Review 36:1137–78

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schwert W (1989) Why does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time? Journal of Finance 54:1115–53

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharpe W (1964) Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk. Journal of Finance 19:425–42

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer Berlin · Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Harper, I.R., Keller, J.G., Pfeil, C.M. (2005). Does Risk Management Make Financial Markets Riskier?. In: Frenkel, M., Rudolf, M., Hommel, U. (eds) Risk Management. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/3-540-26993-2_39

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics