Abstract
This chapter presents a review of multi criteria decision models used in the energy sector and demonstrates application through the case of geothermal energy. The case is taken from Oregon which is located in teh pacific northwest region of the US. Experts are used to determine the criteria what is important for this application and the region.
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References
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Appendices
Appendices
1.1 Appendix A: Instruments for the Invitation of Experts
1.1.1 Appendix A1: The Invitation of Experts for Participation in My M.S. Thesis Research
Dear ………………………,
My name is Ahmed Alshareef and I am an M.S. student from the Department of Engineering and Technology Management at Portland State University. I am writing to invite you to participate in my research study called “Technology Assessment Model of Developing Geothermal Energy Resources for Supporting Electrical System: The Case for Oregon.” This research study is being conducted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for a master’s degree in engineering and technology management at Portland State University.
You’re eligible to be in this study because you are an expert from either academia or industry and have enough experience to provide feedback on the criteria in the model I am researching.
Your participation in my research is important to developing a framework, measurement system, and metric for reaching the best benefit of geothermal energy resources. My research looks at the problem from different perspectives and dimensions with respect to utility objectives and goals.
The proposed research model that I developed requires participation of experts who have knowledge and opinions in the topic area of geothermal energy resources. Participation in the online survey/evaluation will take approximately 30 min to complete. This will help to further construct the model and establish a weight for selecting elements that require further development.
If you decide to participate in this study, you will make judgments on different criteria, using paired comparison between two elements, deciding which element is more important between the two. Remember, this is completely voluntary. You can choose to be in the study or not.
If you’d like to participate or have any questions about the study, please email or contact me at aalsha2@pdx.edu or call me at (503) 867–9279.
If you have any concerns or problems about participating in this study or your rights as a research subject, please contact the PSU Office of Research Integrity, 1600 SW 4th Ave., Market Center Building Ste. 620, Portland, OR, 97201 (phone (503) 725–2227 or 1 (877) 480–4400).
Thank you very much.
Sincerely,
Ahmed Alshareef
M.S. Student
Department of Engineering and Technology Management
Portland State University
1.1.2 Appendix A2: Informed Consent Form
1.1.2.1 Informed Consent Template: Online Survey Consent
You are invited to participate in a research study entitled “Technology Assessment Model of Developing Geothermal Energy Resources for Supporting Electrical System.” The study is being conducted by me, Ahmed Alshareef, a graduate student from the Department of Engineering and Technology Management at Portland State University. The study is under the supervision of my advisor, Tugrul Daim.
The purpose of this research study is to examine which technologies are important for developing geothermal energy. Your participation in the study will contribute to a better understanding of the different criteria with more knowledge to know which criteria in the model require developing and more research work to cover it from a different perspective. This project is being conducted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for an M.S. degree under the supervision of Dr. Tugrul U. Daim. You are invited as a potential participant due to your expertise in the area of energy sector due to your qualification and professional experience. You are free to contact the investigator at the above address and phone number to discuss the study. You must be at least 18 years old to participate.
If you agree to participate, the evaluation will take approximately 30 min of your time, and you will complete an activity about Developing Geothermal Energy Resources for Supporting Electrical System.
There are no known risks for participating and all the information will be kept in my laptop, and I will destroy the information after 1 year of graduation. There are no costs for participating, nor will you personally benefit from participating. Your name and email address will be collected during the data collection phase for tracking purposes only. Identifying information will be stripped from the final dataset.
Your participation in this study is voluntary. You may decline to answer any question and you have the right to withdraw from participation at any time. Withdrawal will not affect your relationship with Portland State University in any way. If you do not want to participate, either simply stop participating or close the browser window. I may send study reminders about participation in the study. If you do not want to receive any more reminders, you may email me at aalsha2@pdx.edu.
If you have any questions about the study or need to update your email address, contact me, Ahmed Alshareef, at 503–867-9279 or send an email to aalsha2@pdx.edu. You may also contact my advisor, Tugrul Daim, at ji2td@pdx.edu.
If you have questions about your rights or are dissatisfied at any time with any part of this study, you can contact the Human Subjects Research Review Committee at hsrrc@pdx.edu, Market Center Building, 6th Floor, 1600 SW 4th Ave., Portland, OR 97201.
If you agree to participate, click on the following link [HTTP://LINK TO STUDY URL].
Thank you.
Please print a copy of this document for your records.
1.1.3 Appendix A3: Content Web Survey
Dear ……..,
Thank you so much for accepting the invitation to complete the survey for my thesis research (Technology Assessment Model of Developing Geothermal Energy Resource for Supporting Electrical System). I have attached the link of the survey, the instructions, and the explanation of the research. You can see the details of each node in the model of the survey by pointing your cursor over the node. Each node had been explained in the instruction document.
Thank you very much.
Sincerely,
Ahmed Alshareef
M.S. Student
Department of Engineering and Technology Management
Portland State University
1.1.4 Appendix A4: Content Questionnaire Survey
1.1.5 Appendix A5: Content Instructions and Explanation of Nodes
The figure below shows the proposed research model. This figure will be used to establish the weight of each element and analyze the model.
Based on a comprehensive literature review and by validating the proposed research model with my advisor Dr. Tugrul U. Daim, this research model will be used for asking experts to establish their weighted output relative to geothermal energy resources. The data collection will be created from this research model to establish the final results of this study.
All the development of the proposed research model will stay in the same frame of the human subject research, and it will not change the HSRRC application. In addition, the goal and objective of the research will be kept from any change.
The objective of the proposed research is to develop the assessment model framework that can be used for supporting cost-effective renewable energy in Oregon by the development of geothermal energy sources. A mission-oriented model, hierarchical decision-making (HDM), will be used to determine the goal that represents the case for Oregon.
HDM is the approach that will be used for analyzing the research objective and criteria used to inform decision about how to inform geothermal energy since HDM works with complicated processes and looks at the problem from different perspectives. All the development occurred to the proposed research model works through criteria, sub-criteria, and alternatives, and this research model comes from a comprehensive review of literature.
The purpose of the data collection is to ensure the relative importance of decision elements through a numerical quantification process. Using the pairwise comparison method between two elements to evaluate distributional balance is necessary in order to know which element is more important than another. A pairwise comparison will use 100 points scale to make the balance. Defining each element will be clarified below.
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Encourage community to support geothermal energy project: Using geothermal energy project will make future customer life easier and more convenient; the result of using these geothermal energy projects will encourage customers to support geothermal projects. Also, it will increase the adoption and development of geothermal energy.
-
Minimize environmental impact: Using geothermal energy will have a positive impact on the environment since it does not consume a huge amount of fuel.
-
Reduce expense of investment energy projects: Different technologies that accompany geothermal energy resources will change the expenses of investment if more attention and effort are given to this area of alternative energy.
-
Technical option improvement for geothermal energy projects: There is a possibility to develop the process in the future by quickly responding to any changes in the market and in the requirements of customers.
-
Minimize the negative impact on the general public: Reducing the negative impact on the general public and public spaces ensures that these geothermal projects do not interact with other projects in the same area.
-
Create new job opportunity: When geothermal energy resources are constructed, this construction will require a diversity of skills to complete.
-
Social acceptance: The continued commitment to expand and improve federal lands for the use of geothermal resources will lead to an increase in production.
-
GHG emissions: Due to lower GHG emissions, geothermal energy projects have less impact on the environment compared with other sources of energy.
-
Land requirement: Geothermal fields require fewer acres compared with other sources of energy.
-
Seismic activity: While the extraction of geothermal energy can lead to seismic activity, this event would most likely be less than magnitude of 2.5 on the Richter scale (earthquakes usually cannot be felt under 3.5).
-
Using the land for other purposes: When the activity of a power plant is completed, the land can be rehabilitated and used for livestock grazing or other agriculture purposes.
-
Minimize the capital cost: Projects of geothermal energy resources have the potential to reduce the cost of investments if the investments are made over a long period.
-
Minimize operation cost: Geothermal projects can increase the energy production and reduce the cost.
-
Economy boost: “Geothermal projects have the potential to enhance the economies through increased tax revenues, the creation of new businesses and local jobs, and enhanced community involvement” [321].
-
Minimizing the demand of critical resources: Geothermal projects reduce the demand on traditional resources like oil, coal, and natural gas.
-
Increasing the capacity of the energy system: Using geothermal energy resources will minimize the load on the electrical system and will simplify the challenges associated with increased energy load.
-
Equipment manufacturing development: In spite of the variety of geothermal energy equipment in the market, this equipment still needs more development to increase the geothermal energy efficiency, and for that technologies will need to be developed to be used in the manufacturing of this equipment.
-
Minimize noise and odor: It is important for geothermal energy projects to work without negatively impacting the general public by avoiding and reducing noise and odor as quickly as possible.
-
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle: It is important for geothermal energy projects to minimize the routes to and from the site to avoid any conflicts or obstacles to the movement of residential and commercial activities.
-
Geothermal heat pump: “Is a central heating and/or cooling system that transfers heat to or from the ground. Geothermal heat pumps use the natural insulating properties of the earth from just a few feet underground to as much as several 100 feet deep, offering a unique and highly efficient renewable energy technology for heating and cooling” [322].
-
Direct use of geothermal heat: “refers to the immediate use of the energy for both heating and cooling applications. It is the use of underground hot water to heat buildings, …and for many other applications. District heating applications use networks of piped hot water to heat buildings in whole communities” [323].
-
Geothermal electricity: “Geothermal power plants use steam produced from reservoirs of hot water found a few miles or more below the Earth’s surface to produce electricity. The extremely high temperatures in the deeper geothermal reservoirs are used for the generation of electricity. The steam rotates a turbine that activates a generator, which produces electricity” [324].
The mission of this model is to assess geothermal energy resources for supporting the electrical system. This process will require weighting objectives, criteria, and alternatives. A pairwise comparison is required for this purpose to rate criteria (objectives) with respect to each other. As the model is built based on HDM, “a pairwise comparison helps you work out the importance of a number of options relative to one another. This makes it easy to choose the most important problem to solve, or to pick the solution that will be most effective. It also helps you set priorities where there are conflicting demands on your resources. The tool is particularly useful when you don’t have objective data to use to make your decision” [325]. This process for technology assessment model of developing geothermal energy resources requires having a scale with 100 points distributed between these main criteria. The criteria with high points result from experts choosing this criterion, while the criteria with low points result from few experts choosing this criterion. Also, the score of 0 will not be valid and the score for this situation must be at least 1 point.
This is an example of how to weight, evaluate, and compare:
Considering two objectives, “Objective A” and “Objective “B,” choose the point value that you think is necessary. Since the system is based on 100 points, this can be weighted as A = 55 and B = 45.
-
1.1
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of encouraging community to support geothermal energy to minimize the environment impact:
-
1.2
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of encouraging community to support geothermal energy to reduce expense of investment energy project:
-
1.3
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of encouraging community to support geothermal energy to technical option improvement for geothermal energy project:
-
1.4
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of encouraging community to support geothermal energy to minimize the negative impact on general public:
-
1.5
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of minimizing the environment impact to reduce expense of investment energy project:
-
1.6
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of minimizing the environment impact to technical option improvement for geothermal energy project:
-
1.7
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of minimizing the environment impact to minimize the negative impact on general public:
-
1.8
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of reducing expense of investment energy project to technical option improvement for geothermal energy project:
-
1.9
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of reducing expense of investment energy project to minimize the negative impact on general public:
-
1.10
100 points must be distributed between the following pairs of geothermal energy objectives to reflect your judgment on their relative importance to the overall goal for this study.
The importance of technical option improvement for geothermal energy project to minimize the negative impact on general public:
1.2 Appendix B: Judgment Quantifications
1.2.1 Appendix B1: Judgment Quantification for the Objectives Level with Respect to the Mission
The table below shows the ratio of judgment quantification, as explained in the example: using CS 70 and IC 30, this will be written as CS/IC = 70, and 30 will not appear in the table.
Encourage community to support geothermal energy projects, CS |
Minimize environmental impact, EI |
Minimize investment cost, IC |
Technical option improvement for geothermal energy projects, TI |
Minimize the negative impact on the general public, NI |
CS/EI | CS/IC | CS/TI | CS/NI | EI/IC | EI/TI | EI/NI | IC/TI | IC/NI | TI/NI | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 60 | 50 | 75 | 75 |
Expert 2 | 42 | 42 | 18 | 42 | 46 | 50 | 44 | 35 | 60 | 63 |
Expert 3 | 10 | 55 | 75 | 40 | 80 | 75 | 80 | 20 | 20 | 49 |
Expert 4 | 18 | 21 | 58 | 50 | 71 | 74 | 86 | 65 | 39 | 60 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 50 | 70 | 70 | 20 | 20 | 70 | 50 | 70 | 80 |
Expert 6 | 59 | 50 | 32 | 51 | 41 | 62 | 34 | 89 | 52 | 18 |
Expert 7 | 70 | 35 | 80 | 45 | 50 | 75 | 35 | 40 | 45 | 20 |
1.2.2 Appendix B2: Judgment Quantification for the Goals Level with Respect to Objectives
The table below shows the ratio of judgment quantification, as explained in the example: using JO 70 and SC 30, this will be written as JO/SC = 70, and 30 will not appear in the table.
Encourage Community to Support Geothermal Energy Projects
-
Create new job opportunity: JO
-
Social acceptance: SC
JO/SC | |
---|---|
Expert 1 | 60 |
Expert 2 | 40 |
Expert 3 | 70 |
Expert 4 | 12 |
Expert 5 | 90 |
Expert 6 | 67 |
Expert 7 | 75 |
Minimize Environmental Impact
-
GHG emission: GE
-
Land requirement: LR
-
Seismic activity: SA
-
Using the land for other purposes: UL
GE/LR | GE/SA | GE/UL | LR/SA | LR/UL | SA/UL | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 75 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 72 | 55 | 78 | 50 | 32 | 63 |
Expert 3 | 99 | 50 | 90 | 10 | 40 | 50 |
Expert 4 | 70 | 10 | 75 | 10 | 45 | 80 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 80 | 60 | 89 | 20 | 10 |
Expert 6 | 43 | 22 | 16 | 29 | 50 | 71 |
Expert 7 | 5 | 30 | 85 | 15 | 50 | 85 |
Reduce Expense of Investment Energy Projects
-
Minimize capital cost: CC
-
Minimize operation cost: OC
-
Economic boost: EB
CC/OC | CC/EB | OC/EB | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 80 | 80 |
Expert 2 | 58 | 84 | 66 |
Expert 3 | 70 | 25 | 20 |
Expert 4 | 80 | 95 | 95 |
Expert 5 | 95 | 90 | 70 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 65 | 60 | 75 |
Technical Option Improvement for Geothermal Energy Projects
-
Minimizing the demand of critical resources: CR
-
Increasing the capacity of energy system: CS
-
Equipment manufacturing development: ED
CR/CS | CR/ED | CS/ED | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 40 | 50 | 60 |
Expert 2 | 35 | 15 | 31 |
Expert 3 | 90 | 70 | 20 |
Expert 4 | 50 | 80 | 95 |
Expert 5 | 25 | 50 | 70 |
Expert 6 | 31 | 38 | 66 |
Expert 7 | 25 | 30 | 25 |
Minimize the Negative Impact on the General Public
-
Minimize noise and odor: NO
-
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle: PD
NO/PD | |
---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 66 |
Expert 3 | 80 |
Expert 4 | 75 |
Expert 5 | 99 |
Expert 6 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 90 |
1.2.3 Appendix B3: Judgment Quantification for the Alternatives Level with Respect to Goals
The table below shows the ratio of judgment quantification, as explained in the example: using GE 70 and DH 30, this will be written as GE/DH=70, and 30 will not appear in the table.
-
Geothermal electricity: GE
-
Direct use of geothermal heat: DH
-
Geothermal heat pump: GH
Alternatives: create new job opportunity
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 60 | 40 | 25 |
Expert 2 | 29 | 71 | 91 |
Expert 3 | 65 | 40 | 39 |
Expert 4 | 65 | 35 | 30 |
Expert 5 | 90 | 10 | 5 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 20 | 15 | 50 |
Alternatives: social acceptance
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 60 | 60 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 30 | 48 | 77 |
Expert 3 | 30 | 40 | 56 |
Expert 4 | 60 | 50 | 20 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 20 | 10 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Alternatives: GHG emission
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 35 | 35 |
Expert 2 | 42 | 67 | 68 |
Expert 3 | 25 | 85 | 70 |
Expert 4 | 70 | 50 | 30 |
Expert 5 | 80 | 10 | 1 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Alternatives: land requirement
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 53 | 65 | 51 |
Expert 3 | 50 | 25 | 40 |
Expert 4 | 70 | 50 | 70 |
Expert 5 | 80 | 13 | 5 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Alternatives: seismic activity
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 75 | 90 | 75 |
Expert 2 | 45 | 62 | 69 |
Expert 3 | 49 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 4 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 5 | 5 | 50 |
Alternatives: using the land for other purposes
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 50 | 35 | 35 |
Expert 3 | 60 | 70 | 60 |
Expert 4 | 75 | 50 | 20 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 20 | 10 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 10 | 5 | 50 |
Alternatives: minimize capital cost
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 40 | 40 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 22 | 22 | 72 |
Expert 3 | 60 | 30 | 20 |
Expert 4 | 40 | 70 | 70 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 20 | 10 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 30 | 30 | 35 |
Alternatives: minimize operation cost
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 37 | 26 | 54 |
Expert 3 | 61 | 25 | 20 |
Expert 4 | 30 | 50 | 60 |
Expert 5 | 75 | 10 | 5 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 35 | 20 | 30 |
Alternatives: economic boost
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 25 | 25 |
Expert 2 | 30 | 33 | 64 |
Expert 3 | 65 | 60 | 60 |
Expert 4 | 65 | 50 | 30 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 40 | 30 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 10 | 5 | 40 |
Alternatives: minimizing the demand of critical resources
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 50 | 67 | 68 |
Expert 3 | 30 | 60 | 80 |
Expert 4 | 50 | 15 | 15 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 40 | 25 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 30 | 30 | 50 |
Alternatives: increasing the capacity of the energy system
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 40 | 20 | 25 |
Expert 2 | 50 | 63 | 63 |
Expert 3 | 50 | 30 | 15 |
Expert 4 | 50 | 30 | 20 |
Expert 5 | 80 | 1 | 1 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Alternatives: equipment manufacturing development
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 25 | 10 | 25 |
Expert 2 | 26 | 28 | 54 |
Expert 3 | 60 | 40 | 30 |
Expert 4 | 70 | 50 | 35 |
Expert 5 | 70 | 30 | 1 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 50 | 5 | 15 |
Alternatives: minimize noise and odor
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 50 | 10 | 10 |
Expert 2 | 43 | 65 | 76 |
Expert 3 | 55 | 30 | 30 |
Expert 4 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 5 | 70 | 20 | 11 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Alternatives: minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle
GH/DH | GH/GE | DH/GE | |
---|---|---|---|
Expert 1 | 25 | 25 | 50 |
Expert 2 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 3 | 50 | 25 | 20 |
Expert 4 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 5 | 50 | 20 | 10 |
Expert 6 | 50 | 50 | 50 |
Expert 7 | 30 | 20 | 40 |
1.3 Appendix C: Calculations (Overall Weight)
Objectives | Goals | GHP | Direct heat | Geothermal electricity | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Local | Global | Local | Global | Local | Global | Local | Global | |||
Encourage community to support geothermal energy project | 0.17 | Create new job opportunity | 0.59 | 0.1 | 0.25 | 0.025 | 0.3 | 0.04 | 0.45 | 0.045 |
Social acceptance | 0.41 | 0.07 | 0.29 | 0.02 | 0.32 | 0.022 | 0.39 | 0.027 | ||
Minimize environmental impact | 0.26 | GHG emission | 0.3 | 0.078 | 0.3 | 0.023 | 0.3 | 0.023 | 0.4 | 0.03 |
Land requirement | 0.2 | 0.053 | 0.28 | 0.014 | 0.3 | 0.016 | 0.42 | 0.02 | ||
Seismic activity | 0.32 | 0.083 | 0.34 | 0.028 | 0.36 | 0.03 | 0.3 | 0.024 | ||
Using the land for other purposes | 0.18 | 0.046 | 0.29 | 0.013 | 0.27 | 0.012 | 0.44 | 0.02 | ||
Reduce expense of investment energy projects | 0.21 | Minimize capital cost | 0.51 | 0.107 | 0.23 | 0.024 | 0.33 | 0.036 | 0.44 | 0.047 |
Minimize operation cost | 0 28 | 0.059 | 0.22 | 0.013 | 0.29 | 0.018 | 0.49 | 0.028 | ||
Economic boost | 0.21 | 0.044 | 0.27 | 0.012 | 0.3 | 0.014 | 0.43 | 0.018 | ||
Technical option improvement for geothermal energy projects | 0.18 | Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.28 | 0.05 | 0.27 | 0.013 | 0.35 | 0.018 | 0.38 | 0.019 |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.39 | 0.07 | 0.24 | 0.016 | 0.23 | 0.017 | 0.53 | 0.037 | ||
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.33 | 0.06 | 0.22 | 0.013 | 0.22 | 0.014 | 0.56 | 0.033 | ||
Minimize the negative impact on the general public | 0.18 | Minimize noise and odor | 0.73 | 0.131 | 0.27 | 0.035 | 0.27 | 0.036 | 0.46 | 0.06 |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.27 | 0.049 | 0.23 | 0.011 | 0.29 | 0.014 | 0.48 | 0.022 | ||
0.26 | 0.31 | 0.43 |
1.4 Appendix D: Objectives Weight for Different Characteristics of Experts
Objectives weight for different characteristics of experts: background of organization
Objectives and goals | Utility | Consulting | Research lab | University |
---|---|---|---|---|
Encourage community to support geothermal energy project | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.16 |
Create new job opportunity | 0.43 | 0.65 | 0.9 | 0.67 |
Social acceptance | 0.57 | 0.35 | 0.1 | 0.33 |
Minimize environmental impact | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.12 | 0.16 |
GHG emission | 0.23 | 0.5 | 0.31 | 0.1 |
Land requirement | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
Seismic activity | 0.46 | 0.19 | 0.05 | 0.46 |
Using the land for other purposes | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.42 | 0.26 |
Reduce expense of investment energy projects | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.31 |
Minimize capital cost | 0.56 | 0.35 | 0.86 | 0.33 |
Minimize operation cost | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 0.33 |
Economic boost | 0.11 | 0.36 | 0.06 | 0.33 |
Technical option improvement for geothermal energy projects | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.1 |
Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.21 | 0.47 | 0.21 | 0.2 |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.51 |
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.41 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.29 |
Minimize the negative impact on the general public | 0.2 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.27 |
Minimize noise and odor | 0.77 | 0.65 | 0.99 | 0.5 |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.01 | 0.5 |
Objectives weight for different characteristics of experts: background of organization
Alternatives | Utility | Consulting | Research lab | University | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GHP | Direct heat | Geo. elect. | GHP | Direct heat | Geo. elect. | GHP | Direct heat | Geo. elect. | GHP | Direct heat | Geo. elect. | ||
Goals | Create new job opportunity | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.35 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.47 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.82 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
Social acceptance | 0.31 | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.375 | 0.315 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
GHG emission | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.305 | 0.395 | 0.3 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Land requirement | 0.3 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.275 | 0.3 | 0.42 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 0.82 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Seismic activity | 0.23 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.51 | 0.285 | 0.205 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Using the land for other purposes | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.49 | 0.405 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Minimize capital cost | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.27 | 0.49 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Minimize operation cost | 0.19 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.275 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.85 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Economic boost | 0.2 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.325 | 0.25 | 0.425 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.23 | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 0.465 | 0.245 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.51 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.31 | 0.3 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0.185 | 0.635 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.98 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 0.195 | 0.22 | 0.585 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.79 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Minimize noise and odor | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 0.17 | 0.155 | 0.68 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.72 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.165 | 0.3 | 0.53 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
Objectives weight for different characteristics of experts: position
Objectives, and goals | Management | Planning | Policy | Environment |
---|---|---|---|---|
Encourage community to support geothermal energy project | 0.18 | 0.135 | 0.25 | 0.13 |
Create new job opportunity | 0.49 | 0.53 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Social acceptance | 0.51 | 0.47 | 0.1 | 0.3 |
Minimize environmental impact | 0.28 | 0.175 | 0.12 | 0.5 |
GHG emission | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.61 |
Land requirement | 0.26 | 0.2 | 0.23 | 0.03 |
Seismic activity | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.26 |
Using the land for other purposes | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.42 | 0.1 |
Reduce expense of investment energy projects | 0.21 | 0.255 | 0.28 | 0.08 |
Minimize capital cost | 0.53 | 0.44 | 0.86 | 0.25 |
Minimize operation cost | 0.36 | 0.33 | 0.08 | 0.13 |
Economic boost | 0.11 | 0.23 | 0.06 | 0.62 |
Technical option improvement for geothermal energy projects | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.12 |
Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.27 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.65 |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.57 | 0.07 |
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.29 | 0.46 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
Minimize the negative impact on the general public | 0.17 | 0.225 | 0.08 | 0.17 |
Minimize noise and odor | 0.72 | 0.58 | 0.99 | 0.8 |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.28 | 0.42 | 0.01 | 0.2 |
Objectives weight for different characteristics of experts: position
Alternatives | Management | Planning | Policy | Environment | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GHP | Direct Heat | Geo. Elect | GHP | Direct Heat | Geo. Elect. | GHP | Direct Heat | Geo. Elect. | GHP | Direct Heat | Geo. Elect. | ||
Goals | Create new job opportunity | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.49 | 0.28 | 0.505 | 0.205 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.82 | 0.35 | 0.23 | 0.43 |
Social acceptance | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.275 | 0.455 | 0.265 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.21 | 0.46 | 0.34 | |
GHG emission | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.4 | 0.345 | 0.39 | 0.26 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 0.91 | 0.35 | 0.53 | 0.12 | |
Land requirement | 0.27 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.375 | 0.325 | 0.295 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 0.82 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.51 | |
Seismic activity | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.3 | 0.34 | 0.385 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.33 | |
Using the land for other purposes | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.295 | 0.295 | 0.405 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.21 | |
Minimize capital cost | 0.26 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.225 | 0.45 | 0.32 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.6 | |
Minimize operation cost | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.4 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.375 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.85 | 0.22 | 0.15 | 0.63 | |
Economic boost | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.54 | 0.255 | 0.41 | 0.325 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.45 | 0.3 | 0.25 | |
Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.49 | 0.365 | 0.37 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.51 | 0.25 | 0.6 | 0.16 | |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.98 | 0.21 | 0.15 | 0.64 | |
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.63 | 0.245 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.03 | 0.79 | 0.31 | 0.21 | 0.48 | |
Minimize noise and odor | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.49 | 0.335 | 0.41 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.72 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.54 | |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.2 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.75 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.63 |
Objectives weight for different characteristics of experts: education
Objectives and goals | Bachelor’s degree | Master’s degree | Ph.D. degree |
---|---|---|---|
Encourage community to support geothermal energy project | 0.1 | 0.17 | 0.21 |
Create new job opportunity | 0.12 | 0.61 | 0.78 |
Social acceptance | 0.88 | 0.39 | 0.22 |
Minimize environmental impact | 0.47 | 0.26 | 0.14 |
GHG emission | 0.15 | 0.38 | 0.2 |
Land requirement | 0.07 | 0.23 | 0.2 |
Seismic activity | 0.68 | 0.27 | 0.26 |
Using the land for other purposes | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.34 |
Reduce expense of investment energy projects | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.3 |
Minimize capital cost | 0.7 | 0.42 | 0.6 |
Minimize operation cost | 0.28 | 0.32 | 0.21 |
Economic boost | 0.02 | 0.26 | 0.19 |
Technical option improvement for geothermal energy projects | 0.12 | 0.2 | 0.18 |
Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.36 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.59 | 0.26 | 0.54 |
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.05 | 0.44 | 0.26 |
Minimize the negative impact on the general public | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.17 |
Minimize noise and odor | 0.75 | 0.72 | 0.75 |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.25 |
Objectives weight for different characteristics of experts: education
Alternatives | Bachelor’s degree | Master’s degree | Ph.D degree | |||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GHP | Direct heat | Geo. elect. | GHP | Direct heat | Geo. Elect. | GHP | Direct heat | Geo. elect. | ||
Goals | Create new job opportunity | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.5 | 0.245 | 0.3825 | 0.375 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.575 |
Social acceptance | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.48 | 0.2975 | 0.415 | 0.29 | 0.235 | 0.22 | 0.54 | |
GHG emission | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.325 | 0.3925 | 0.28 | 0.2 | 0.17 | 0.62 | |
Land requirement | 0.43 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.255 | 0.3475 | 0.3925 | 0.235 | 0.185 | 0.575 | |
Seismic activity | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.375 | 0.2775 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | |
Using the land for other purposes | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.46 | 0.2775 | 0.33 | 0.39 | 0.235 | 0.22 | 0.54 | |
Minimize capital cost | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.1975 | 0.36 | 0.4475 | 0.235 | 0.22 | 0.54 | |
Minimize operation cost | 0.24 | 0.48 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.2825 | 0.4925 | 0.22 | 0.185 | 0.59 | |
Economic boost | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.42 | 0.2175 | 0.3375 | 0.4425 | 0.305 | 0.285 | 0.405 | |
Minimizing the demand of critical resources | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.74 | 0.29 | 0.4375 | 0.2725 | 0.3 | 0.275 | 0.42 | |
Increasing the capacity of the energy system | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.6 | 0.27 | 0.2725 | 0.4575 | 0.175 | 0.17 | 0.655 | |
Equipment manufacturing development | 0.42 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 0.155 | 0.2475 | 0.5975 | 0.255 | 0.18 | 0.56 | |
Minimize noise and odor | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.2525 | 0.2825 | 0.465 | 0.26 | 0.21 | 0.525 | |
Minimizing property damage for reducing impact on lifestyle | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.2 | 0.3175 | 0.48 | 0.235 | 0.22 | 0.54 |
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Alshareef, A.S., Daim, T.U., Iskin, I. (2018). Technology Assessment: Developing Geothermal Energy Resources for Supporting Electrical System in Oregon. In: Daim, T., Chan, L., Estep, J. (eds) Infrastructure and Technology Management. Innovation, Technology, and Knowledge Management. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-68987-6_4
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