Abstract
Along with most Western nations, Australia has witnessed a decline in marriage, an increase in divorce, and a growth in the number of couples choosing to cohabit prior to, or instead of, marriage. In the mid-1970s, just 16 % of couples lived together before marrying. Now, more than three-quarters of couples do so. Same-sex marriage is commonly debated, and most states in Australia recognize same-sex relationships as a legitimate form of intimate partnering. Marriage is no longer considered an essential foundation for raising children with growing numbers of people raising children outside marriage, either as single parents or in cohabiting relationships. Despite these substantial social shifts however, marriage remains an aspiration for many young Australians and most marry at some point in their lives. This chapter commences by describing trends in the marriage rate in Australia over several decades using data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, providing international comparisons where appropriate. We then review theoretical perspectives concerned with explaining change in marriage patterns and trends that provide insights into the reasons why most still aspire to marriage. Data from the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey are used to investigate who gets married in Australia, while in-depth interviews with men and women from a smaller study investigate the meaning of marriage in people’s lives. We conclude the chapter with a discussion of possible future developments and implications.
This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution.
Buying options
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Learn about institutional subscriptionsReferences
ABS. (2007). Marriage, Australia 2006 (Catalogue no. 3306.0.55.001). Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
ABS. (2008). Australian historical population statistics, 2008 (Catalogue no. 3105.0.65.001). Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
ABS. (2010). Marriages and divorces, Australia, 2010 (Catalogue no. 3310.0). Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
ABS. (2011). Marriages and divorces, Australia, 2011 (Catalogue no. 3310.0). Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
ABS. (2012a). Marriages and divorces, Australia, 2012 (Catalogue no. 3310.0). Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
ABS. (2012b). Australian social trends (Catalogue no. 4102.0). Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Bauman, Z. (2000). Liquid modernity. Cambridge: Polity Press.
Baxter, J., Hewitt, B., & Haynes, M. (2008). Life course transitions and housework: Marriage, parenthood and time on housework. Journal of Marriage and Family, 70, 259–272.
Beck-Gernsheim, E. (2002). Reinventing the family: In search of new lifestyles. Cambridge: Polity Press.
Beck, U., & Beck-Gernsheim, E. (1995). The normal chaos of love. London: Polity Press.
Becker, G. S. (1973). A theory of marriage: Part I. Journal of Political Economy, 81, 813–846.
Brynin, M., & Ermisch, J. (2009). Introduction: The social significance of relationships. In M. Brynin & J. Ermisch (Eds.), Changing relationships. New York: Routledge.
Buchler, S., Baxter, J., Haynes, M., & Western, M. (2009). The social and demographic characteristics of cohabiters in Australia: Towards a typology of cohabiting couples. Family Matters, 82, 22–29.
Carlson, M., McLanahan, S., & England, P. (2004). Union formation in fragile families. Demography, 41, 237–261.
Cherlin, A. (2004). The deinstitutionalisation of American marriage. Journal of Marriage and Family, 66, 848–861.
Coontz, S. (2004). The world historical transformation of marriage. Journal of Marriage and Family, 66, 974–979.
De Vaus, D. (2004). Diversity and change in Australian families: Statistical profiles. Melbourne: Australian Institute of Family Studies.
De Vaus, D., Qu, L., & Weston, R. (2003). Premarital cohabitation and subsequent marital stability. Family Matters, 65, 34–39.
Edin, K., & Kefalas, M. (2005). Promises I can keep: Why poor women put motherhood before marriage. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Eurostat European Union. (2012). Europe in figures, Eurostat year book, 2012. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union.
Eurostat. (2013). Crude marriage rate European Union graph. http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/tgm/graph. Accessed 2 Dec 2013.
Evans, A., & Baxter, J. (Eds.). (2013). Negotiating the life course. Stability and change in life pathways. Dordrecht: Springer.
Giddens, A. (1992). The transformation of intimacy. Cambridge: Polity Press.
Gupta, S. (1999). The effects of transitions in marital status on men’s performance of housework. Journal of Marriage and the Family, 61, 700–711.
Heard, G. (2012, June 26). Australian census: For better or worse, marriage persists. The Conversation. http://theconversation.com/australian-census-for-better-or-worse-marriage-persists-7677. Accessed 15 May 2014.
Heaton, T. B., & Blake, A. M. (1999). Gender differences in determinants of marital disruption. Journal of Family Issues, 20, 25–45.
Hewitt, B., & Baxter, J. (2011). Who gets married in Australia? The characteristics associated with a transition into first marriage, 2001–6. Journal of Sociology, 48(1), 43–61.
Horwitz, A. V., & White, H. R. (1998). The relationship of cohabitation and mental health: A study of a young adult cohort. Journal of Marriage and the Family, 60(2), 505–514.
Manning, W. D., & Smock, P. J. (2002). First comes cohabitation and then comes marriage? A research note. Journal of Family Issues, 23(8), 1065–1087.
McLanahan, S. (2004). Diverging destinies: How children are faring under the second demographic transition. Demography, 41(4), 607–627.
NVivo qualitative data analysis software; QSR International Pty Ltd. Version 9, 2010.
OECD. (2009). Marriage and divorce. In OECD, Society at a glance 2009: OECD social indicators. OECD Publishing. http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/soc_glance-2008-8-en. Accessed 16 May 2014.
OECD. (2012). OECD family database. www.oecd.org/social/family/database. Accessed 22 Sept 2013.
Qu, L., & Soriano, G. (2004). Forming couple relationships: Adolescents’ aspirations and young adults’ actualities. Family Matters, 68, 43–49.
Sassler, S., & Schoen, R. (1999). The effect of attitudes and economic activity on marriage. Journal of Marriage and Family, 61, 147–159.
Soons, J. P. M., & Kalmijn, M. (2009). Is marriage more than cohabitation? Well-being differences in 30 European countries. Journal of Marriage and Family, 71, 1141–1157.
Soons, J. P., Liefbroer, A. C., & Kalmijn, M. (2009). The long-term consequences of relationship formation for subjective well-being. Journal of Marriage and Family, 71, 1254–1270.
StataCorp. (2008). Stata statistical software, release 10.0. College Station: Stata Corporation.
Strauss, A., & Corbin, J. (1990). Basics of qualitative research: Grounded theory procedures and techniques. Newbury Park: Sage Publications.
United Nations Statistical Division. (2011). Demographic yearbook 2011. Retrieved from http://unstats.un.org/unsd/demographic
Waite, L. J., & Lehrer, E. L. (2003). The benefits from marriage and religion in the United States: A comparative analysis. Population and Development Review, 29, 255–275.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Appendices
Appendix 3.1: HILDA Data and Measures
3.1.1 The Data
HILDA provides excellent data for our purposes (see Technical Appendix). In the current study we focus on all participants who were never married, or were currently cohabiting but never married at Wave 1 (2,098 men and 1,881 women) and follow them through to wave 6, collected in 2006, to examine the characteristics of those who transitioned into their first marriage. We further restrict our sample to those aged between 18 and 40, excluding 343 men and 258 women, and those who had responded to the attitudinal measures, excluding a further 476 men and 377 women. The final analytic samples comprise 1,279 men with an average of 4.5 wave observations and 1,246 women with an average of 4.6 wave observations.
3.1.2 Measures and Covariates
The dependent variable indicates whether or not a respondent married after wave 1 and before wave 6. This is scored 1 if the respondent married between waves 2 and 6, and scored 0 if they did not. In our final analytic sample we observe a total of 444 transitions into marriage by 205 men and 239 women. It should be noted that while cohabitation is not the primary subject of interest, it remains the main pathway into marriage and people who are cohabiting have a much greater likelihood of getting married than those living alone (de Vaus 2004). To help account for this we include a dummy variable for whether or not the respondent was cohabiting (1 = yes), with a referent of not cohabiting (single). This measure is time varying and if the respondent transitions from single into cohabitation they are given a score of 1. It is also lagged by 1 year and therefore indicates the probability of getting married given that a respondent was cohabiting in the previous year.
Age of respondent is categorized into groups: 18–25 years (reference); 25–30 years, 31–35 years, and 36–40 years. We also include a measure indicating whether or not the respondent has a child under the age of 5 in the household. Our final control is for ethnic background and is coded 1 = Australia-born, 2 = Migrant – English speaking country and 3 = Migrant – non-English speaking country.
We include highest level of education, which is scored: 1 = Year 12 or less (reference); 2 = TAFE/Certificate; 3 = Diploma; and 4 = Bachelor degree or higher. We also include a measure for employment status, indicating 1 = employed full time (reference), 2 = employed part time and 3 = not in the labour force. Due to the age range of the sample many people who were employed part time, or not in the labour force, were studying. We therefore include a dummy control for full time study (1 = yes). We also include a continuous measure of respondents’ annual individual income from wages and salary; for inclusion in the models this is scaled to $10,000 (i.e. income/10,000). Finally, we have a measure of home ownership which indicates 1 = buying or owns home (reference), 2 = renting, 3 = other (i.e. living rent free/life tenure).
We include five measures capturing different normative attitudes towards work and family that might influence the decision to marry. The first measure indicates the importance of family (1 = very important). The original variable was measured on a scale from 1 (not important at all) to 10 (the most important thing), but in preliminary analysis the average score for men was 9.13 and for women 9.5, so we dichotomised this measure to indicate those who rated the importance of family between 8 and 10 (1 = yes), relative to the rest. This measure was only asked in Wave 1 and these responses were used for all 6 waves. The next two measures capture attitudes towards the gendered division of paid and unpaid household labour in households. Respondents were asked to indicate their level of agreement with the statement “It is much better for everyone involved if the man earns the money and the woman takes care of the home and children” and “If both partners in a couple work, they should share equally in the housework and care of children”. Responses to both questions ranged from 1 (strongly disagree) to 7 (strongly agree). The questions were asked in Waves 1 and 5. Responses from Wave 1 were used for Waves 1–4 and responses from Wave 5 were used for Waves 5 and 6. We also include a measure for the importance of a respondent’s employment and work situation on a scale of 1 (not important at all) to 10 (the most important thing). This question was only asked in Wave 1 and responses are used for Wave 1–6. The final attitudinal measure indicates the importance of religion to the respondent on a scale of 1 (not at all important) to 10 (the most important thing). This was collected in Wave 1 and Wave 4. Responses at Wave 1 were used for Waves 1–3, and responses at Wave 4 were used for Waves 4–6.
For our analysis we use a mixed effect (multilevel) model with a random intercept that takes into account the multiple observations for each respondent using xtlogit in STATA (StataCorp 2008). The results are based on a model that includes all measures and interactions between age and the socioeconomic measures. The models are run separately for men and women, however all models are re-estimated on a pooled sample of men and women with gender interactions to test for significant gender differences.
Appendix 3.2: Descriptive Statistics of Model Variables, Pooled Sample, Waves 1–6 HILDA (Hewitt and Baxter 2011)
Men | Women | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Mean %c | SD | Mean %c | SD | |
Transition to Married (1 = yes) | 4 | 5 | ||
Economic measures | ||||
Education | ||||
Yr 12 or Less | 52 | 49 | ||
TAFE/Cert | 22 | 16 | ||
Diploma | 7 | 8 | ||
Bachelor degree+ | 19 | 26 | ||
Employment Status | ||||
Full time | 67 | 44 | ||
Part time | 18 | 32 | ||
Not in labour force | 15 | 24 | ||
Full time study (1 = yes) | 14 | 17 | ||
Earnings | 26,868.16 | 17,706 | 22,302.27 | 15,098 |
Home Ownership | ||||
Own/Buy | 51 | 47 | ||
Rent | 46 | 50 | ||
Other (i.e. rent free) | 3 | 3 | ||
Attitudinal Measures | ||||
Importance of family (1 = very important) | 90 | 94 | ||
Attitudes to male breadwinnerb | 3.16 | 1.7 | 2.53 | 1.7 |
Attitudes to sharing housework/childcareb | 5.64 | 1.3 | 6.28 | 1.11 |
Importance of employment and worka | 7.66 | 2.0 | 7.31 | 2.4 |
Importance of religiona | 2.45 | 3.1 | 3.66 | 3.4 |
Controls | ||||
Child under 5 (1 = yes) | 6 | 14 | ||
Cohabiting (lagged 1 = yes) | 24 | 31 | ||
Age cohort of respondent | ||||
<25 | 51 | 54 | ||
26–30 | 22 | 21 | ||
31–35 (ref) | 15 | 15 | ||
36–40 | 12 | 10 | ||
N | 1,279 | 1,746 | ||
Person-years | 5,756 | 5,732 |
Appendix 3.3: Mixed Effect Logit Model of the Odds of Marriage for Men (Hewitt and Baxter 2011)
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Odds ratio | Odds ratio | Odds ratio | Odds ratio | |
Economic measures | ||||
Education | ||||
Yr 12 or Less (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
TAFE/Cert | 1.04 | 0.92 | 0.92 | |
Diploma | 2.38†c | 2.04 | 1.93 | |
Bachelor degree or higher | 3.04** | 3.07** | 2.81 | |
Employment Status | ||||
Full time (ref) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Part time | 0.27** | 0.16* | 0.16** | |
Not in labour force | 0.40* | 0.56 | 0.52 | |
Full time study (1 = yes) | 1.29c | 1.46 | 1.40 | |
Earnings (scaled $10,000) | 1.16† | 1.48* | 1.49* | |
Home Ownership | ||||
Own/Buy (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
Renting | 0.47** | 0.49** | ||
Other (i.e. rent free) | 0.29 | 0.37 | ||
Attitudinal Measures | ||||
Importance of family (1 = very important) | 1.50 | 1.30 | ||
Attitudes to male breadwinnerb | 1.00 | 1.05 | ||
Attitudes to sharing housework/childcareb | 1.08 | 1.10 | ||
Importance of employment and worka | 0.95c | 0.92 | ||
Importance of religiona | 1.10** | 1.12** | ||
Significant Interactions (Models 2 & 4) | ||||
26–30*Earnings | 0.70† | 0.69* | ||
36–40*Earnings | 0.63† | 0.66† | ||
Controls | ||||
Child under 5 (1 = yes) | 2.42*c | 2.24*c | 1.74c | 2.00† |
Cohabiting (lagged 1 = yes) | 6.60*** | 6.91*** | 8.07*** | 6.75*** |
Age of respondent | ||||
<25 (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
26–30 | 3.32*** | 8.73** | 5.72***c | 8.56* |
31–35 | 2.46* | 3.81 | 4.22*** | 3.70† |
36–40 | 1.37c | 4.29 | 2.39*c | 3.90 |
Ethnic Background | ||||
Australia-born (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Migrant – English speaking | 2.18 | 2.12 | 2.49* | 2.14† |
Migrant – non-English speaking | 2.00† | 2.30* | 1.55 | 1.58 |
Appendix 3.4: Mixed Effect Logit Model of the Odds of Marriage for Women (Hewitt and Baxter 2011)
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Odds ratio | Odds ratio | Odds ratio | Odds ratio | |
Economic measures | ||||
Education | ||||
Yr 12 or less (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
TAFE/Cert | 1.02 | 0.99c | 0.95 | |
Diploma | 0.88c | 0.80c | 0.83 | |
Bachelor degree or higher | 1.40 | 1.36 | 1.46 | |
Employment status | ||||
Full time (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Part time | 0.63* | 0.60 | 0.63 | |
Not in labour force | 0.59† | 1.30 | 1.28 | |
Full time study (1 = yes) | 0.37**c | 0.35**c | 0.35**c | |
Earnings (scaled $10,000) | 1.13 | 1.36* | 1.38* | |
Home ownership | ||||
Own/buy (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | ||
Rent | 0.41*** | 0.43*** | ||
Other (i.e. rent free) | 0.17* | 0.17* | ||
Attitudinal measures | ||||
Importance of family (1 = very important) | 3.16* | 2.83* | ||
Attitudes to male breadwinnerb | 1.03 | 1.08 | ||
Attitudes to sharing housework/childcareb | 0.91 | 0.94 | ||
Importance of employment and worka | 1.08†c | 1.00 | ||
Importance of religiona | 1.07** | 1.08** | ||
Significant interactions (models 2 & 4) | ||||
26–30*Not in the labour force | 0.21**c | 0.21**c | ||
31–35*Not in the labour force | 0.28† | 0.24† | ||
26–30*Earnings | 0.57**c | 0.56**c | ||
Controls | ||||
Child under 5 (1 = yes) | 0.90c | 0.89c | 0.71c | 0.88c |
Cohabiting (lagged 1 = yes) | 7.02*** | 6.78*** | 8.21*** | 7.33*** |
Age of respondent | ||||
<25 (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
26–30 | 1.72* | 9.43***c | 2.47***c | 10.17***c |
31–35 | 1.22 | 1.41 | 1.68† | 1.52 |
36–40 | 0.39*c | 0.14†c | 0.55c | 0.13†c |
Ethnic background | ||||
Australia-born (reference) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Migrant – English speaking | 1.29 | 1.19 | 1.43 | 1.23 |
Migrant – non-English speaking | 1.68 | 1.66 | 1.19 | 1.43 |
Appendix 3.5: Qualitative Thematic Analysis
Thematic codesa | Sourcesb | Referencesc |
---|---|---|
Commitment (main theme) | 20 | 49 |
Security/stability (sub- theme) | 17 | 21 |
Love | 9 | 11 |
Total | 81 | |
Ritual | 17 | 29 |
Public ritual – religious | 9 | 16 |
Public ritual – non-religious | 8 | 10 |
Total | 26 | |
Capstone | 12 | 14 |
Natural progression | 6 | 8 |
Total | 22 |
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2015 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Baxter, J., Hewitt, B., Rose, J. (2015). Marriage. In: Heard, G., Arunachalam, D. (eds) Family Formation in 21st Century Australia. Springer, Dordrecht. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9279-0_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-94-017-9279-0_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Dordrecht
Print ISBN: 978-94-017-9278-3
Online ISBN: 978-94-017-9279-0
eBook Packages: Humanities, Social Sciences and LawSocial Sciences (R0)