Skip to main content

Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Social Finance
  • 658 Accesses

Abstract

Economic conventions explain the Federal Reserve’s accommodative monetary policy from 2001 to 2004. This monetary policy caused the US yield curve to become upward sloping, in turn creating incentives for financial institutions to issue short-term debt to purchase long-term assets via credit, liquidity, and maturity transformation. Accommodative monetary policy boosted housing prices by reducing interest rates tied to real estate investment, inflating other asset prices, and reducing macroeconomic volatility. Three economic conventions motivated the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, including fears of repeating Japan’s experience with deflation, inflation metric construction, and the Federal Open Market Committee’s disposition to asset price bubbles. Different economic conventions may have altered the Fed’s monetary policy, decreasing incentives for firms to engage in risky behavior and limiting the housing bubble. However, the Fed does not deserve monocausal blame for the crisis.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

eBook
USD 19.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 29.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 129.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Works Cited

  • Ahearne, Alan, Joseph Gagnon, Jane Haltmaeir, and Steve Kamin. 2002. “Preventing Deflation: Lessons form Japan’s Experience in the 1990s.” International Finance Discussion Papers (729): 1–62.

    Google Scholar 

  • Andrews, Edmund L. 2008. “Greenspan Concedes Error on Regulation.” The New York Times. October 23. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/business/economy/24panel.html?_r+1&.

  • Bernanke, Ben S. 2004. “Speech: The Great Moderation.” Federal Reserve Board of Governors. February 20. Accessed March 3, 2019. https://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2004/20040220/.

  • ———. 2010. “Speech: Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble.” Federal Reserve Board of Governors. January 3. Accessed March 4, 2018. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20100103a.htm.

  • Brunnermeier, Marcus K., and Stefan Nagel. 2004. “Hedge Funds and the Technology Bubble.” The Journal of Finance 54 (5): 2013–2040.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bureau of Economic Analysis. 2014. Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009. “How the CPI Measures Price Changes of Owners’ Equivalent Rent of Primary Residence (OER) and Rent of Primary Residence (Rent).” The Bureau of Labor Statistics. April. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpifacnewrent.pdf.

  • Dunaway, Steven. 2009. “Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis.” Council on Foreign Relations—Council Special Report (44): 1–56.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eichengreen, Barry. 2011. Exorbitant Priviledge: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System. Oxford: Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Federal Open Market Committee. 2002. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. November 6. Accessed March 3, 2018. https://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20021106.htm.

  • ———. 2003a. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. June 24–25. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20030625.htm.

  • ———. 2003b. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. August 12. Accessed March 31, 2018. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20030812.htm.

  • ———. 2003c. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. December 9. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20031209.htm.

  • ———. 2004. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. January 27–28. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20040128.htm.

  • Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2018. Federal Reserve Economic Data Database. St. Louis, Missouri, 15 March.

    Google Scholar 

  • Goodhart, Charles. 2009. “Financial Crisis and the Future of the Financial System.” 100th BRE Bank—CASE Seminar, 1–13. Warsaw: Center for Social and Economic Research.

    Google Scholar 

  • Greenspan, Alan. 2002. “Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan: Economic Volatility.” The Federal Reserve Board. August 30. http://www.federalresreve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20020830.

  • ———. 2005. “Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan.” The Federal Reserve Board. April 6. http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/testimony/2005/20050406/default.htm.

  • Jarociński, Marek, and Frank Smets. 2008. “House Prices and the Stance of Monetary Policy.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 90 (4): 339–366.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keen, Steve. 2011. “A Monetary Minsky Model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession.” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2672): 1–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Keynes, John M. 1937a. “The General Theory of Employment.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 51 (2): 209–223.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • ———. 1937b. “Some Economic Consequences of a Declining Population.” The Eugenics Review 13–17.

    Google Scholar 

  • Kohn, Donald L. 2008. “Speech: Monetary Policy and Asset Prices Revisited.” The Federal Reserve Board. November 19. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/kohn20081119a.htm.

  • Krugman, Paul R., Kathryn M. Dominquez, and Kenneth Rogoff. 1998. “It’s Baack: Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1998 (2): 137–205.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levi, Maurice D., and John H. Makin. 1978. “Anticipated Inflation and Interest Rates: Further Interpretation of Findings of the Fisher Equation.” The American Economic Review 68 (5): 801–813.

    Google Scholar 

  • Masters, Blake. 2012. “Peter Thiel’s CS183: Startup—Class 2 Notes Essay.” Blake Masters. April 6. Accessed March 30, 2018. http://blakemasters.com/post/20582845717/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-2-notes-essay.

  • Mehra, Yash P., and Basni Sawhney. 2010. “Inflation Measure, Taylor Rules, and the Greenspan-Bernanke Years.” Economic Quarterly 96 (2): 123–151.

    Google Scholar 

  • Meyer, Brent, and Mehmet Pasaogullari. 2011. How Can Inflation Be Considered Low When Food and Gas Prices Are so High? Cleveland: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miller, Marcus, Paul Weller, and Lei Zhang. 2001. “Moral Hazard and the U.S. Stock Market: Analysing the ‘Greenspan Put’.” Center for the Study of Globalization and Regionalisation Working Paper 83 (1): 1–26.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mishkin, Frederic. 2011. “Monetary Policy Strategy: Lessons from the Crisis.” NBER Working Paper Series (16755): 1–63.

    Google Scholar 

  • Obstfeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff. 2009. “Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Asia Economic Policy Conference, 1–64. Santa Barbara: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

    Google Scholar 

  • Posen, Adam S. 2006. “Why Central Banks Should Not Burst Bubbles.” Institute for International Economics Working Paper Series 1–15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rajan, Raghuram. 2010. Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Roubini, Nouriel. 2006. “Why Central Banks Should Burst Bubbles.” International Finance 9 (1): 87–107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sanders, Anthony. 2008. “The Subprime Crisis and Its Role in the Financial Crisis.” Journal of Housing Economics 17: 254–261.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schwartz, Herman. 2009. Subprime Nation: American Power, Global Capital, and the Housing Bubble. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smithers, Andrew. 2009. Wall Street Revalued: Imperfect Markets and Inept Central Bankers. West Sussex: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sutch, Richard. 2014. “The Liquidity Trap, the Great Depression, and Unconventional Policy: Reading Keynes and the Zero Lower Bound.” Berkeley Economic History Laboratory Working Paper Series 2014 (5): 1–80.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tainer, Evelina M. 2006. Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis. Hoboken: Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Department of the Treasury. 2018. “Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates.” Treasury.gov. March 30. Accessed March 30, 2018. https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield.

  • Vogel, Harold L. 2009. Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • White, William R. 2009. “Should Monetary Policy ‘Lean or Clean’?” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute 1–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wolf, Martin. 2008. Fixing Global Finance. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • ———. 2014. The Shifts and the Shocks: What We’ve Learned—And Have Still to Learn—From the Financial Crisis. New York: Penguin.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu, Tao. 2008. “Accounting for the Bond-Yield Conundrum.” Insights from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 3 (2): 1–8.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2018 The Author(s)

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Shenai, N. (2018). Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble. In: Social Finance. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-91346-9_3

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-91346-9_3

  • Published:

  • Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-91345-2

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-91346-9

  • eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics