Skip to main content
Log in

Tracing Extremes across Iconic Desert Landscapes: Socio-Ecological and Cultural Responses to Climate Change, Water Scarcity, and Wildflower Superblooms

  • Published:
Human Ecology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

California’s remote Anza-Borrego Desert, like other desert landscapes across the southwest of the United States, is valued by scientists, resource managers, and tourists alike for its perceived exceptional extremity. We analyze how climate extremes shape biological, socioeconomic, and cultural life through one of the desert’s most iconic ecological events: spring wildflower superblooms. Quantitative data relating wildflower superblooms and tourist visitation to interannual climate variation are at the center of our analysis, with additional literature review and qualitative ethnographic data used to lend context and engage deeply with the significance of the quantitative findings for local communities. Monthly visitation rates tracked precipitation, peaking during the end of the winter growing season when wildflowers reach peak bloom. Visitation more than doubled during the wettest years, corresponding to wildflower abundance and superbloom media coverage. Wildflower superblooms and extreme environmental events are socially and culturally significant in the desert communities. They loom large in memory, shape regular seasonal activities and attachment to place, and feature in local conflicts over resource management and planning for sustainable futures. Overall, we demonstrate how gateway communities contend with the desert’s ephemeral nature, and how climate change creates new and different extremes in these iconic desert landscapes.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4

Similar content being viewed by others

Data Availability

National Park Service visitation data used in this study are freely available through the NPS Integrated Resource Management Applications (IRMA) Portal (https://irma.nps.gov/Portal/) and Anza-Borrego Desert State Park visitation data are available through direct requests to the park. Climate data for each park were accessed via the Western Regional Climate Center (https://wrcc.dri.edu/).

Notes

  1. As historians and social scientists note, the desert wasteland concept is often rooted in colonial logics of land use and resource extraction. For example, the environmental history of California is frequently written as the transformation of California’s natural landscape in a series of movements, from Native land use (Heizer 1998), to Native encounters with Spanish colonization (Hurtado 1998), to the forced incorporation of Native and Spanish lands that shaped the early dimensions of California’s continued history of boundaries drawn and disputed by immigration, disenfranchisement, and territory making (Merchant 1998). Ranching, agriculture, and mining drove the dramatic, large-scale appropriation, extraction, and processing of the land as a natural resource (Kelley 1959; Dasmann 1994), oftentimes with negative impacts on indigenous communities as well as native plant and animal species (Bryant et al.1990; Glenn et al.1999; Lovich and Ennen 2011; Bardsley and Wiseman 2012; Hernandez et al.2014). Later efforts have sought to preserve and restore nature to its “pre-human” (more accurately, pre-ranching or pre-settler colonial) state, often erasing indigenous histories of land management in the process (Rakestraw 1972; Reisner 1986).

  2. The 2010 Decennial Census records the Borrego Springs CDP total population as 3429. The 2018 American Community Survey estimates a total population of 2252 with a margin of error of ±605 (U.S. Census Bureau 2018b). There is some local disagreement as to precise numbers for year-round vs. seasonal populations. For example, the Borrego Springs Community Plan estimates the population as approximately 2700 year-round residents plus an additional 2000 seasonal or snowbird residents (2011). The Borrego Valley Stewardship Council estimates 3400 permanent/year-round residents and 5000 seasonal residents.

  3. Two popular promotional videos released by Copley Productions in 1957 encapsulate this sense of a desert paradise built on a narrative of endless water (Hazelip 1957). Likewise, and written near the end of this boom, a 1968 Bureau of Reclamation report projected that Borrego Springs’ population would increase from 1300 in 1965 to 30,000 by the year 2020 (Moyle 1968). Such high expectations were typical of this period in California’s history of water and land development (Hundley 1992).

  4. Interview participants included year-round residents, seasonal residents, weekenders, and stakeholders residing elsewhere, and were identified as local community leaders, resource managers and related practitioners, public officials, researchers, local business owners, and/or community advocates, broadly considered.

  5. Most visibly, a series of community workshops culminated in the formation of the Borrego Valley Stewardship Council in 2014, with a mission to foster a responsible stewardship ethic for cultural and natural resources, and balance economic prosperity with long-term sustainability and benefits to people and places. Since then, the Council has served as a “convening entity” sponsoring annual community planning-oriented workshops, hosting expert speakers, and organizing volunteer working groups to advocate for key projects at the municipal and county level.

References

  • Adger, W. N., Barnett, J., Brown, K., Marshall, N., and O'brien, K. (2013). Cultural dimensions of climate change impacts and adaptation. Nature Climate Change 3: 112–117.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Adger, W. N., Barnett, J., Chapin III, F. S., and Ellemor, H. (2011). This must be the place: Underrepresentation of identity and meaning in climate change decision- making. Global Environmental Politics, 11(2).

  • Armesto, J. J., Vidiella, P. E., and Gutiérrez, J. R. (1993). Plant communities of the fog-free coastal desert of Chile: Plant strategies in a fluctuating environment. Revista Chilena de Historia Natural 66: 271–282.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bardsley, D. K., and Wiseman, N. D. (2012). Climate change vulnerability and social development for remote indigenous communities of South Australia. Global Environmental Change 22: 713–723.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Basso, K. (1996). Wisdom sits in places: Landscape and language among the Western apache. Albuquerque: University of New Mexico Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bestelmeyer, B. T., Okin, G. S., Duniway, M. C., Archer, S. R., Sayre, N. F., Williamson, J. C., and Herrick, J. E. (2015). Desertification, land use, and the transformation of global drylands. Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment 13: 28–36.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Borrego Springs Community Sponsor Group. (2011) County of San Diego general plan: Borrego Springs community plan. San Diego: San Diego County.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bowers, J. E. (2005). El Nino and displays of spring-flowering annuals in the Mojave and Sonoran deserts. The Journal of the Torrey Botanical Society 132: 38–50.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Breshears, D.D., Cobb, N.S., Rich, P.M., Price, K.P., Allen, C.D., Balice, R.G., Romme, W.H., Kastens, J.H., Floyd, M.L., Belnap, J. and Anderson, J.J. (2005). Regional vegetation die-off in response to global-change-type drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 102: 15144–15148.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brigandi, P. (2001) Borrego beginnings: Early days in the Borrego Valley, 1910–1960. Borrego Springs: Anza-Borrego Desert Natural History Association.

    Google Scholar 

  • Brooks, E. (2017). The “hidden drought”: Water politics and ecology building in California’s Low Desert. Doctoral dissertation, University of California, Irvine.

  • Bryant, N. A., Johnson, L. F., Brazel, A. J., Balling, R. C., Hutchinson, C. F., and Beck, L. R. (1990). Measuring the effect of overgrazing in the Sonoran Desert. Climatic Change 17: 243–264.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cayan, D. R., Das, T., Pierce, D. W., Barnett, T. P., Tyree, M., and Gershunov, A. (2010). Future dryness in the southwest US and the hydrology of the early 21st century drought. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107: 21271–21276.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang, H., and Bonnette, M. R. (2016). Climate change and water-related ecosystem services: Impacts of drought in California, USA. Ecosystem Health and Sustainability 2: e01254.

  • Chávez, R. O., Moreira-Muñoz, A., Galleguillos, M., Olea, M., Aguayo, J., Latín, A., Aguilera-Betti, I., Muñoz, A.A. and Manríquez, H. (2019). GIMMS NDVI time series reveal the extent, duration, and intensity of “blooming desert” events in the hyper-arid Atacama Desert, northern Chile. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 76: 193–203.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chikamoto, Y., Timmermann, A., Widlansky, M. J., Balmaseda, M. A., and Stott, L. (2017). Multi-year predictability of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America. Scientific Reports 7: 6568.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cook, E. R., Woodhouse, C. A., Eakin, C. M., Meko, D. M., and Stahle, D. W. (2004). Long-term aridity changes in the western United States. Science 306: 1015–1018.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crate, S. A. (2008). Gone the bull of winter? Current Anthropology 49: 569–595.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Crate, S. A., and Nuttall, M. (2009). Anthropology & Climate Change: From encounters to actions. Walnut Creek: Left Coast Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dasmann, R. (1994). The rangelands. In: Merchant, C. (ed.), pp. 194-198, Green vs. Gold: Sources in California’s Environmental History. Washington, D.C.: Island press.

  • Davis, D. K. (2016). The arid lands: History, power, knowledge. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Davis, S.K. and Mullen, K. C. (2015). Place and proximity: A spatial analysis of visitors’ place attachment at Kenai fjords National Park, Alaska. The George Wright Forum 32: 151–164.

    Google Scholar 

  • Dennison, P. E., Brewer, S. C., Arnold, J. D., and Moritz, M. A. (2014). Large wildfire trends in the western United States, 1984–2011. Geophysical Research Letters 41: 2928–2933.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dillon, M. O., and Rundel, P. W. (1990). The botanical response of the Atacama and Peruvian Desert floras to the 1982-83 El Niño event. Elsevier Oceanography Series 52: 487–504.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dowling, R. (2010). Geographies of identity: Climate change, governmentality and activism. Progress in Human Geography 34: 488–495.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R., and Mearns, L. O. (2000). Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts. Science 289: 2068–2074.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Evans, J., and Geerken, R. (2004). Discrimination between climate and human-induced dryland degradation. Journal of Arid Environments 57: 535–554.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Evans, L. S., Hicks, C. C., Fidelman, P., Tobin, R. C., and Perry, A. L. (2013). Future scenarios as a research tool: Investigating climate change impacts, adaptation options and outcomes for the great barrier reef, Australia. Human Ecology 41: 841–857.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farnum, J., Hall, T., Kruger, L. E. (2005). Sense of place in natural resource recreation and tourism: An evaluation and assessment of research findings. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-660. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 59 p.

  • Faunt, C.C., Stamos, C.L., Flint, L.E., Wright, M.T., Burgess, M.K., Sneed, M., Brandt, J., Martin, P., and Coes, A.L. (2015). Hydrogeology, hydrologic effects of development, and simulation of groundwater flow in the Borrego Valley, San Diego County, California: U.S. Geological Survey scientific investigations report 2015–5150, 135 pp. Reston, VA: U.S. Geological Survey.

  • Fischer, E. M., Beyerle, U., Knutti, R. (2013). Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes. Nature Climate Change 3: 1033–1038.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fisichelli, N. A., Schuurman, G. W., Monahan, W. B., and Ziesler, P. S. (2015). Protected area tourism in a changing climate: Will visitation at US national parks warm up or overheat?. PloS one 10: e0128226.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fiske, S.J., Crate, S.A. Crumley, C.L., Galvin, K., Lazrus, H., Lucero, L., Oliver-Smith, A., Orlove, B., Strauss, S., and Wilk, R. (2014). Changing the atmosphere: Anthropology and climate change. Final report of the AAA global climate change task force. 137 pp. Arlington, VA: American Anthropological Association.

    Google Scholar 

  • Flint, C. G., and Luloff, A. E. (2007). Community activeness in response to forest disturbance in Alaska. Society and Natural Resources: 20: 431–450.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gerber, M. (2017). The desert is in super bloom at Anza-Borrego state park. Los Angeles Times. URL: http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-ln-anza-borrego-wildflowers-20170310-story.html.

  • Glenn, E. P., Cohen, M. J., Morrison, J. I., Valdés-Casillas, C., and Fitzsimmons, K. (1999). Science and policy dilemmas in the management of agricultural waste waters: The case of the Salton Sea, Ca, USA. Environmental Science & Policy 2: 413–423.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gonzalez, P., Wang, F., Notaro, M., Vimont, D. J., and Williams, J. W. (2018). Disproportionate magnitude of climate change in United States national parks. Environmental Research Letters 13: 104001.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gössling, S., Scott, D., Hall, C. M., Ceron, J. P., and Dubois, G. (2012). Consumer behaviour and demand response of tourists to climate change. Annals of Tourism Research 39: 36–58.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gutiérrez, J. R., Arancio, G., and Jaksic, F. M. (2000). Variation in vegetation and seed bank in a Chilean semi-arid community affected by ENSO 1997. Journal of Vegetation Science 11: 641–648.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hackenberg, R.A., and Benequista, N. (2001). The future of an imagined community: Trailer parks, tree huggers, and Trinational forces collide in the southern Arizona borderlands. Human Organization 60(2): 153–158.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hazelip, N.L. (Producer). 1957. A New Beginning. Copley Productions.

  • He, B., Huang, L., Liu, J., Wang, H., Lű, A., Jiang, W., and Chen, Z. (2017). The observed cooling effect of desert blooms based on high-resolution moderate resolution imaging Spectroradiometer products. Earth and Space Science 4: 247–256.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heizer, Robert F. 1998. Native World Views. In: Merchant, C. (ed.), pp. 60–64, Green vs. Gold: Sources in California’s Environmental History. Washington, D.C.: Island Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hernandez, R. R., Easter, S. B., Murphy-Mariscal, M. L., Maestre, F. T., Tavassoli, M., Allen, E. B., Barrows, C. W., Belnap, J., Ochoa-Hueso, R., Ravi, S., and Allen, M.F. (2014). Environmental impacts of utility-scale solar energy. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 29: 766–779.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Holmgren, M., Stapp, P., Dickman, C. R., Gracia, C., Graham, S., Gutiérrez, J. R., Hice, C., Jaksic, F., Kelt, D. A., Letnic, M. and Lima, M. (2006). A synthesis of ENSO effects on drylands in Australia, North America and South America. Advances in Geosciences 6: 69–72.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hoover, D. L., Bestelmeyer, B., Grimm, N. M., Huxman, T. E., Reed, S. C., Sala, S., Seastedt, T. R., Wilmer, H., and Ferrenberg, S. (2020). Traversing the wasteland: A framework for assessing ecological threats to Drylands. BioScience 70: 35–47.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hoover, D. L., Knapp, A. K., and Smith, M. D. (2014). Resistance and resilience of a grassland ecosystem to climate extremes. Ecology 95: 2646–2656.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Huang, J., Yu, H., Guan, X., Wang, G., and Guo, R. (2016). Accelerated dryland expansion under climate change. Nature Climate Change 6: 166.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hundley, N. (1992). The great thirst: Californians and water a history. Berkeley: University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hurtado, A. (1998). Indians encounter Spaniards. In: Merchant, C. (ed.), pp. 85–88, Green vs. Gold: Sources in California’s Environmental History. Washington, DC: Island Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ingold, T. (2000). The perception of the environment: Essays on livelihood, dwelling, and skill. New York: Routledge.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jaksic, F. M. (2001). Ecological effects of El Niño in terrestrial ecosystems of western South America. Ecography 24: 241–250.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jedd, T. M., Hayes, M. J., Carrillo, C. M., Haigh, T., Chizinski, C. J., and Swigart, J. (2018). Measuring park visitation vulnerability to climate extremes in US Rockies National Parks tourism. Tourism Geographies 20: 224–249.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Katz, R. W., and Brown, B. G. (1992). Extreme events in a changing climate: Variability is more important than averages. Climatic Change 21: 289–302.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kelley, R. (1959). Gold vs. grain: The hydraulic mining controversy in California’s Sacramento Valley: A chapter in the decline of the concept of laissez faire. Glendale: The Arthur H. Clarke Company.

    Google Scholar 

  • Klein, K. L. (1993). Frontier products: Tourism, consumerism, and the southwestern public lands, 1890-1990. Pacific Historical Review 62: 39–71.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Krüger, O. (2005). The role of ecotourism in conservation: Panacea or Pandora’s box?. Biodiversity and Conservation 14: 579–600.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larson, K. L., Wutich, A., White, D., Muñoz-Erickson, T. A., and Harlan, S. L. (2011). Multifaceted perspectives on water risks and policies: A cultural domains approach in a southwestern city. Human Ecology Review 18: 75–87.

    Google Scholar 

  • Larson, S., de Freitas, D. M., Hicks, C. C. (2013). Sense of place as a determinant of people's attitudes towards the environment: Implications for natural resources management and planning in the great barrier reef, Australia. Journal of Environmental Management 117: 226–234.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levi-Strauss, C. (1971). Totemism. Rodney Needham, trans. Boston: Beacon Press.

  • Levine, J. M., McEachern, A. K., and Cowan, C. (2008). Rainfall effects on rare annual plants. Journal of Ecology 96: 795–806.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lindsay, D. (2000). Anza-Borrego a to Z: People, places, and things. San Diego: Sunbelt Publications.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lovich, J. E., and Ennen, J. R. (2011). Wildlife conservation and solar energy development in the desert southwest, United States. BioScience 61: 982–992.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Malik, W. (2016). See the ‘super bloom’ bringing life to Death Valley. National Geographic. URL: https://news.nationalgeographic.com/2016/03/160302-death-valley-super-bloom-wildflowers-weather/.

  • Martins, I. M., Gammage, L. C., Jarre, A., and Gassalla, M. A. (2019). Different but similar? Exploring vulnerability to climate change in Brazilian and south African small-scale fishing communities. Human Ecology, early online version. doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-019-00098-4.

  • Masterson, V. A, Stedman, R. C., Enqvist, J., Tengö, M., Giusti, M., et al. (2017). The contribution of sense of place to social-ecological systems research: A review and research agenda. Ecology and Society 22 : 49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Merchant, C. (1998). Green versus gold: Sources in California’s environmental history. Washington, D.C.: Island Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Miller, M. L., Carter, R. W., Walsh, S. J., and Peake, S. (2014). A conceptual framework for studying global change, tourism, and the sustainability of iconic national parks. The George Wright Forum 31: 256–269.

    Google Scholar 

  • Minnich, R. A. (2008). California’s fading wildflowers: Lost legacy and biological invasions. Berkeley, CA: University of California Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moore, K. D. (2015). The value of parks in a time of sliding baselines. The George Wright Forum 32: 191–200.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moreno, A., and Becken, S. (2009). A climate change vulnerability assessment methodology for coastal tourism. Journal of Sustainable Tourism 17: 473–488.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moyle, W. R. (1968). Water Wells and springs in Borrego, Carrizo, and San Felipe Valley areas, San Diego and Imperial counties, California. California Department of Water Resources Bulletin 91–15.

  • Munson, S. M., Webb, R. H., Belnap, J., Andrew Hubbard, J., Swann, D. E., and Rutman, S. (2012). Forecasting climate change impacts to plant community composition in the Sonoran Desert region. Global Change Biology 18: 1083–1095.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • National Park System Advisory Board Science Committee. (2012). Revisiting Leopold : Resource Stewardship in the National Parks (pp. 1–23). Washington DC.

  • Nelson, J. F., and Chew, R. M. (1977). Factors affecting seed reserves in the soil of a Mojave Desert ecosystem, Rock Valley, Nye County, Nevada. American Midland Naturalist 97: 300–320.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nelson, M. C., Ingram, S. E., Dugmore, A. J., Streeter, R., Peeples, M. A., McGovern, T. H., Hegmon, M., Arneborg, J., Kintigh, K. W., Brewington, S. and Spielmann, K. A. (2016). Climate challenges, vulnerabilities, and food security. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 113: 298–303.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Niemi, G. J., and McDonald, M. E. (2004). Application of ecological indicators. Annual Review of Ecology, Evolution, and Systematics 35: 89–111.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Noy-Meir, I. (1979). Structure and function of desert ecosystems. Israel Journal of Plant Sciences 28: 1–19.

    Google Scholar 

  • Orlando, J., Alfaro, M., Bravo, L., Guevara, R., and Carú, M. (2010). Bacterial diversity and occurrence of ammonia-oxidizing bacteria in the Atacama Desert soil during a “desert bloom” event. Soil Biology and Biochemistry 42: 1183–1188.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Page, S. J., and Dowling, R. K. (2001). Ecotourism. Harlow, U.K: Pearson education limited.

  • Pake, C. E., and Venable, D. L. (1996). Seed banks in desert annuals: Implications for persistence and coexistence in variable environments. Ecology 77: 1427–1435.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Palta, M., Du Bray, M. V., Stotts, R., Wolf, A., and Wutich, A. (2016). Ecosystem services and disservices for a vulnerable population: Findings from urban waterways and wetlands in an American Desert City. Human Ecology 44: 463–478.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Potts, D. L., Barron-Gafford, G. A., Butterfield, B. J., Fay, P. A., and Hultine, K. R. (2019). Bloom and bust: Ecological consequences of precipitation variability in aridlands. Plant Ecology 220: 135–139.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prestemon, J. P., Kruger, L., Abt, K. L., Bowker, J. M., Brandeis, C., Calkin, D. E., Donovan, G. H., Ham, C., Holmes, T. P., Kline, J., and Warziniack, T. (2016). Economics and societal considerations of drought. In: Vose, J., Clark, J., Luce, C., and Patel-Weynand, T. (eds.), pp. 253–281, Effects of Drought on Forests and Rangelands in the United States: A Comprehensive Science Synthesis. General Technical Report WO-93b. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service.

  • Rakestraw, L. (1972). Conservation historiography: An assessment. Pacific Historical Review 41: 271–288.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reisner, M. (1986). Cadillac Desert: The American West and its disappearing water. New York: Penguin Books.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reyer, C. P., Leuzinger, S., Rammig, A., Wolf, A., Bartholomeus, R. P., Bonfante, A., De Lorenzi, F., Dury, M., Gloning, P., Abou Jaoudé, R. and Klein, T. (2013). A plant's perspective of extremes: Terrestrial plant responses to changing climatic variability. Global Change Biology 19: 75–89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reynolds, J. F., Smith, D. M. S., Lambin, E. F., Turner, B. L., Mortimore, M., Batterbury, S. P., Downing, T. E., Dowlatabadi, H., Fernández, R. J., Herrick, J. E. and Huber-Sannwald, E., (2007). Global desertification: Building a science for dryland development. Science 316: 847–851.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Richardson, R. B., and Loomis, J. B. (2004). Adaptive recreation planning and climate change: A contingent visitation approach. Ecological Economics 50: 83–99.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Richer, J. (1995). Willingness to pay for desert protection. Contemporary Economic Policy 13: 93–104.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rockman, M., Morgan, M., Ziaja, S., Hambrecht, G., and Meadow, A. (2016). Cultural resources climate change strategy: Cultural resources, partnerships, and science and climate change response program, National Park Service. Washington, DC

  • Ruppert, J. C., Harmoney, K., Henkin, Z., Snyman, H. A., Sternberg, M., Willms, W., and Linstädter, A. (2015). Quantifying drylands' drought resistance and recovery: The importance of drought intensity, dominant life history and grazing regime. Global Change Biology 21: 1258–1270.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Salvaggio, M., Futrell, R., Batson, C. D., and Brents, B. G. (2014). Water scarcity in the desert metropolis: How environmental values, knowledge and concern affect Las Vegas residents’ support for water conservation policy. Journal of Environmental Planning and Management 57: 588–611.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sayre, N. F., Davis, D. K., Bestelmeyer, B., and Williamson, J. C. (2017). Rangelands: Where anthromes meet their limits. Land 6: 31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Scott, D., Jones, B., & Konopek, J. (2007). Implications of climate and environmental change for nature-based tourism in the Canadian Rocky Mountains: A case study of Waterton Lakes National Park. Tourism Management 28: 570–579.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sheridan, T.E. (1995). Arizona: The political ecology of a desert state. Journal of Political Ecology 2: 41–57.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Singh, D., Tsiang, M., Rajaratnam, B., Diffenbaugh, N. S. (2013) Precipitation extremes over the continental United States in a transient, high-resolution, ensemble climate model experiment. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 118: 7063–7086.

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, J. W., Wilkins, E. J., and Leung, Y. F. (2019). Attendance trends threaten future operations of America’s state park systems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 116: 12775–12780.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Smith, M. S. (2008). The ‘desert syndrome’–causally-linked factors that characterise outback Australia. The Rangeland Journal 30: 3–14.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Steiger, N. J., Smerdon, J. E., Cook, B. I., Seager, R., Williams, A. P., and Cook, E. R. (2019). Oceanic and radiative forcing of medieval megadroughts in the American southwest. Science advances 5: eaax008.

  • Stocker, T. F., Qing, D., Plattner, G. K., Tingor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M. (2013). Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of working group 1 to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change. Cambridge, U.K: Cambridge university press.

  • Stronza, A. (2009). The economic promise of ecotourism for conservation. Journal of Ecotourism 6: 210–230

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thomas, K., Hardy, R. D., Lazrus, H., Mendez, M., Orlove, B., Rivera-Collazo, I., Roberts, J. T., Rockman, M., Warner, B. P., & Winthrop, R. (2019). Explaining differential vulnerability to climate change: A social science review. Wiley’s Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 10: e565.

    Google Scholar 

  • Thomas, R. J. (2008). Opportunities to reduce the vulnerability of dryland farmers in central and West Asia and North Africa to climate change. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 126: 36–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Treonis, A. M., Sutton, K. A., Unangst, S. K., Wren, J. E., Dragan, E. S., and McQueen, J. P. (2019). Soil organic matter determines the distribution and abundance of nematodes on alluvial fans in Death Valley, California. Ecosphere 10: e02659.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tuan, Y. F.. (1974). Topophilia: A study of environmental perception, attitudes, and values. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall Inc.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tuan, Y. F.. (1977). Space and place: The perspective of experience. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Census Bureau. (2018a) American Community Survey: Selected Characteristics of the Total and Native Populations in the United States, Table SO601. Retrieved from https://data.census.gov/cedsci/table?tid=ACSST5Y2018.S0601&g=1600000US0607596&vintage=2018&hidePreview=false&cid=P001001&layer=place (accessed 7 March 2020).

  • U.S. Census Bureau. (2018b) American Community Survey: Total Population, Table BO1003. Retrieved from https://data.census.gov/cedsci/table?tid=ACSDT5Y2018.B01003&g=1600000US0607596&vintage=2018&hidePreview=false&cid=P001001&layer=place (accessed 7 March 2020).

  • Van Loon, A.F., Gleeson, T., Clark, J., Van Dijk, A.I., Stahl, K., Hannaford, J., Di Baldassarre, G., Teuling, A.J., Tallaksen, L.M., Uijlenhoet, R. and Hannah, D.M. (2016). Drought in the Anthropocene. Nature Geoscience 9: 89.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Verón, S. R., Paruelo, J. M., and Oesterheld, M. (2006). Assessing desertification. Journal of Arid Environments 66: 751–763.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Voyles, T. (2015). Wastelanding: Legacies of uranium mining in Navajo country. Minneapolis: U Minnesota Press.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Watson, J. (2013). Simply ‘ being there ’ – A legitimate point on the Geotourism opportunity Spectrum. The George Wright Forum 30: 126–134.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weaver, D. B., and Lawton, L. J. (2007). Twenty years on: The state of contemporary ecotourism research. Tourism Management 28: 1168–1179.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weigle, M. (1989). From desert to Disney world: The Santa Fe railway and the Fred Harvey company display the Indian southwest. Journal of Anthropological Research 45: 115–137.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • West, P. (2008). Tourism as science and science as tourism. Current Anthropology 49: 597–626.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Whiting, J. W., Larson, L. R., Green, G. T., and Kralowec, C. (2017). Outdoor recreation motivation and site preferences across diverse racial/ethnic groups: A case study of Georgia state parks. Journal of Outdoor Recreation and Tourism 18: 10–21.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wines, A. and L. Slater. (2016). Best wildflower bloom in a decade. National Park Service Press Release https://www.nps.gov/deva/learn/news/wildlowers-2016.htm

  • Winkler, D. E., Belnap, J., Hoover, D., Reed, S. C., and Duniway, M. C. (2019a). Shrub persistence and increased grass mortality in response to drought in dryland systems. Global Change Biology 25: 3121–3135.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Winkler, D. E., Conver, J. L., Huxman, T. E., and Swann, D. E. (2018). The interaction of drought and habitat explain space-time patterns of establishment in saguaro (Carnegiea gigantea). Ecology 99: 621–631.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Winkler, D. E., Grossiord, C., Belnap, J., Howell, A., Ferrenberg, S., Smith, H., and Reed, S. C. (2019b). Earlier plant growth helps compensate for reduced carbon fixation after 13 years of warming. Functional Ecology 33: 2071–2080.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zierer, C. M. (1952). Tourism and recreation in the West. Geographical Review 42: 462–481.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zinda, J. A., Yang, J., Xue, X., and Cheng, H. (2014). Varying impacts of tourism participation on natural resource use in communities in Southwest China. Human Ecology 42: 739–751.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank A. Farahmand, J. Goeble, A. Kryczka, M. Matlock, and especially T. E. Huxman and V. A. Olson for critical feedback on early ideas related to this project, and D. Bates and two anonymous reviewers. We also thank the University of California, Irvine’s Water UCI initiative for early funding support and space to develop novel, trans-disciplinary research questions to form the foundation for the present study. Additional funding to Brooks came from The Wenner-Gren Foundation, a Mellon/ACLS Dissertation Completion Fellowship from the American Council of Learned Societies, and an American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) Science & Technology Policy Fellowship with the National Park Service. Additional funding to Winkler came from UCI’s Department of Ecology & Evolutionary Biology. We also thank S. Theriault, D. Feldman, J. Dice, L. Hendrickson, M. Jorgensen and S. Coons for support, advice, and help with acquiring data for this study. Special thanks to the UCI Steele/Burnand Anza-Borrego Research Center staff and network. An earlier, abridged version of this article was published in the Sierra Club Desert Report, and is reproduced here with permission; we thank the Desert Report Editor in Chief, C. Deutsche, and reviewers for their feedback. Any use of trade, product, or firm names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Daniel E. Winkler.

Ethics declarations

Ethnographic data collected by Brooks are covered by a human subjects research agreement reviewed and approved by the University of California, Irvine. Per standard ethnographic research practice, these data are not made publicly available in order to protect the privacy and confidentiality of research subjects.

Informed Consent

Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants in the study.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Additional information

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Electronic supplementary material

ESM 1

(DOCX 20 kb)

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Winkler, D.E., Brooks, E. Tracing Extremes across Iconic Desert Landscapes: Socio-Ecological and Cultural Responses to Climate Change, Water Scarcity, and Wildflower Superblooms. Hum Ecol 48, 211–223 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-020-00145-5

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10745-020-00145-5

Keywords

Navigation