Skip to main content
Log in

Comparison of surface air temperature derived from NCEP/DOE R2, ERA-Interim, and observations in the arid northwestern China: a consideration of altitude errors

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Theoretical and Applied Climatology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The surface air temperatures measured at 68 meteorological stations in the arid northwestern China during 1979–2012 are compared with temperatures interpolated from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Department of Energy (NCEP/DOE) Reanalysis 2 (NCEP R2) and the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts ERA-Interim. The altitude effects on reanalysis temperature errors are discussed, and the interpolated reanalysis data are calibrated by altitude errors between reanalysis and observation. Using a simple correction method with a constant lapse rate, the elevation-related errors can be greatly removed and an improvement is achieved for the interpolated temperature from both NCEP R2 and ERA-Interim. The cold bias of reanalysis data becomes weak after calibration. On an annual basis, root mean square error of temperature derived from NCEP R2 for each stations has decreased from 6.0 (raw data) to 2.6 °C (calibrated data) and that from ERA-Interim has decreased from 3.2 to 1.4 °C. Similarly, correlation coefficients between raw reanalysis-based and observed temperature are 0.191 and 0.709 for NCEP R2 and ERA-Interim, respectively, whereas the correlation coefficients using the calibrated annual data are 0.819 and 0.932 for NCEP R2 and ERA-Interim, respectively. Generally, ERA-Interim is closer to the ground-based observations than NCEP R2. The topographic correction is more effective in summer than in winter, which may be related to the temperature inversion in winter. Evaluation and correction of reanalysis datasets is a crucial work before the gridded data are applied in climate research, and the altitude-related errors should be calibrated especially in the regions with complex topography.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Bengtsson L, Hagemann S, Hodges KI (2004) Can climate trends be calculated from reanalysis data? J Geophys Res 109. doi:10.1029/2004JD004536

  • Chen Z, Chen Y, Li W (2012) Response of runoff to change of atmospheric 0 °C level height in summer in arid region of Northwest China. Sci China Earth Sci 55:1533–1544. doi:10.1007/s11430-012-4472-6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cornes RC, Jones PD (2013) How well does the ERA-Interim reanalysis replicate trends in extremes of surface temperature across Europe? J Geophys Res 118:10262–10276. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50799

    Google Scholar 

  • Cosgrove BA, Lohmann D, Mitchell KE, Houser PR, Wood EF, Schaake JC, Robock A, Marshall C, Sheffield J, Duan Q, Luo L, Wayne Higgins R, Pinker RT, Dan Tarpley J, Meng J (2003) Real-time and retrospective forcing in the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) project. J Geophys Res 108. doi:10.1029/2002JD003118

  • Dee DP, Uppala SM, Simmons AJ, Berrisford P, Poli P, Kobayashi S, Andrae U, Balmaseda MA, Balsamo G, Bauer P, Bechtold P, Beljaars ACM, van de Berg L, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Delsol C, Dragani R, Fuentes M, Geer AJ, Haimberger L, Healy SB, Hersbach H, Hólm EV, Isaksen L, Kållberg P, Köhler M, Matricardi M, McNally AP, Monge-Sanz BM, Morcrette J-J, Park B-K, Peubey C, de Rosnay P, Tavolato C, Thépaut J-N, Vitart F (2011) The ERA-Interim reanalysis: configuration and performance of the data assimilation system. Q J R Meteorol Soc 137:553–597. doi:10.1002/qj.828

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fang J-Y, Yoda K (1988) Climate and vegetation in China (I). Changes in the altitudinal lapse rate of temperature and distribution of sea level temperature. Ecol Res 3:37–51. doi:10.1007/BF02348693

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holden J, Rose R (2011) Temperature and surface lapse rate change: a study of the UK’s longest upland instrumental record. Int J Climatol 31:907–919. doi:10.1002/joc.2136

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R, Collins W, Deaven D, Gandin L, Iredell M, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Zhu Y, Leetmaa A, Reynolds R, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Higgins W, Janowiak J, Mo KC, Ropelewski C, Wang J, Jenne R, Joseph D (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437–471. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<0437:TNYRP>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kanamitsu M, Ebisuzaki W, Woollen J, Yang S-K, Hnilo JJ, Fiorino M, Potter GL (2002) NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull Am Meteorol Soc 83:1631–1643. doi:10.1175/BAMS-83-11-1631

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kistler R, Kalnay E, Collins W, Saha S, White G, Woollen J, Chelliah M, Ebisuzaki W, Kanamitsu M, Kousky V, Van den Dool H, Jenne R, Fiorino M (2001) The NCEP-NCAR 50-year reanalysis: monthly means CD-ROM and documentation. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 82:247–267. doi:10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<0247:TNNYRM> 2.3.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kostopoulou E, Giannakopoulos C, Holt T, Le Sager P (2010) Assessment of interpolated ERA-40 reanalysis temperature and precipitation against observations of the Balkan Peninsula. Theor Appl Climatol 102:115–124. doi:10.1007/s00704-009-0249-z

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li Q, Liu X, Zhang H, Peterson TC, Easterling DR (2004) Detecting and adjusting temporal inhomogeneity in Chinese mean surface air temperature data. Adv Atmos Sci 21:260–268. doi:10.1007/BF02915712

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li B, Chen Y, Shi X (2012) Why does the temperature rise faster in the arid region of northwest China. J Geophys Res 117. doi:10.1029/2012JD017953

  • Liu Z, Xu Z, Yao Z, Huang H (2012) Comparison of surface variables from ERA and NCEP reanalysis with station data over eastern China. Theor Appl Climatol 107:611–621. doi:10.1007/s00704-011-0501-1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu X, Zhang D, Luo Y, Liu C (2013) Spatial and temporal changes in aridity index in northwest China: 1960 to 2010. Theor Appl Climatol 112:307–316. doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0734-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ma L, Zhang T, Li Q, Frauenfeld OW, Qin D (2008) Evaluation of ERA-40, NCEP-1, and NCEP-2 reanalysis air temperatures with ground-based measurements in China. J Geophys Res 113. doi:10.1029/2007JD009549

  • Mamtimin B, Meixner FX (2011) Air pollution and meteorological processes in the growing dryland city of Urumqi (Xinjiang, China). Sci Total Environ 409:1277–1290. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2010.12.010

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mooney PA, Mulligan FJ, Fealy R (2011) Comparison of ERA-40, ERA-Interim and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data with observed surface air temperatures over Ireland. Int J Climatol 31:545–557. doi:10.1002/joc.2098

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pepin N (2001) Lapse rate changes in northern England. Theor Appl Climatol 68:1–16. doi:10.1007/s007040170049

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pepin N, Benham D, Taylor K (1999) Modeling lapse rates in the maritime uplands of Northern England: implications for climate change. Arct Antarct Alp Res 31:151–164. doi:10.2307/1552603

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rolland C (2003) Spatial and seasonal variations of air temperature lapse rates in alpine regions. J Clim 16:1032–1046. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2003)016<1032:SASVOA>2.0.CO;2

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Screen JA, Simmonds I (2011) Erroneous Arctic temperature trends in the ERA-40 Reanalysis: a closer look. J Clim 24:2620–2627. doi:10.1175/2010JCLI4054.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shepard D (1968) A two-dimensional interpolation function for irregularly-spaced data. Proceedings of the 1968 ACM National Conference. 517–524. doi:10.1145/800186.810616

  • Shi Y, Shen Y, Kang E, Li D, Ding Y, Zhang G, Hu R (2007) Recent and future climate change in northwest China. Clim Chang 80:379–393. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9121-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Simmons AJ, Jones PD, Bechtold VD, Beljaars ACM, Kallberg PW, Saarinen S, Uppala SM, Viterbo P, Wedi N (2004) Comparison of trends and low-frequency variability in CRU, ERA-40, and NCEP/NCAR analyses of surface air temperature. J Geophys Res 109. doi:10.1029/2004JD005306

  • Uppala SM, KÅllberg PW, Simmons AJ, Andrae U, Bechtold VDC, Fiorino M, Gibson JK, Haseler J, Hernandez A, Kelly GA, Li X, Onogi K, Saarinen S, Sokka N, Allan RP, Andersson E, Arpe K, Balmaseda MA, Beljaars ACM, Berg LVD, Bidlot J, Bormann N, Caires S, Chevallier F, Dethof A, Dragosavac M, Fisher M, Fuentes M, Hagemann S, Hólm E, Hoskins BJ, Isaksen L, Janssen PAEM, Jenne R, Mcnally AP, Mahfouf J-F, Morcrette J-J, Rayner NA, Saunders RW, Simon P, Sterl A, Trenberth KE, Untch A, Vasiljevic D, Viterbo P, Woollen J (2005) The ERA-40 re-analysis. Q J R Meteorol Soc 131:2961–3012. doi:10.1256/qj.04.176

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang XL (2008) Accounting for autocorrelation in detecting mean shifts in climate data series using the penalized maximal t or F test. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 47:2423–2444. doi:10.1175/2008JAMC1741.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang A, Zeng X (2012) Evaluation of multireanalysis products with in situ observations over the Tibetan Plateau. J Geophys Res 117. doi:10.1029/2011JD016553

  • Wang Y, Wang J, Qi Y, Yan C (2005) Dataset of desert distribution in China (1:100,000). Environmental and Ecological Science Data Center for West China. National Natural Science Foundation of China, Lanzhou, China. doi:10.3972/westdc.006.2013.db

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang H, Chen Y, Chen Z (2013a) Spatial distribution and temporal trends of mean precipitation and extremes in the arid region, northwest of China, during 1960–2010. Hydrol Process 27:1807–1818. doi:10.1002/hyp.9339

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang H, Chen Y, Xun S, Lai D, Fan Y, Li Z (2013b) Changes in daily climate extremes in the arid area of northwestern China. Theor Appl Climatol 112:15–28. doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0698-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Xu W, Li Q, Wang XL, Yang S, Cao L, Feng Y (2013) Homogenization of Chinese daily surface air temperatures and analysis of trends in the extreme temperature indices. J Geophys Res 118. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50791

  • Yao T, Wang Y, Liu S, Pu J, Shen Y, Lu A (2004) Recent glacial retreat in High Asia in China and its impact on water resource in Northwest China. Sci China Ser D Earth Sci 47:1065–1075. doi:10.1360/03yd0256

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • You L, Liu Y (1995) Some microphysical characteristics of cloud and precipitation over China. Atmos Res 35:271–281. doi:10.1016/0169-8095(94)00023-7

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • You Q, Kang S, Pepin N, Flügel W-A, Yan Y, Behrawan H, Huang J (2010) Relationship between temperature trend magnitude, elevation and mean temperature in the Tibetan Plateau from homogenized surface stations and reanalysis data. Glob Planet Chang 71:124–133. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2010.01.020

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • You Q, Fraedrich K, Ren G, Pepin N, Kang S (2013) Variability of temperature in the Tibetan Plateau based on homogenized surface stations and reanalysis data. Int J Climatol 33:1337–1347. doi:10.1002/joc.3512

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao T, Guo W, Fu C (2008) Calibrating and evaluating reanalysis surface temperature error by topographic correction. J Clim 21:1440–1446. doi:10.1175/2007JCLI1463.1

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao X, Tan K, Zhao S, Fang J (2011) Changing climate affects vegetation growth in the arid region of the northwestern China. J Arid Environ 75:946–952. doi:10.1016/j.jaridenv.2011.05.007

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) (no. 2013CBA01801) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (no. 41161012). The authors are very grateful to the editor and other anonymous reviewer for their constructive suggestions.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mingjun Zhang.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Wang, S., Zhang, M., Sun, M. et al. Comparison of surface air temperature derived from NCEP/DOE R2, ERA-Interim, and observations in the arid northwestern China: a consideration of altitude errors. Theor Appl Climatol 119, 99–111 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1107-1

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-014-1107-1

Keywords

Navigation