Abstract
From the point of view of consumer demand theory the linear expenditure system (LES) provides a convenient model for representing consumer response to price and income and its linearity is one of its most attractive features. But when estimation problems are discussed, the descriptive adjective is more notable for its irony than its accuracy. Since Stone (1954) first calculated parameter estimates for the LES, some stochastic specifications for the system have been given. These specifications, however, ignore some of the requirements implied by economic theory and these methods of estimation lack desirable properties. This paper will deal with the problems of stochastic specification and maximum-likelihood estimation of the LES making full use of the restrictions of economic theory by assuming that the minimum required quantities for the commodities have a three-parameter multivariate lognormal distribution.
Work done for this paper was supported by the Stiftung Volks wagen werk, the Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, and grant SES-8607652 of the National Science Foundation. We are very grateful to an anonymous referee of this volume for useful comments.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
Notes
This is true if the u t are serially independent (see Barten, 1969). However, when the u t are autocorrelated, maximum-likelihood estimates may be conditional on the equation deleted. For a detailed argument, see Berndt and Savin (1975).
References
Barten, A. B.: 1964, ‘Consumer Demand Functions Under Conditions of Almost Additive Preferences’, Econometrica, 32, 1–38.
Barten, A. B.: 1969, ‘Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of a Complete System of Demand Equations’, European Economic Review, 7-73.
Berndt, E. R., and N. E. Savin: 1975, ‘Estimation and Hypothesis Testing in Singular Equation Systems with Autoregressive Disturbances,’ Econometrica, 43, 937–957.
Block, H. D., and J. Marschak: 1960, ‘Random Orderings and Stochastic Theories of Response’, in I. Olkin et al. (eds.), Contributions to Probability and Statistics, Stanford University Press, Stanford, California, U.S.A., pp. 97–132.
Chipman, J. S.: 1960, ’stochastic Choice and Subjective Probability’, in D. Willner (ed.), Decisions, Values, and Groups, 1, Pergamon Press, New York, New York, U.S.A., pp. 70–95.
Chipman, J. S.: 1985, ‘Estimation of Net-Import Demand Functions for the Federal Republic of Germany, 1959–1982’, in H. Giersch (ed.), Probleme und Perspektiven der Weltwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, Duncker & Humblot, Berlin, Germany, pp. 197–213.
Chipman, J. S., and G. Tian: 1988, ‘Generalized Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of the Linear Expenditure System with Lognormal Distribution’, manuscript.
Christensen, L. R., D. W. Jorgenson, and L. J. Lau: 1975, ‘Transcendental Logarithmic Utility Functions’, American Economic Review, 65, 367–383.
Cohen, A. C.: 1951, ‘Estimating Parameters of Logarithmic-Normal Distributions by Maximum Likelihood’, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 46, 206–212.
Davidson, D., and J. Marschak: 1959, ‘Experimental Tests of a Stochastic Decision Theory’, in C. W. Churchman and P. Ratoosh (eds.), Measurement: Definitions and Theories, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, New York, U.S.A., pp. 233–269.
Deaton, A. S.: 1975, Models and Projections of Demand in Post-War Britain, Chapman and Hall, London, England.
Deaton, A., and J. Muellbauer: 1980a, Economics and Consumer Behavior, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England.
Deaton, A., and J. Muellbauer: 1980b, ‘An Almost Ideal Demand System’, American Economic Review, 70, 312–326.
Debreu, G.: 1958, ’stochastic Choice and Cardinal Utility’, Econometrica, 26, 440–444.
Duncan, G. M.: 1987, ‘A Simple Approach to M-Estimation with Application to Two-Stage Estimators’, Journal of Econometrics, 34, 373–389.
Geary, R. C.: 1949, ‘A Note on “A Constant-Utility Index of the Cost of Living”’, Review of Economic Studies, 18, 65–66.
Hill, B. M.: 1963, ‘The Three-Parameter Lognormal Distribution and Bayesian Analysis of a Point-Source Epidemic’, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58, 72–84.
Houthakker, H. S.: 1960, ‘Additive Preferences’, Econometrica, 28, 244–257.
Huber, P.: 1967, ‘The Behavior of Maximum Likelihood Estimates under Nonstandard Conditions’, Proceedings of the Fifth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematical Statistics and Probability, 1, University of California Press, Berkeley and Los Angeles, California, U.S.A., pp. 221–233.
Johnson, N. L., and S. Kotz: 1970, Continuous Univariate Distributions-1, Houghton Mifflin Company, Boston, Massachusetts, U.S.A.
Klein, L. R., and H. Rubin: 1948, ‘A Constant-Utility Index of the Cost of Living’, Review of Economic Studies, 15, 84–87.
Lee, L. F., and M. M. Pitt: 1986a, ‘Microeconometric Demand Systems with Binding Nonnegativity Constraints: The Dual Approach’, Econometrica, 5, 1237–1242.
Lee, L. F., and M. M. Pitt: 1986b,’ specification and Estimation of Consumer Demand Systems with Many Binding Non-Negativity Constraints’, manuscript.
Lee, L. F., and M. M. Pitt: 1987, ‘Microeconometric Models of Rationing, Imperfect Markets, and Non-Negativity Constraints’, Journal of Econometrics, 36, 89–110.
Luce, R. D.: 1958, ‘A Probabilistic Theory of Utility’, Econometrica, 26, 193–224.
McFadden, D.: 1974, ‘Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior’, in P. Zarembka (ed)., Frontiers in Econometrics, Academic Press, Inc., New York, New York, U.S.A., pp. 105–142.
Malinvaud, E.: 1966, Statistical Methods of Econometrics, Rand McNally and Company, Chicago, Illinois, U.S.A.
May, K. O.: 1954, ‘Transitivity, Utility, and Aggregation in Preference Patterns’, Econometrica, 22, 1–14.
Mosteller, F., and P. Nogee: 1951, ‘An Experimental Measure of Utility’, Journal of Political Economy, 59, 371–404.
Papandreou, A. G., with the collaboration of O. H. Sauerlender, O. H. Brownlee, L. Hurwicz, and W. Franklin: 1957, ‘A Test of a Stochastic Theory of Choice’, University of California Publications in Economics, 16, 1–18.
Parks, R. W.: 1969, ’systems of Demand Equations: An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Functional Forms’, Econometrica, 37, 629–650.
Parks, R. W.: 1971, ‘Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of the Linear Expenditure System’, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 66, 900–903.
Pollak, R. A.: 1970, ‘Habit Formation and Dynamic Demand Functions’, Journal of Political Economy, 78, 745–763.
Pollak, R. A., and T. J. Wales: 1969, ‘Estimation of the Linear Expenditure System’, Econometrica, 37, 611–628.
Quandt, R. E.: 1956, ‘A Probabilistic Theory of Consumer Behavior’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, 70, 507–536.
Rao, C. R.: 1973, Linear Statistical Inference and Its Applications, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, New York, U.S.A.
Samuelson, P. A.: 1948, ’some Implications of “Linearity”’, Review of Economic Studies, 15, 88–90.
Stone, R.: 1954, ‘Linear Expenditure Systems and Demand Analysis: An Application to the Pattern of British Demand’, Economic Journal, 64, 511–527.
Stone, R.: 1964, ‘British Economic Balances in 1970: A Trial Run on Rocket’, in P. E. Hart, G. Mills, and J. K. Whitaker (eds.), Econometric Analysis for National Economic Planning, Butterworths, London, England, pp. 65–95.
Stone, R., A. Brown, and D. A. Rowe: 1964, ‘Demand Analysis and Projections for Britain: 1900–1970; A Study in Method’, in J. Sandee (ed.), Europe’s Future Consumption, 2, North-Holland, Amsterdam, Holland, pp. 200–225.
Theil, H.: 1965, ‘The Information Approach to Demand Analysis’, Econometrica, 33, 67–87.
Wales, T. J., and A. D. Woodland: 1983, ‘Estimation of Consumer Demand Systems with Binding Non-Negativity Constraints’, Journal of Econometrics, 21, 263–285.
Woodland, A. D.: 1979, ’stochastic Specification and the Estimation of Shane Equations’, Journal of Econometrics, 10, 361–383.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1989 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Chipman, J.S., Tian, G. (1989). Stochastic Specification and Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of the Linear Expenditure System. In: Raj, B. (eds) Advances in Econometrics and Modelling. Advanced Studies in Theoretical and Applied Econometrics, vol 15. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-7819-6_9
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-015-7819-6_9
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-90-481-4048-0
Online ISBN: 978-94-015-7819-6
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive