Abstract
This paper analyzes trends of temperatures over Africa and seeks to quantify the most significant processes. Observations of air temperature reveal significant warming trends in the 925–600 hPa layer over tropical west Africa and the east Atlantic. This is related to the influence of desert dust and biomass burning emissions on the atmospheric energy budget. We calculate a net radiative absorption of ∼− 20 W m − 2. The southern (northern) plume is rich in short-lived greenhouse gases (dust aerosols), and the atmospheric response, according to a simplified radiative transfer model, is a >3°C heating of the 2–4 km layer. The observed pattern of warming coincides with a mixture of dust, black carbon and short-lived greenhouse gases in space, time and height. Physical forcing provides a secondary source of regional warming, with sinking motions over the Sahel. The elevated warm layer stabilizes the lower atmosphere over and west of Africa, so drying trends may be anticipated.
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Jury, M.R., Whitehall, K. Warming of an elevated layer over Africa. Climatic Change 99, 229–245 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9657-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-009-9657-4