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Survival of the cleanest? Evidence from a plant-level analysis of pollutant emissions in Canadian pulp and paper industry, 2005–2013

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Abstract

We capitalize on access to plant-level data in examining the changes in emissions of biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), total suspended solids (TSS), and greenhouse gas (GHG) for a set of Canadian pulp and paper mills from 2005 to 2013. In particular, we investigate the roles played by changes in output, emission intensity, allocation of production among surviving plants, and plant closures. Output change is the main factor and improvement of emission intensity by surviving plants—the so-called technique effect—brings a small, yet positive contribution. However, there are no indications that market operations determining plant output and plant survival lead to lower emissions.

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Notes

  1. Aldy (2016) presents two frameworks, social welfare and political economy, to evaluate the competitive concerns related to GHG emission mitigating policies.

  2. See Levinson (2015) for a list of related studies.

  3. Greenstone et al. (2012) use US plant data to analyze the impact of environmental regulation on plant total factor productivity (TFP). Bae (2017) analyzes the changes in toxic releases by 351 plants in Upstate New York from 2006 to 2010. None of these studies analyze the evolution of plant emission intensity. We briefly discuss their works in Sect. 3.

  4. According to Hailu (2003), there were 162 pulp and paper mills in Canada in 1994.

  5. This is a response to a US program. In 2008, the US pulp producers found a tax loophole under the Alternative Fuels Mixture Tax Credit that allowed them to receive tax credits of $0.50 per gallon for the production of a mixture of black liquor and diesel. A total of $7.9 billion is estimated to have been granted as subsidy before the end of the program on December 31, 2009.

  6. We thank one of the referees for mentioning this point.

  7. Street address is used to check ownership or name change.

  8. US is the major importer of newsprint from Canada. Between 2000 and 2005, newsprint consumption in the USA decreased by 24.5%, from 12.7 million MT to 9.6 million MT. (FAO 2002, 2007 and 2014)

  9. There were pulp and paper mills in all Canadian provinces in 2005 with the exception of Prince Edward Island.

  10. FPAC classification also includes a fifth group—board mills manufacturing from chemical pulp produced on-site only (NAICS 322130). Since very few mills belong to this category and data are available for only one mill, this group is not included in our analysis.

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Correspondence to Jean-Thomas Bernard.

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We gratefully acknowledge the financial assistance provided by the Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada (SSHRC). We thank the Forest Products Association of Canada (FPAC) for providing access to data on Canadian pulp and paper mills and also for the hospitality at their office. We would also like to thank the participants of Economics Empirical Lunch Seminar (1 March, 2016) at the University of Ottawa and the 56th Annual Meeting of SCSE, Quebec (May 11–13, 2016), for helpful comments and suggestions. We remain solely responsible for data preparation and for the views expressed in this paper.

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Bernard, JT., Hussain, J. & Sinha, M.M. Survival of the cleanest? Evidence from a plant-level analysis of pollutant emissions in Canadian pulp and paper industry, 2005–2013. Environ Econ Policy Stud 22, 109–126 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-019-00254-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10018-019-00254-6

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