Abstract
Economic conventions explain the Federal Reserve’s accommodative monetary policy from 2001 to 2004. This monetary policy caused the US yield curve to become upward sloping, in turn creating incentives for financial institutions to issue short-term debt to purchase long-term assets via credit, liquidity, and maturity transformation. Accommodative monetary policy boosted housing prices by reducing interest rates tied to real estate investment, inflating other asset prices, and reducing macroeconomic volatility. Three economic conventions motivated the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy, including fears of repeating Japan’s experience with deflation, inflation metric construction, and the Federal Open Market Committee’s disposition to asset price bubbles. Different economic conventions may have altered the Fed’s monetary policy, decreasing incentives for firms to engage in risky behavior and limiting the housing bubble. However, the Fed does not deserve monocausal blame for the crisis.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Works Cited
Ahearne, Alan, Joseph Gagnon, Jane Haltmaeir, and Steve Kamin. 2002. “Preventing Deflation: Lessons form Japan’s Experience in the 1990s.” International Finance Discussion Papers (729): 1–62.
Andrews, Edmund L. 2008. “Greenspan Concedes Error on Regulation.” The New York Times. October 23. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/24/business/economy/24panel.html?_r+1&.
Bernanke, Ben S. 2004. “Speech: The Great Moderation.” Federal Reserve Board of Governors. February 20. Accessed March 3, 2019. https://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2004/20040220/.
———. 2010. “Speech: Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble.” Federal Reserve Board of Governors. January 3. Accessed March 4, 2018. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bernanke20100103a.htm.
Brunnermeier, Marcus K., and Stefan Nagel. 2004. “Hedge Funds and the Technology Bubble.” The Journal of Finance 54 (5): 2013–2040.
Bureau of Economic Analysis. 2014. Concepts and Methods of the U.S. National Income and Product Accounts. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Commerce.
Bureau of Labor Statistics. 2009. “How the CPI Measures Price Changes of Owners’ Equivalent Rent of Primary Residence (OER) and Rent of Primary Residence (Rent).” The Bureau of Labor Statistics. April. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.bls.gov/cpi/cpifacnewrent.pdf.
Dunaway, Steven. 2009. “Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis.” Council on Foreign Relations—Council Special Report (44): 1–56.
Eichengreen, Barry. 2011. Exorbitant Priviledge: The Rise and Fall of the Dollar and the Future of the International Monetary System. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Federal Open Market Committee. 2002. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. November 6. Accessed March 3, 2018. https://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20021106.htm.
———. 2003a. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. June 24–25. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20030625.htm.
———. 2003b. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. August 12. Accessed March 31, 2018. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20030812.htm.
———. 2003c. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. December 9. Accessed March 11, 2018. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20031209.htm.
———. 2004. “Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee.” The Federal Reserve Board. January 27–28. http://www.federalreserve.gov/fomc/minutes/20040128.htm.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2018. Federal Reserve Economic Data Database. St. Louis, Missouri, 15 March.
Goodhart, Charles. 2009. “Financial Crisis and the Future of the Financial System.” 100th BRE Bank—CASE Seminar, 1–13. Warsaw: Center for Social and Economic Research.
Greenspan, Alan. 2002. “Remarks by Chairman Alan Greenspan: Economic Volatility.” The Federal Reserve Board. August 30. http://www.federalresreve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20020830.
———. 2005. “Testimony of Chairman Alan Greenspan.” The Federal Reserve Board. April 6. http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/testimony/2005/20050406/default.htm.
Jarociński, Marek, and Frank Smets. 2008. “House Prices and the Stance of Monetary Policy.” Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review 90 (4): 339–366.
Keen, Steve. 2011. “A Monetary Minsky Model of the Great Moderation and the Great Recession.” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2672): 1–15.
Keynes, John M. 1937a. “The General Theory of Employment.” The Quarterly Journal of Economics 51 (2): 209–223.
———. 1937b. “Some Economic Consequences of a Declining Population.” The Eugenics Review 13–17.
Kohn, Donald L. 2008. “Speech: Monetary Policy and Asset Prices Revisited.” The Federal Reserve Board. November 19. https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/kohn20081119a.htm.
Krugman, Paul R., Kathryn M. Dominquez, and Kenneth Rogoff. 1998. “It’s Baack: Japan’s Slump and the Return of the Liquidity Trap.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1998 (2): 137–205.
Levi, Maurice D., and John H. Makin. 1978. “Anticipated Inflation and Interest Rates: Further Interpretation of Findings of the Fisher Equation.” The American Economic Review 68 (5): 801–813.
Masters, Blake. 2012. “Peter Thiel’s CS183: Startup—Class 2 Notes Essay.” Blake Masters. April 6. Accessed March 30, 2018. http://blakemasters.com/post/20582845717/peter-thiels-cs183-startup-class-2-notes-essay.
Mehra, Yash P., and Basni Sawhney. 2010. “Inflation Measure, Taylor Rules, and the Greenspan-Bernanke Years.” Economic Quarterly 96 (2): 123–151.
Meyer, Brent, and Mehmet Pasaogullari. 2011. How Can Inflation Be Considered Low When Food and Gas Prices Are so High? Cleveland: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
Miller, Marcus, Paul Weller, and Lei Zhang. 2001. “Moral Hazard and the U.S. Stock Market: Analysing the ‘Greenspan Put’.” Center for the Study of Globalization and Regionalisation Working Paper 83 (1): 1–26.
Mishkin, Frederic. 2011. “Monetary Policy Strategy: Lessons from the Crisis.” NBER Working Paper Series (16755): 1–63.
Obstfeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff. 2009. “Global Imbalances and the Financial Crisis: Products of Common Causes.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco Asia Economic Policy Conference, 1–64. Santa Barbara: Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Posen, Adam S. 2006. “Why Central Banks Should Not Burst Bubbles.” Institute for International Economics Working Paper Series 1–15.
Rajan, Raghuram. 2010. Fault Lines: How Hidden Fractures Still Threaten the World Economy. Princeton: Princeton University Press.
Roubini, Nouriel. 2006. “Why Central Banks Should Burst Bubbles.” International Finance 9 (1): 87–107.
Sanders, Anthony. 2008. “The Subprime Crisis and Its Role in the Financial Crisis.” Journal of Housing Economics 17: 254–261.
Schwartz, Herman. 2009. Subprime Nation: American Power, Global Capital, and the Housing Bubble. Ithaca: Cornell University Press.
Smithers, Andrew. 2009. Wall Street Revalued: Imperfect Markets and Inept Central Bankers. West Sussex: Wiley.
Sutch, Richard. 2014. “The Liquidity Trap, the Great Depression, and Unconventional Policy: Reading Keynes and the Zero Lower Bound.” Berkeley Economic History Laboratory Working Paper Series 2014 (5): 1–80.
Tainer, Evelina M. 2006. Using Economic Indicators to Improve Investment Analysis. Hoboken: Wiley.
U.S. Department of the Treasury. 2018. “Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates.” Treasury.gov. March 30. Accessed March 30, 2018. https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield.
Vogel, Harold L. 2009. Financial Market Bubbles and Crashes. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
White, William R. 2009. “Should Monetary Policy ‘Lean or Clean’?” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Globalization and Monetary Policy Institute 1–24.
Wolf, Martin. 2008. Fixing Global Finance. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.
———. 2014. The Shifts and the Shocks: What We’ve Learned—And Have Still to Learn—From the Financial Crisis. New York: Penguin.
Wu, Tao. 2008. “Accounting for the Bond-Yield Conundrum.” Insights from the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas 3 (2): 1–8.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2018 The Author(s)
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Shenai, N. (2018). Monetary Policy and the Housing Bubble. In: Social Finance. Palgrave Macmillan, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-91346-9_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-91346-9_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Palgrave Macmillan, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-91345-2
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-91346-9
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)