Abstract
Benchmark estimates of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) GDP per capita for the year 2011 recently released by the International Comparison Program (ICP) are compared with the corresponding estimates generated by the World Bank from the ICP benchmark years and countries. Large differences are noted between the two sets for many countries. Of the 163 countries for which numbers from both sources are available, the difference is at least $2000 or 25 % in 73 or about 45 % of the cases, and the differences are huge for a sizable proportion of the countries. The numerous users of World Bank data are urged to exercise caution in drawing strong conclusions in cross-country studies in which PPP GDP per capita is often a core variable. As an additional point, while the ICP 2005 was observed to have revealed the world to be more unequal than previously thought, the current ICP might be stated as doing the opposite.
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Notes
The last ICP round was for the year 2005.
Penn World Table (PWT) also generates estimates of PPP GDP and several other aggregates.
World Bank (2013b) explains the various issues underlying the extrapolations.
In a preliminary report, Ram (2015) did similar comparisons for the tiny group of seven South Asian countries.
Additional details are available from the author.
For example, World Bank (2015, p. 29) has stated that for most economies, GNI per capita in PPP dollars and the underlying PPP rates are based on the 2011 ICP benchmark results. Also, it is observed that for countries like Qatar and Kuwait, where ICP and World Bank numbers differed greatly, the World Bank estimates now seem fairly similar to the ICP numbers.
In a somewhat different context, Ram and Ural (2014) did a comparison of PPP GDP per capita for 2005 reported in Penn World Table and World Development Indicators.
The differences across the three groups may be as important as across World Bank and ICP PPP GDP per capita. However, although low correlation between NHDI and GDP (GNI) per capita in developed countries is to be expected, it is beyond the scope of this paper to provide a more complete discussion of differences across the country groups.
As for Table 4, the large differences across the three groups should be of interest, but it is beyond the scope of this study to consider these.
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Useful comments from an anonymous referee are gratefully acknowledged. The usual disclaimer applies.
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Ram, R. PPP GDP Per Capita for Countries of the World: A Comparison of the New ICP Results with World Bank Data. Soc Indic Res 127, 1057–1066 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-1009-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-015-1009-3