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Microfoundations of Earnings Differences

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The Palgrave Handbook of Economic Performance Analysis

Abstract

This paper examines how human capital-based approaches explain the distribution of earnings. It assesses traditional, quasi-experimental, and new micro-based structural models, the latter of which gets at population heterogeneity by estimating individual-specific earnings function parameters. The paper finds one’s ability to learn and one’s ability to retain knowledge are most influential in explaining earnings variations. Marketable skills actually acquired in school depend on these two types of ability. However, schools may also implement ability-enhancing interventions which can play a role in improving learning outcomes. Policy initiatives that improve these abilities would be a possible strategy to increase earnings and lower earnings disparity.

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Notes

  1. 1.

    One reason for the increased attention, at least in the USA, stems from the rising share going to labor until the 1970s (Krueger 1999; Armenter 2015). However, of late, there has been a reversal of this trend and a renewed interest in the functional distribution of income, only now dealing with the rising share to capital, especially since the 2000s (Mike Elsby et al. 2013; Karabarbounis and Neiman 2013). One new theory attributes this change to firm heterogeneity. In particular, Autor et al. (2017) describe “superstar firms” where labor’s share fell relatively more.

  2. 2.

    These tables update data previously presented in Polachek (2008).

  3. 3.

    Human capital investment comprises of general and specific training. Specific training enhances productivity in the firm and nowhere else. Firms provide such training because of its limited applicability. However, to reduce turnover, incentive compatible contracts can arise in which firms equally share with its employees the costs and benefits of such training (Kuratani 1973). This survey deals mainly with general training which enhances productivity throughout the economy. The cost of general training is usually borne by the individual, though because of its social value, much of schooling is subsidized by the government. Bishop (1997) presents evidence that employers can pay for general (as opposed to only specific) training. Acemoglu and Pischke (1999) argue firms can pay for general training because even general training can have a specific component. In this chapter, we concentrate on the costs and benefits of that part of human capital an individual purchases either in school or on the job.

  4. 4.

    Initial human capital is determined by genetics as well as initial parental and other investments. We examine parental investments later in this chapter.

  5. 5.

    Ben-Porath (1967) assumed a more general production function employing “goods” inputs such as teachers and books \( q_{t} = \beta K_{t}^{{b_{1} }} D_{t}^{{b_{2} }} \) where Dt equals other inputs. Because goods inputs are difficult to measure, most analyses subsequent to Ben-Porath omit this factor. These include Haley (1976), Johnson (1978), and Wallace and Ihnen (1975).

  6. 6.

    Parameters b, β, r, δ, and \( E_{0} \) are assumed constant throughout one’s life. Obviously, this need not be the case, but is consistent with the notion that IQ remains constant (Tucker-Drob 2009). Of the parameters, skill depreciation seems most likely to increase as one ages, but to our knowledge, no one has estimated how skill depreciation increases with age in the context of a life-cycle human capital model.

  7. 7.

    A derivation of the exact function is given as Eq. (7) in Polachek et al. (2015) and derived in their Appendix 1. Their specification differs slightly from Haley (1976) in that it assumes a two-term Taylor expansion for the third term in Haley’s earnings function, thus enabling them to identify all five earnings function parameters. We present this equation in Appendix 1 because it is used later in this chapter to assess the importance of ability \( E_{0} ,\beta ,b \) compared to schooling and experience which is used in more traditional approaches to explain earnings.

  8. 8.

    The algorithm was originally developed by Holland (1975). PDT use a version of GA written by Czarnitzki and Doherr (2009).

  9. 9.

    Of course, there were other biases but these were considered later.

  10. 10.

    Also Tom Johnson (1970).

  11. 11.

    These include a Gompertz specification as well as various interaction terms.

  12. 12.

    Murphy and Welch (1990) experiment with cubic and quadratic functional forms. Heckman and Polachek (1974) use Box-Cox and Box-Tidwell transformations to show the log-linear fit works best when compared to a set of other common functional forms. Heckman et al. (2003) modify the Mincer model to incorporate individuals choosing their education levels to maximize their present value of lifetime earnings. They also relax other restrictions such as the constraint that log earnings increase linearly with schooling and the constraint that log earnings-experience profiles are parallel across schooling classes, but Mincer also relaxes these latter constraints in a number of his specifications which contain an interaction term between experience and schooling. Indeed, he finds (1974, pp. 92–93) nonparallel profile shifts, as well.

  13. 13.

    These five aspects are related to, but not exactly the same as, PDT’s five parameters. The coefficients \( \alpha_{0} = \ln E_{0} - k_{0} [1 + \frac{{k_{0} }}{2}] \), \( \beta_{1} = r_{t} k_{0} + \frac{{k_{0} }}{T}\left( {1 + k_{0} } \right) \) and \( \beta_{2} = - \left[ {\frac{{r_{t} k_{0} }}{2T} + \frac{{(k_{0} )^{2} }}{2T}} \right] \) assuming a linearly declining post-school investment function \( k_{t} = k_{0} - \frac{{k_{0} }}{T}t \) where \( k_{0} \) is initial and \( k_{t} \) concurrent “time-equivalent” investment and T is the total period of positive investments. Mincer also considered three other specifications for kt. These entail (1) a linear declining dollar specification, (2) an exponentially declining dollar specification, and (3) an exponentially declining time-equivalent investment specification. These yielded nonlinear in the parameters less popular earnings functions that by and large have been ignored in the literature.

  14. 14.

    The parameters are the initial human capital stock (E0), the rate of return to schooling (rs), the rate of return to post-school human capital investment (rt), and the time when gross human capital investment just equals depreciation which is the experience level at which net human capital investment goes to zero (T).

  15. 15.

    The computation results from solving the following equations: \( { \ln }\,E_{0} - k\left( {1 + \frac{k}{2}} \right) = 6.2;r_{s} = .107;r_{t} k + \frac{k}{T}\left( {1 + k} \right) = .081; \) \( - r_{t} \frac{k}{2T} + \frac{{k^{2} }}{{2T^{2} }} = - .0012;r_{s} = r_{t} ;\text{for}\,T,k,r_{s} ,r_{t} \,\text{and}\,Y. \)

  16. 16.

    See Psacharopoulos and Patrinos (2004) and Psacharopoulos (2006) for an analysis of social rates of return to education.

  17. 17.

    Some use panel data, but one can question how these adjust for price changes. Another exception is in executive pay late in some individuals’ career paths.

  18. 18.

    Proof is given in Mincer (1974, p. 103).

  19. 19.

    In empirical work, Mincer and Polachek (1978) adjust for endogenous lifetime work using two-stage least-squares estimation. Also see Gronau (1988).

  20. 20.

    Assuming a linear human capital investment function \( k(t) = a_{i} + b_{i} t \) where ai is the initial “time-equivalent” investment and bi is the rate of change in investment taking place in one of the n work/non-work segments i yields \( \ln E_{t} = \ln E_{0} + r_{s} S + r_{p} \sum\nolimits_{i = 1}^{n} {\int_{0}^{{e_{i} }} {(a_{i} + b_{i} t){\text{d}}t} } \). For the three-period case (n = 3), the earnings function is a quadratic in each work/non-work segment:

    $$ \ln E_{t} = \ln E_{0} + r_{s} S + r_{p} \left( {a_{1} e_{1} + \frac{1}{2}b_{1} e_{1}^{2} + a_{2} e_{2} + \frac{1}{2}b_{2} e_{2}^{2} + a_{3} e_{3} + \frac{1}{2}b_{3} e_{3}^{2} } \right) $$

    Taking a linear approximation of the quadratic in each segment and denoting segment e2 as h (since it represents time at home out of the labor force) yields (6).

  21. 21.

    See Polachek (1975a) for a derivation.

  22. 22.

    Based on data from: https://www.dol.gov/wb/resources/Womens_Earnings_and_the_Wage_Gap_17.pdf.

  23. 23.

    Other studies concentrate on heterogeneity by allowing ARMA processes to vary across individuals (e.g., Browning and Ejrnӕs 2013). Some present decile ranges of key parameters illustrating that heterogeneity affects the speed individuals respond to shocks (e.g., Browning et al. 2010; Browning and Ejrnæs 2013). In other realms, Greene (2005, 2010) examines heterogeneity by using fixed- and random-effects models.

  24. 24.

    AFQT scores are computed using the Standard Scores from four ASVAB subtests: Arithmetic Reasoning (AR), Mathematics Knowledge (MK), Paragraph Comprehension (PC), and Word Knowledge (WK).

  25. 25.

    Atrophy is zero when Nt is 1, but is \( \xi E_{t} \) when Nt is 0.

  26. 26.

    Heckman, Layne-Farrar, and Todd (1996) also claim heterogeneity in human capital. They do so by exploiting three interactions: (1) between school quality and education, (2) between regional labor shocks and education, and (3) between place of birth and place of residence.

  27. 27.

    Heckman et al. (1998) adopt an alternative identification strategy to determine R. Their approach exploits the fact that all observed earnings changes (adjusted for hours) between two time periods must be attributed to rental rates changes when in “flat periods” a time when human capital stock (Et) remains constant. Typically, flat spots occur late in life, usually around the mid-fifties, an age greater than any current respondent in the NLSY. Bowlus and Robinson (2012), who apply the flat spot identification approach with CPS data, obtain similar results to PDT.

  28. 28.

    Another similar approach is to compute the percent impact on earnings of a standard deviation increase in each variable.

  29. 29.

    Computed as 1-(0.093/0.134) from row (2) of column (3) in the lower panel of Table 10.

  30. 30.

    Computed as 1-(0.065/0.134) from row (3) of column (3) in the lower panel of Table 10.

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Acknowledgements

The authors thank Thijs ten Raa as well as an anonymous referee for valuable comments that substantially improved the quality of this chapter.

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Appendix 1

Appendix 1

Optimally producing human capital to maximize lifetime earnings entails equating the marginal costs and marginal benefits of human capital creation in each year of one’s life. This process yields a nonlinear (in the parameters) earnings function (Polachek et al. 2015)

$$ \begin{array}{*{20}l} {Y_{t} } {\quad = W^{{\frac{1}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}}} \left[ {\left\{ {\left( {\frac{1}{\delta } + \left( {E^{1 - b} - \frac{1}{\delta }} \right)e^{{\delta \left( {b - 1} \right)t^{*} }} } \right)^{{\frac{1}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}}} - \left( {\frac{1}{\delta }\left[ {\frac{b}{r + \delta }} \right]^{{\frac{b}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}}} } \right)e^{{\delta \left( {t^{*} - t} \right)}} } \right\}} \right.} \hfill \\ {\quad + \left\{ {\frac{1}{{\delta \left[ {\left. {\frac{b}{r + \delta }} \right]} \right.^{{\frac{b}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}}} \left( {1 - \frac{b\delta }{r + \delta }} \right)}}} \right\} + \left\{ {\left[ {\frac{b}{r + \delta }} \right]^{{\frac{1}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}}} \frac{1}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}e^{{\left( {r + \delta } \right)\left( {t - N} \right)}} } \right\}} \hfill \\ {\left. {\quad - \left\{ {0.5\left[ {\frac{b}{r + \delta }} \right]^{{\frac{1}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}}} \left( {\frac{1}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}} \right)\left( {\frac{b}{{\left( {1 - b} \right)}}} \right)e^{{2\left( {r + \delta } \right)\left( {t - N} \right)}} } \right\}} \right] + \epsilon_{t} } \hfill \\ \end{array} $$
(9)

where \( W = \beta R^{1 - b} \), \( E = \frac{{E_{0} }}{{\beta^{{\left( {\frac{1}{1 - b}} \right)}} }}, \) t* is the age at which the individual graduates from school, N is the anticipated retirement age which PDT take to be 65, and E0 is the human capital stock when training begins. To identify each parameter \( b_{i} ,\beta_{i} ,E_{{0_{i} }} ,r_{i} ,\delta_{i} \,{\text{and}}\,R \), PDT adopt a two-step process. First, they estimate (9) separately for approximately 1700 individuals in the NLSY79 to obtain b, W, E, d, and r for each individual. Their dependent variable is each of 1700 individual’s weekly earnings adjusted to 1982–1984 dollars. The independent variable is each individual’s age (t). Years of completed school for each individual are denoted as t* and remain constant throughout each person’s life because PDT’s sample omits intermittently schooled individuals.

Second, to identify \( \beta_{i} \), \( E_{{0_{i} }} \), and the population-wide R, PDT first specify \( \beta_{i} \) to equal \( \beta e_{i} \), where β is the population average and \( e_{i} \) is the individual deviation. Second, they rewrite the W = βR1b coefficient in (9) for individual i as \( W_{i} = R^{{1 - b_{i} }} \beta e_{i} \). They then take the logarithm which yields \( \text{ln}\,W_{i} = \left( {1 - b_{i} } \right)\text{ln}\,R + { \ln }\beta + { \ln }\,e_{i} \) which they then estimate using each individual’s values for \( \widehat{W}_{l} \,{\text{and}}\,\hat{b}_{l} \) obtained from estimating (9) above. They obtain βi by taking the antiloge of the sum of the latter two terms \( { \ln }\beta + { \ln }\,e_{i} \) in the above equation. Utilizing \( b_{i} \) and βi values along with the coefficient \( \widehat{E}_{l} = {{E_{{0_{i} }} } \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {{E_{{0_{i} }} } {\beta_{i}^{{1/1 - b_{i} }} }}} \right. \kern-0pt} {\beta_{i}^{{1/1 - b_{i} }} }} \) obtained from estimating (9) yields individual-specific \( E_{{0_{i} }} \). The population-wide rental rate is the coefficient of \( \left( {1 - b_{i} } \right) \).

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Das, T., Polachek, S.W. (2019). Microfoundations of Earnings Differences. In: ten Raa, T., Greene, W. (eds) The Palgrave Handbook of Economic Performance Analysis. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-23727-1_2

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