Abstract
The paper analyzes the impact of different agricultural trade policies on Russia’s bilateral trade patterns, price and quantity changes, and welfare effects for producers, consumers, and the state budget. Three experiments are simulated using a partial equilibrium model based on the Armington approach. The results show that the current situation of import tariff-free trade between Russia and other CIS countries has small positive welfare effects for the Russian Federation in comparison to a situation where import tariffs between these countries were to be imposed. However, according to the results, an elimination of import tariffs against all trading partners is preferable for Russia in terms of net welfare. An increase in discriminatory trade barriers against non-CIS countries would cause overall welfare losses for the Russian economy.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
AGREEMENT ON THE COMMON AGRARIAN MARKET OF THE CIS MEMBER STATES, 03.06.98, Moscow.
Alexandrova, O. and H. Timmermann (1997): Integration und Desintegration in den Beziehungen Rußland — Belarus — GUS. Osteuropa, Zeitschrift fßr Gegenwartsfragen, 47: 1022–1037.
Alston, J., C. Carter, R. Green, and R. Pick (1990): Whither Armington Trade Models? American Journal of Agricultural Economics 72: 455–467.
Armington, P. (1969): A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production. International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, XVI: 159–176.
Brandes, W. (1985): Über die Grenzen der Schreibtisch-Ökonomie. Tübingen.
Brooks, K., E. Krylatykh, Z. Lerman, A. Petrikov, and V. Uzun, V. (1996): Agricultural Refom in Russia, A Viewpoint from the Farm Level. World Bank Discussion Papers 327, Washington, D.C.
Cooper, C.A. and B.F. Massell (1965): A new look at customs union theory. Economic Journal 75: 742–747.
Davis, J.R. (1997): The creation of an agricultural free trade area in the CIS: arguments against following the CAP model. Food Policy, 22: 11–16.
Diewert, W.E. and T.J. Wales (1987): Flexible functional forms and global curvature conditions. Econometria, 55, No. 1: 43–68.
Eiteuörge, U. and M. Hartmann (2000): Russia’s agro-food trade with CIS and trade agreements. In: Wehrheim, P., E. Serova, K. Frohberg, and J. von Braun (eds.): Russia’s agro-food Sector: Towards Truly Functioning Markets; Chapter 5.1 in this volume.
Frohberg, K., M. Hartmann, P. Weingarten, A. Fock, and O. Wahl (1997): The Central European Agricultural Simulation Model (CEASIM) — An Overview —, research report of the Institute of Agricultural Development in Central and Eastern Europe (IAMO), Halle, unpublished.
Frohberg, K., M. Hartmann, P. Weingarten, O. Wahl, and A. Fock (1998): Development of CEEC Agriculture under Three Scenarios-Current CEEC Policies, CAP 1995/96, Agenda 2000. In: Brockmeier, M., J..F. Francois, T.W Hertel, and P.M Schmitz (eds.): Economic Transition and the Greening of Policies: Modeling New Challenges for Agriculture and Agribusiness in Europe, Kiel: 236–256.
Frohberg, K. and P. Weingarten (1997): Support to the Establishment of a Simulation Model on Production and Trade between CIS Member Countries. Contribution to Action 7 of the TACIS Project’ support to the NIS AFTA’, Moscow.
Frohberg, K., P. Weingarten, and O. Wahl (1998): Support to the Establishment of a Simulation Model on Production and Trade between CIS Member Countries — Further Development of the CIS Agricultural Simulation Model (CIS-ASIM). Contribution to Action 7 of the TACIS Project’ support to the NIS AFTA’, Moscow.
Gardner, B.L. and K.M. Brooks (1994): Food Prices and Market Integration in Russia: 1992–1993. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 76: 641–646.
Goskomstat Rossiiskoi Federatsii (ed.) (1997A): Rossiiskii statisticheskii yezhegodnik — Statisticheskii sbornik. (Statistical Yearbook of Russia), Moscow.
Goskomstat Rossiiskoi Federatsii (ed.) (1997B): Tseny v Rossii. [Prices in Russia — Statistical Report], Statisticheskii sbornik, Moscow.
GTKRF (Gosudarstvennyi TAMOZHENNYI KOMITET Rossiiskoi Federatsii) (ed.) (1997): Tamozhennaya statistika vneshnei torgovli Rossiiskoi Federatsii, sbornik 1996. [Customs Statistic of Foreign Trade for the Russian Federation 1996], Moscow.
Johnson, H.G. (1965): An Economic Theory of Protectionism. Tariff Bargaining and the Forming of Customs Unions. Journal of Political Economy, 73: 256–283.
Kopsidis, M. (1997): Marktintegration und landwirtschaftliche Entwicklung: Lehren aus der Wirtschaftsgeschichte und Entwicklungsökonomie für den Russischen Getreidemarkt im Transformationsprozess. IAMO Discussion Paper No. 5, Halle.
Loy, J.P. and P. Wehrheim (1999): Spatial Food Market Integration in Russia. In: Peters, G. and J. von Braun (eds.), Food Security, Diversification, and Resource Management: Refocusing the Role of Agriculture? Proceedings of the 23rd. International Conference of Agricultural Economists, Ashgate publishers, Aldershot: 421:431.
N.N. (1997): Support to the NIS AFTA. Project Progress Report (Action 2), TACIS project FDREG 94.01, Moscow.
N.N. (1998): Introduction to the offer on market access in goods proposed by the Russian Federation. February 2, 1998.
Norman, V.D. (1990): Assessing Trade and Welfare Effects of Trade Liberalization: A Comparison of Alternative Approaches to CGE Modeling with Imperfect Competition. European Economic Review, 34: 725–745.
OECD (1998A): Review of Agricultural Policies — Russian Federation. Paris.
OECD (1998B): Russia: Review of recent developments in agricultural policies, markets and trade. CCNM/AGR/EG(98)9, Paris.
Pomfret, R. (1997): The Economics of Regional Trading Arrangements. Clarendon Press, Oxford.
Qaim, M., J. VON Braun, and H. THO Seeth (1997): Food Consumption in Russia. Econometric Analyses with Household Data. Discussion Papers Food Economy and Food Policy, Series: The Russian Economy in Transition, No. 8, Kiel.
STATE COMMITTEE OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION OF STATISTICS (GOSKOMSTAT) (1997C): Russia in Figures, Moscow.
Vanek, J. (1965): General Equilibrium of International Discrimination: The Case of Customs Unions. Havard University Press, Cambridge, Mass.
Viner, J. (1950): The Customs Union Issue. Stevens and Sons, London.
Volpe, G. (1996): Support to the Free Trade Area in the NIS. TACIS project, Moscow.
WTO (1996): General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT 1947). CD-Rom The Uruguay Round Results — Legal Texts, CD-Europe B.V.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2000 Kluwer Academic Publishers
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Fock, A., Weingarten, P., Wahl, O., Prokopiev, M. (2000). Russia’s Bilateral Agricultural Trade: First Results of a Partial Equilibrium Analysis. In: Wehrheim, P., Frohberg, K., Serova, E., von Braun, J. (eds) Russia’s Agro-Food Sector. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-4531-6_12
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4615-4531-6_12
Publisher Name: Springer, Boston, MA
Print ISBN: 978-0-7923-7841-9
Online ISBN: 978-1-4615-4531-6
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive