The Mathematical Model

Abstract

Let X(t) be the number of tumor cells at time t, and Pr{X(t) = n} = p_n(t) is the density of X. A “birth”, i.e., an increase of one of the total population of cancer cells, can occur either by mutation of a normal cell caused by the action of the carcinogen, consisting of randomly (Poisson) distributed hits, or by reproduction of existing cancer cells. A death of a tumor cell occurs as an additive combination of non-immunological and immunological elements. Once a tumor is initiated by carcinogenic action, it undergoes a birth and death process with infinitesimal birth rate linear and infinitesimal death rate composed of a linear and a nonlinear term, the former due to non-immunological deaths, the latter to immunological feedback. The death rate per tumor cell due to immunological response is proportional to the total number of antigen-producing (tumor) cells; thus, the total death rate is quadratic. Although this assumes a very simple mechanism for the action of immunological feedback, it is nevertheless a first step.