Abstract
The trajectory of output growth, more precisely economic growth and its interaction with other phenomena of an economy follows a complex path. Among many phenomena the one that has caught the world attention at large scale especially since the work of Piketty and Saez is the “Rising Inequality in Incomes”. Though for some countries like India there was a reduction in the poverty level, there seems no positive bearing on economic growth in improving income distribution for past two decades. In this paper, we have used ARDL cointegration approach to analyze the relationship between income inequality (EHII, from UTIP-UNIDO) and its various determinants from 1964 to 2007. Besides using data on Estimated Household Income Inequality (EHII), we have used income share of top 1% as an alternative measure of inequality. Our results reveal no relevance of Kuznets Hypothesis, instead, the relationship is U-shaped in nature, implying that with the initial rise in GDP per capita inequality decreases, later on as GDP increases, inequality tends to increase. Among the control variables, CPI (price level) is found to be positively and Government expenditure negatively related to inequality, while trade openness showed no significant relationship.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
Ahluwalia, M. S. (1976). Income distribution and development: some stylized facts. The American Economic Review, 66, 128–135.
Ahluwalia, M. S. (2000). Economic performance of states in post-reforms period. Economic and Political Weekly, 35, 1637–1648.
Ahmad, W., Nain, M. Z., & Kamaiah, B. (2014). On the role of the trend and cyclical components in electricity consumption and India’s economic growth: A cointegration and cofeature approach. OPEC Energy Review, 38(1), 107–126.
Alesina, A., & Perotti, R. (1996). Income distribution, political instability, and investment. European Economic Review, 40(6), 1203–1228.
Alesina, A., Perotti, R., Alesina, A., Rodrik, D., Barro, R., BÃnabou, R., et al. (1994). Is inequality harmful for growth? Theory and evidence. The American Economic Review, 84(3), 600–621.
Anand, S., & Kanbur, S. R. (1993a). Inequality and development a critique. Journal of Development Economics, 41(1), 19–43.
Anand, S., & Kanbur, S. R. (1993b). The Kuznets process and the inequality development relationship. Journal of Development Economics, 40(1), 25–52.
Ang, J. B. (2010). Finance and inequality: The case of India. Southern Economic Journal, 76(3), 738–761. http://journal.southerneconomic.org/doi/abs/10.4284/sej.2010.76.3.738.
Angeles, L. (2010). An alternative test of Kuznets hypothesis. The Journal of Economic Inequality, 8(4), 463–473. doi:10.1007/s10888-009-9117-4.
Bahmani-Oskooee, M., & Gelan, A. (2008). Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis revisited: A time-series approach using US data. Applied Economics Letters, 15(9), 677–681. doi:10.1080/13504850600749040.
Bandelj, N., & Mahutga, M. C. (2010). How socio-economic change shapes income inequality in post-socialist Europe. Social Forces, 88(5), 2133–2161.
Banerjee, A., Dolado, J., & Mestre, R. (1998). Error-correction mechanism tests for cointegration in a single-equation framework. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 19(3), 267–283. doi:10.1111/1467-9892.00091.
Bastagli, F., Coady, D., & Gupta, S. (2012). Income inequality and fiscal policy. Tech. rep., International Monetary Fund. http://ideas.repec.org/p/imf/imfsdn/12-08r.html.
Bensidoun, I., Jean, S., & Sztulman, A. (2005). International trade and income distribution: Reconsidering the evidence. Tech. rep. http://ideas.repec.org/p/cii/cepidt/2005-17.html.
Bhagwati, J., & Srinivasan, T. N. (2002). Trade and poverty in the poor countries. American Economic Review, 92, 180–183.
Blejer, M. I., & Guerrero, I. (1990). The impact of macroeconomic policies on income distribution: An empirical study of the Philippines. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 414–423.
Bourguignon, F., & Morrisson, C. (1998). Inequality and development: The role of dualism. Journal of Development Economics, 57(2), 233–257.
Chakravarty, S. (1987). Development planning: The Indian experience. Oxford: Clarendon Press.
Chambers, D. (2007). Trading places: Does past growth impact inequality? Journal of Development Economics, 82(1), 257–266.
Charles-Coll, J. A. (2011). Understanding income inequality: Concept, causes and measurement. International Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, 1(3), 17–28.
Chen, Z. (2007). Development and inequality: Evidence from an endogenous switching regression without regime separation. Economics Letters, 96(2), 269–274.
Cheng, W., et al. (2014). Understanding the Kuznets process: An empirical investigation of income inequality in China 1978–2011. Tech. rep., Monash University, Department of Economics. http://ideas.repec.org/p/mos/moswps/2014-12.html.
Chu, K.-Y., Davoodi, H. R., & Gupta, S. (2000). Income distribution and tax and government social spending policies in developing countries. International Monetary Fund.
Datt, G., & Ravallion, M. (1998). Farm productivity and rural poverty in India. The Journal of Development Studies, 34(4), 62–85.
Daudey, E., & GarcÃ-a-Peà alosa, C. (2007). The personal and the factor distributions of income in a cross-section of countries. Journal of Development Studies, 43(5), 812–829. doi:10.1080/00220380701384406.
Deininger, K., & Squire, L. (1996). A new data set measuring income inequality. The World Bank Economic Review, 10(3), 565–591.
Deininger, K., & Squire, L. (1998). New ways of looking at old issues: Inequality and growth. Journal of Development Economics, 57(2), 259–287.
DeSa, U. N. (2013). Inequality matters. Report on the World Social Situation 2013. New York, United Nations.
Desbordes, R., & Verardi, V. (2012). Refitting the Kuznets curve. Economics Letters, 116(2), 258–261.
Eicher, T. S., & Turnovsky, S. J. (2003). Inequality and growth: Theory and policy implications (Vol. 1). US: MIT Press.
Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 55, 251–276.
Ferreira, F. H., Leite, P. G., & Wai-Poi, M. (2007). Trade liberalization, employment flows, and wage inequality in Brazil.
Fields, G. S. (1980). Poverty, inequality, and development. CUP Archive.
Foster, J. E. (1985). Inequality measurement. Fair Allocation, 33, 31–68.
Frazer, G. (2006). Inequality and development across and within countries. World Development, 34(9), 1459–1481.
Galbraith, J. K. (2007). Global inequality and global macroeconomics. Journal of Policy Modeling, 29(4), 587–607.
Galbraith, J. K., Halbach, B., Malinowska, A., Shams, A., & Zhang, W. (2014). The UTIP global inequality data sets 1963–2008. http://utip.gov.utexas.edu/papers/UTIP_68.pdf.
Galbraith, J. K., & Kum, H. (2005). Estimating the inequality of household incomes: A statistical approach to the creation of a dense and consistent global data set. Review of Income and Wealth, 51(1), 115–143. doi:10.1111/j.1475-4991.2005.00147.x.
Galor, O., & Tsiddon, D. (1996). Income distribution and growth: The Kuznets hypothesis revisited. Economica, 63, S103–S117 (2554811).
Hansen, B. E., & Phillips, P. C. (1990). Estimation and inference in models of cointegration: A simulation study. Advances in Econometrics, 8(1989), 225–248.
Higgins, M., & Williamson, J. G. (1999). Explaining inequality the world round: Cohort size, Kuznets curves, and openness. Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research. http://www.nber.org/papers/w7224.
Huang, H. C., Lin, Y. C., & Yeh, C. C. (2012). An appropriate test of the Kuznets hypothesis. Applied Economics Letters, 19(1), 47–51. doi:10.1080/13504851.2011.566172.
Jha, S. K. (1996). The Kuznets curve: A reassessment. World Development, 24(4), 773–780.
Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2), 231–254.
Johansen, S. (1995). Identifying restrictions of linear equations with applications to simultaneous equations and cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 69(1), 111–132.
Johansen, S., & Juselius, K. (1990). Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration with applications to the demand for money. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), 169–210. doi:10.1111/j.1468-0084.1990.mp52002003.x.
Kanbur, R., & Zhuang, J. (2013). Urbanization and inequality in Asia. Asian Development Review, 30(1), 131–147. doi:10.1162/ADEV_a_00006.
Kapoor, R. (2013). Inequality matters. Economic Political Weekly, 48(2), 58–65.
Kim, D. H., Huang, H. C., & Lin, S. C. (2011). Kuznets hypothesis in a panel of states. Contemporary Economic Policy, 29(2), 250–260. doi:10.1111/j.1465-7287.2010.00218.x/full.
Krishna, P., & Sethupathy, G. (2011). Trade and inequality in India. Tech. rep., National Bureau of Economic Research. http://www.nber.org/papers/w17257.
Kumar, U., & Mishra, P. (2008). Trade liberalization and wage inequality: Evidence from India. Review of Development Economics, 12(2), 291–311. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9361.2007.00388.x/full.
Kuznets, S. (1955). Economic growth and income inequality. The American Economic Review, 45(1), 1–28.
Kuznets, S. (1963). Quantitative aspects of the economic growth of nations: VIII. Distribution of income by size. Economic development and Cultural Change, 11.2, 1–80.
Lewis, W. A. (1954). Economic development with unlimited supplies of labour. The Manchester School, 22(2), 139–191. doi:10.1111/j.1467-9957.1954.tb00021.x.
Lim, C. Y., & Sek, S. K. (2014). Exploring the two-way relationship between income inequality and growth. Journal of Advanced Management Science, 2(1), 33.
Lin, S. C., Suen, Y.-B., Yeh, C. C., et al. (2007). A quantile inference of the Kuznets hypothesis. Economic Modelling, 24(4), 559–570.
Lind, J. T., & Mehlum, H. (2010). With or without U? The appropriate test for a U-shaped relationship. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 72(1), 109–118. doi:10.1111/j.1468-0084.2009.00569.x/full.
List, J. A., & Gallet, C. A. (1999). The Kuznets curve: What happens after the inverted-U? Review of Development Economics, 3(2), 200–206. doi:10.1111/1467-9361.00061/full.
Litchfield, J. (2001). Updated Income Distribution and Poverty Measures for Chile: 1987–1998. Background Paper, 1, 1987–1998.
Lorenz, M. O. (1905). Methods of measuring the concentration of wealth. Publications of the American Statistical Association, 9(70), 209–219. doi:10.1080/15225437.1905.10503443.
Lubrano, M. (2012). The econometrics of inequality and poverty. Lecture 4: Lorenz curves, the Gini coefficient and parametric distributions. http://www.vcharite.univ-mrs.fr/PP/lubrano/cours/Lecture-4.pdf.
Motonishi, T. (2006). Why has income inequality in Thailand increased?: An analysis using surveys from 1975 to 1998. Japan and the World Economy, 18(4), 464–487.
Mushinski, D. W. (2001). Using non-parametrics to inform parametric tests of Kuznets’ hypothesis. Applied Economics Letters, 8(2), 77–79. doi:10.1080/13504850150204093.
Nain, M. Z., Ahmad, W., & Kamaiah, B. (2017). Economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emissions in India: A disaggregated causal analysis. International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 36(8), 807–824.
Nain, M. Z., & Kamaiah, B. (2012). On the relationship between nominal and real effective exchange rates in India: Evidence from the ARDL bounds tests. IUP Journal of Applied Economics, 11(4), 50.
Ogwang, T. (1994). Economic development and income inequality: A nonparametric investigation of Kuznets’ U-curve hypothesis. Journal of Quantitative Economics, 10, 139–153.
Okun, A. M. (1975). Equality and efficiency, the big tradeoff. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press.
Oosthuizen, M. (2007). Consumer Price inflation across the income distribution in South Africa. Development Policy Research Unit, University of Cape Town. http://core.kmi.open.ac.uk/download/pdf/6261866.pdf.
Oshima, H. T. (1962). The international comparison of size distribution of family incomes with special reference to Asia. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 44, 439–445.
Ouattara, B. (2004). Foreign aid and fiscal policy in Senegal. Tech. rep., Mimeo University of Manchester Manchester.
Pal, P., & Ghosh, J. (2007). Inequality in India: A survey of recent trends. Economic and Social Affairs Working Paper (Vol. 45).
Paukert, F. (1973). Income distribution at different levels of development: A survey of evidence. International Labour Review, 108, 97.
Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society, 1361–1401.
Perron, P. (1997). Further evidence on breaking trend functions in macroeconomic variables. Journal of econometrics, 80(2), 355–385.
Pesaran, M. H., & Pesaran, B. (1997). Working with Microfit 4.0: Interactive econometric analysis. London: Oxford University Press.
Pesaran, M. H., & Shin, Y. (1998). An autoregressive distributed-lag modelling approach to cointegration analysis. Econometric Society Monographs, 31, 371–413.
Persson, T., & Tabellini, G. (1994). Is inequality harmful for growth? The American Economic Review, 84(3), 600–621.
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. doi:10.1002/jae.616/full.
Phillips, P. C., & Perron, P. (1988). Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75(2), 335–346.
Piketty, T. (2014). Capital in the twenty-first century. Harvard (US): Harvard University Press.
Ram, R. (1988). Economic development and income inequality: Further evidence on the U-curve hypothesis. World Development, 16(11), 1371–1376.
Ram, R. (1991). Kuznets’s inverted-U hypothesis: evidence from a highly developed country. Southern Economic Journal, 57, 1112–1123.
Ranciere, R., & Kumhof, M. M. (2010). Inequality, leverage and crises (No. 10–268). International Monetary Fund.
Rangvid, J. (2001). Increasing convergence among European stock markets?: A recursive common stochastic trends analysis. Economics Letters, 71(3), 383–389.
Rao, M. M., Samant, A. P., & Asher, N. L. (1999). Indian Macro-Economic Data Base in a Consistency Accounting Framework (1950–51 to 1997–98): I: Identifying Sectoral and Economywide Budget Constraints. Economic and Political Weekly, 2243–2262.
Ravallion, M. (2000). Prices, wages and poverty in rural India: What lessons do the time series data hold for policy? Food Policy, 25(3), 351–364.
Ray, D. (1998). Development economics. US: Princeton University Press.
Rodrik, D., & Alesina, A. (1994). Distributive politics and economic growth. http://dash.harvard.edu/handle/1/4551798.
Sagala, P., Akita, T., & Yusuf, A. A. (2013). Urbanization and expenditure inequality in Indonesia: Testing the Kuznets hypothesis with provincial panel data. Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 1–15. doi:10.1007/s12076-013-0106-7.
Saith, A. (1983). Development and distribution: A critique of the cross-country U-hypothesis. Journal of Development Economics, 13(3), 367–382.
Salotti, S., & Trecroci, C. (2013). Can fiscal policy mitigate income inequality and poverty? Available at SSRN 2379441. http://www.alde.es/encuentros/trabajos/s/pdf/78.pdf.
Sato, S., & Fukushige, M. (2009). Globalization and economic inequality in the short and long run: The case of South Korea 1975–1995. Journal of Asian Economics, 20(1), 62–68.
Sen, A. (1973). On economic inequality. OUP Catalogue. http://ideas.repec.org/b/oxp/obooks/9780198281931.html.
Sen, A. K. (1997a). From income inequality to economic inequality. Southern Economic Journal, 384–401, 1060857.
Sen, A. K. (1997b). On Economic Inequality, expanded edition with a substantial annexe by James E. Foster and Amartya Sen. Oxford: Clarendon Press. (1979). The welfare basis of real income comparisons: A survey. Journal of Economic Literature, 17(1), 1–45.
Shahbaz, M. (2010). Income inequality-economic growth and non-linearity: A case of Pakistan. International Journal of Social Economics, 37(8), 613–636.
Shahbaz, M., & Islam, F. (2011). Financial development and income inequality in Pakistan: An application of ARDL approach. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/28222/.
Sinha, N., et al. (2004). Growth, inequality and structural adjustment: An empirical interpretation of the S-curve for Indian economy. https://digitalcollections.anu.edu.au/handle/1885/42134.
Stiglitz, J. (2012). The price of inequality. Penguin UK.
Stolper, W. F., & Samuelson, P. A. (1941). Protection and real wages. The Review of Economic Studies, 9(1), 58–73.
Theil, H. (1967). Economics and information theory. http://cds.cern.ch/record/432570.
Thornton, J. (2001). The Kuznets inverted-U hypothesis: Panel data evidence from 96 countries. Applied Economics Letters, 8(1), 15–16. doi:10.1080/135048501750041213.
Tiongson, E., & de Mello, L. R. (2003). Income inequality and redistributive government spending. International Monetary Fund.
Tiwari, A. K., Shahbaz, M., & Islam, F. (2013). Does financial development increase rural-urban income inequality?: Cointegration analysis in the case of Indian economy. International Journal of Social Economics, 40(2), 151–168.
Torsten, P., & Guido, T. (1994). Is inequality harmful for growth? The American Economic Review, 84(3), 600–621.
Walsh, M. J., & Yu, J. (2012). Inflation and income inequality: Is food inflation different?(EPub). International Monetary Fund.
Wolff, E. N. (2009). Poverty and income distribution. UK: Blackwell Pub.
Zhou, X., & Li, K.-W. (2011). Inequality and development: Evidence from semiparametric estimation with panel data. Economics Letters, 113(3), 203–207.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Ganaie, A.A., Bhat, S.A., Kamaiah, B. (2017). An Empirical Verification of Kuznets Hypothesis in India. In: De, U., Pal, M., Bharati, P. (eds) Inequality, Poverty and Development in India. India Studies in Business and Economics. Springer, Singapore. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6274-2_3
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-6274-2_3
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Singapore
Print ISBN: 978-981-10-6273-5
Online ISBN: 978-981-10-6274-2
eBook Packages: Economics and FinanceEconomics and Finance (R0)