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To Acquire, or To Compete? An Entry Dilemma

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Abstract

In this paper we address the following question: is it more profitable, for an entrant in a differentiated market, to acquire an existing firm than to compete? We illustrate the answer by considering competition in the banking sector.

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Notes

  1. Nowadays, brand-image plays a role almost everywhere: in e-commerce where customers do not meet face-to-face merchants and thus use brand as a proxy for firms reliability, in fashion retail, where brand becomes social image, in food industry where brand can increase purchase confidence, inter alia.

  2. Evidence that consumers value recognition is offered by Grossman and Shapiro (1988), who point out that consumers who buy a counterfeit Gucci or Coach product from street vendors typically know that the item is not an authentic Gucci or Coach product (and hence, not of the same quality). Nevertheless, such buyers are still willing to pay something for the forged name. Indeed, they would not likely buy the product without the forged brand name (Pepall and Richards 2002, p. 537).

  3. In contrast to other banking activities, such as corporate banking directed at large business entities and private banking, providing wealth management services to high net worth individuals, retail banking is mainly a local business. Accordingly, our analysis cannot be extended to the other above business where brand awareness does not affect customers’ attitude toward the services provided and an international business dimension prevails.

  4. In retail banking, a full service’ banking provides a complete bundle of retail products to consumers and small businesses. In the case of consumers, this bundle can embed not only current accounts and deposit accounts, but also credit products (e.g. mortgages or loans), savings products (e.g. investment funds) and insurance.

  5. Quite interestingly, this solution seems to be preferred in service sectors where a personalized relationship matters (Norbäck and Persson 2008).

  6. See Peria and Mody (2004) and European Commission (2007), inter alia.

  7. Notice that, we assume here that the brand i affects positively the perceived quality of services provided by bank i. That is to say that the image of this bank increases the consumers’confidence when purchasing its services. We could also consider the alternative scenario where the image of bank i magnifies the customers’ uncertainty and thus write: \(u_{i}=\bar{u} _{i}-b_{i}.\)

  8. Of course, one could consider a more general framework with a larger number of firms surviving at equilibrium. Notice however, that finding the solution of this new game would become by far havier from a technical view point. Furthermore, as the rationale underlying our findings would be still valid, our argument could be extended to this new setting and the equilibrium restored under a new range of parameter.

  9. Of course, we could have as well considered the alternative timing in which the foreign bank starts to offer to buy the low quality, and then the high quality one, in the case when bank L turns down the offer. However, restricting our analysis to this specific sequential game does not alter the main conclusions of our work.

  10. It is worth noting that this assumption is in line with the literature on the entry dilemma (Eicher and Kang 2005; Müller 2007, inter alia). Further, it seems to be particularly reasonable within the context of retail banking where foreign banks quite often acquire their competitor when entering a new market in order to inherit its brand and the circle of customers loyal to it.

  11. For example, the Benelux and Nordic regions are the most open markets, while in Italy for a long time the resistance to foreign takeover has shaped the retailbanking sector.

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Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank G. De Arcangelis, C. De Vincenti, L. Guiso, G. Rodano for their comments, and two referees whose suggestions prompted a significant improvement in the exposition of these results. The usual disclaimer applies.

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Correspondence to Ornella Tarola.

Appendix

Appendix

Proposition 1

At the third stage of the game, the new bank can successfully enter the market at equilibrium only when the brand quality b F is sufficiently high and thus lies in between the top and the bottom of the quality ladder. However, the incumbent bank providing the brand whose quality lies at the bottom of the quality ladder is no longer active in the market.

Proof of Proposition 1

Let us focus on the scenario where the quality of the variant offered by the entrant lies at the bottom of the quality ladder. Of course, this analysis can be immediately extended to the alternative scenario where the variant offered by the low quality incumbent lies at the bottom of the quality ladder, while the one marketed by the entrant being in between the top and the bottom of the quality ladder. To this end, it suffices to exchange b L with b F and just repeat the analysis.

In this scenario, the consumer θ H indifferent between being served by bank H or L at prices p H and p L , respectively, writes as

$$ \theta ^{H}=\frac{p_{H}-p_{L}}{b_{H}-b_{L}}, $$

while the consumer θ L indifferent between buying services provided by bank L or F at prices p L and p F

$$ \theta ^{L}=\frac{p_{L}-p_{F}}{b_{L}-b_{F}}, $$

Accordingly, the corresponding demand functions D H (p H , p L ) and D L (p H , p L ) for the national banks H and L, respectively, are

$$\begin{array}{rll} D_{H}(p_{H},p_{L}) &=&\beta -\frac{p_{H}-p_{L}}{b_{H}-b_{L}} \\ D_{L}(p_{H},p_{L}) &=&\frac{p_{H}-p_{L}}{b_{H}-b_{L}}-\frac{p_{L}-p_{F}}{ b_{L}-b_{F}}, \end{array}$$

and

$$ D_{F}(p_{L},p_{F})=\frac{p_{L}-p_{F}}{b_{L}-b_{F}}-\alpha , $$

for the new bank F. Thus, the respective profits functions write as

$$\begin{array}{rll} \Pi _{H} &=&p_{H}\left(\beta -\frac{p_{H}-p_{L}}{b_{H}-b_{L}}\right) \\ \Pi _{L} &=&p_{L}\left(\frac{p_{H}-p_{L}}{b_{H}-b_{L}}-\frac{p_{L}-p_{F}}{ b_{L}-b_{F}}\right) \\ \Pi _{F} &=&p_{F}\left(\frac{p_{L}-p_{F}}{b_{L}-b_{F}}-\alpha \right) \end{array}$$

From the first order conditions, it is easy to identify the following best reply functions

$$\begin{array}{rll} p_{H} &=&\frac{1}{2}\beta \left( b_{H}-b_{L}\right) +\frac{1}{2}p_{L} \\[3pt] p_{L} &=&\frac{\left( p_{H}(b_{L}-b_{F})+p_{F}(b_{H}-b_{L})\right) }{ 2(b_{H}-b_{F})} \\[3pt] p_{F} &=&\frac{\left( p_{L}+\alpha \left( b_{F}-b_{L}\right) \right) }{2}. \end{array}$$

Thus, solving the above system, we derive the candidate equilibrium prices \( \tilde{p}_{H},\) \(\tilde{p}_{L}\) and \(\tilde{p}_{F}\):

$$\begin{array}{rll} \tilde{p}_{H} &=&\frac{(b_{H}-b_{L})((\alpha -4\beta )u_{F}+3\beta b_{H}+(\beta -\alpha )u_{L})}{6(b_{H}-b_{F})} \\[3pt] \tilde{p}_{L} &=&\frac{(b_{H}-b_{L})(\beta -\alpha )(b_{L}-b_{F})}{ 3(b_{H}-b_{F})} \\[3pt] \tilde{p}_{F} &=&\frac{(b_{L}-b_{F})(3\alpha b_{F}+(\beta -4\alpha )b_{H}+(\alpha -\beta )b_{L})}{6(b_{H}-b_{F})} \end{array}$$

Notice however that (1) implies

$$ \frac{\alpha }{\beta }\geq \frac{b_{H}-b_{L}}{4b_{H}-3b_{F}-b_{L}}, $$
(4)

which, in turn, implies that

$$ \frac{(3\alpha b_{F}+(\beta -4\alpha )b_{H}+(\alpha -\beta )b_{L})}{ 6(b_{H}-b_{F})}\leq 0 $$

or, equivalently, \(\tilde{p}_{F}\leq 0.\) Accordingly, when (1) is satisfied, then the equilibrium value of p F  = 0. In that case, the value of best replies of banks H and L have to be computed against p F  = 0, namely,

$$\begin{array}{rll} p_{H} &=&\frac{1}{2}\beta \left( b_{H}-b_{L}\right) +\frac{1}{2}p_{L} \\ p_{L} &=&\frac{\left( p_{H}(b_{L}-b_{F})\right) }{2(b_{H}-b_{F})}. \end{array}$$

Solving this system in p H and p L , we get the equilibrium prices \( p_{H}^{\ast },\) \(p_{L}^{\ast }\) and \(p_{F}^{\ast }\), namely,

$$\begin{array}{rll} p_{H}^{\ast } &=&\frac{2\beta \left(b_{H}-b_{F}\right)(b_{H}-b_{L})}{4b_{H}-b_{L}-3b_{F} } \\ p_{L}^{\ast } &=&\frac{\beta (b_{H}-b_{L})(b_{L}-b_{F})}{4b_{H}-b_{L}-3b_{F}} \\ p_{F}^{\ast } &=&0. \end{array}$$

Finally, profits at equilibrium write as follows

$$\begin{array}{rll} \Pi _{H}^{\ast }\left(p_{H}^{\ast },p_{L}^{\ast },p_{F}^{\ast }\right) &=&\frac{4\beta ^{2}(b_{H}-b_{F})^{2}(b_{H}-b_{L})}{(\beta -\alpha )\left( 4b_{H}-b_{L}-3b_{F}\right) ^{2}} \\ \Pi _{L}^{\ast }\left(p_{H}^{\ast },p_{L}^{\ast },p_{F}^{\ast }\right) &=&\frac{\beta ^{2}(b_{H}-b_{F})(b_{H}-b_{L})(b_{L}-b_{F})}{(\beta -\alpha )\left( 4b_{H}-b_{L}-3b_{F}\right) ^{2}} \\ \Pi _{F}^{\ast }\left(p_{H}^{\ast },p_{L}^{\ast },p_{F}^{\ast }\right) &=&0 \end{array}$$

Proposition 2

Acquisition of bank L is the second-stage best strategy for the new bank only when the ratio A/B obtained from the consumers’ types range [α, β] is small and the entrant’s brand quality is not different enough from the incumbents’ one so as to ensure mild competition and substantial entrant’s profits.

Proof of Proposition 2

Let us denote by Δ the value b H  − b L , Ψ the value b H  − b F and define x by \(x=\frac{\alpha }{\beta }.\) The sign of the difference between profits from de novo entry and profits from acquiring bank L, namely

$$ \frac{\beta ^{2}\left( b_{H}-b_{L}\right) \left( b_{L}-b_{F}\right) \left( b_{F}-b_{H}\right) }{(\beta -\alpha )\left( 3b_{L}-4b_{H}+b_{F}\right) ^{2}}- \frac{\left( b_{H}-b_{L}\right) (\beta -2\alpha )^{2}}{9(\beta -\alpha )} $$

has the same sign as the expression

$$ \frac{\Psi (\Delta -\Psi )}{(3\Delta +\Psi )^{2}}-\frac{1}{9}(1-2x)^{2}, $$
(5)

given that we have assumed \(x\in \left[ \frac{1}{4},\frac{1}{2}\right] ,\) in order to ensure that two, and only two, banks can make positive profits in this market. Denote by Ψ −  and Ψ +  the roots of the second-order polynomial

$$ P(\Psi )=\Psi ^{2}\left(-10+4x-4x^{2}\right)+\Psi \Delta \left(-24x^{2}+24x+3\right)+\Delta ^{2}\left(-36x^{2}+36x-9\right). $$

Notice now that

  1. (i)

    the sign of P(Ψ) is the sign of (5) ,

  2. (ii)

    P(Ψ) is strictly negative for all Ψ whenever \( 64x^{2}-64x+13>0\Leftrightarrow x\in \left[ \frac{1}{4},\frac{1}{2}-\frac{ \sqrt{3}}{8}\right],\)

  3. (iii)

    P(Ψ) has two roots Ψ −  = \(3\Delta \left(\frac{1+8x-8x^{2}- \sqrt{3}\sqrt{-(64x^{2}-64x+13)}}{20-8x+8x^{2}}\right)\) and \(\Psi ^{+}=3\Delta \left(\frac{1+8x-8x^{2}+\sqrt{3}\sqrt{-(64x^{2}-64x+13)}}{20-8x+8x^{2}}\right).\)

Thus, whenever \(x\in \left[ \frac{1}{4},\frac{1}{2}-\frac{\sqrt{3}}{8}\right]\) the new bank F prefers to buy bank L whatever the value of Ψ; when \(x\in \left(\frac{1}{2}-\frac{\sqrt{3}}{8},\frac{1}{2}\right],\) the new bank F chooses to buy bank L whenever \(\Psi \in \lbrack 0,\Psi ^{-})\) or Ψ ∈ (Ψ + , Δ] and to enter whenever Ψ ∈ (Ψ − , Ψ + ). It is indifferent between the two options when Ψ = Ψ or Ψ = Ψ + .□

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Tarola, O., Gabszewicz, J.J. & Laussel, D. To Acquire, or To Compete? An Entry Dilemma. J Ind Compet Trade 11, 369–383 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10842-010-0082-1

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