Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

A long-term climatology of medicanes

  • Published:
Climate Dynamics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Medicanes, intense and destructive mesoscale cyclones exhibiting several similarities with tropical hurricanes, are known to struck occasionally the Mediterranean Sea. Thanks to a high-resolution dynamical downscaling effort, we are able to study for the first time the long-term climatology of those rare storms in a systematic way. The distribution of medicanes frequency in space and time is discussed, and the environmental factors responsible for their formation are investigated. We find that medicanes develop in those areas of the Mediterranean region where intrusions of cold air in the upper troposphere can produce configurations of thermodynamical disequilibrium of the atmosphere similar to those associated with the formation of tropical cyclones.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. Three variables are used to optimize the discrimination between tropical and extra-tropical cyclones. The parameter B represents the thermal symmetry of the cyclone: a threshold value of B = 10 m has been empirically determined by analyzing a large sample of both tropical and extra-tropical cyclones. Even if the threshold value of B has been originally determined for larger tropical/extratropical cyclones, previous studies (Miglietta et al. 2011) have shown that such value is also useful in the case of medicanes. The thermal wind parameters are defined in such a way that positive and negative values of −V T indicate respectively a warm-core or cold-core in the relevant layer; L stands for lower layer (900–600 hPa) and U for upper layer (600–300 hPa).

  2. The medicane top is estimated, from model simulations in Cavicchia and von Storch (2012), to be approximately 350 hPa.

  3. The integration is performed by summing the field over the model levels.

  4. The probabilities are computed from the daily mean values over all the simulation period as the percentage of days in which the condition is realized.

References

  • Cavicchia L, von Storch H (2012) The simulation of medicanes in a high-resolution regional climate model. Clim Dyn 39:2273–2290

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chen F, Geyer B, Zahn M, von Storch H (2012) Toward a multi-decadal climatology of North Pacific polar lows employing dynamical downscaling. Terr Atmos Ocean Sci 23:291–301

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davolio S, Miglietta MM, Moscatello A, Pacifico F, Buzzi A, Rotunno R (2009) Numerical forecast and analysis of a tropical-like cyclone in the Ionian Sea. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 9:551–562

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Emanuel K (2005) Genesis and maintenance of “Mediterranean hurricanes”. Adv Geosci 2:217–220

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ernst JA, Matson M (1983) A Mediterranean tropical storm. Weather 38:332–337

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Feser F, von Storch H (2008) A dynamical downscaling case study for typhoons in SE Asia using a regional climate model. Mon Weather Rev 136:1806–1815

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Feser F, Rockel B, von Storch H, Winterfeldt J, Zahn M (2011) Regional climate models add value to global model data: a review and selected examples. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 92:1181–1192

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fita L, Romero R, Luque A, Emanuel K, Ramis C (2007) Analysis of the environments of seven Mediterranean tropical-like storms using an axisymmetric, nonhydrostatic, cloud resolving model. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 7:41–56

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gil V, Genovés A, Picornell M, Jansà A (2003) Automated database of cyclones from the ECMWF model: preliminary comparison between West and East Mediterranean basins. In: Proceedings of fourth Plinius conference on Mediterranean storms

  • Hart RE (2003) A cyclone phase space derived from thermal wind and thermal asymmetry. Mon Weather Rev 131:585–616

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Homar V, Romero R, Stensrud DJ, Ramis C, Alonso S (2003) Numerical diagnosis of a small, quasi-tropical cyclone over the western Mediterranean: dynamical vs. boundary factors. Quart J R Meteorol Soc 129:1469–1490

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lagouvardos K, Kotroni V, Nickovic S, Jovic D, Kallos G, Tremback CJ (1999) Observations and model simulations of a winter sub-synoptic vortex over the central Mediterranean. Meteorol Appl 6:371–383

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Luque A, Fita L, Romero R, Alonso S (2007) Tropical-like Mediterranean storms: an analysis from satellite. In: EUMETSAT 07 proceedings

  • Miglietta MM, Moscatello A, Conte D, Mannarini G, Lacorata G, Rotunno R (2011) Numerical analysis of a Mediterranean “hurricane” over south-eastern Italy: sensitivity experiments to sea surface temperature. Atmos Res 101:412–426

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miglietta MM, Laviola S, Malvaldi A, Conte D, Levizzani V, Price C (2013) Analysis of tropical-like cyclones over the Mediterranean Sea through a combined modelling and satellite approach. Geophys Res Lett 40:2400–2405

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moscatello A, Miglietta MM, Rotunno R (2008) Numerical analysis of a Mediterranean “hurricane” over south-eastern Italy. Mon Weather Rev 136:4373–4396

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Moscatello A, Miglietta MM, Rotunno R (2008) Observational analysis of a Mediterranean “hurricane” over south-eastern Italy. Weather 63:306–311

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pytharoulis I, Craig G, Ballard S (2000) The hurricane-like Mediterranean cyclone of January 1995. Meteorol Appl 7:261–279

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rasmussen E, Zick C (1987) A subsynoptic vortex over the Mediterranean with some resemblance to polar lows. Tellus A 39:408–425

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reale O, Atlas R (2001) Tropical cyclone-like vortices in the extratropics: observational evidence and synoptic analysis. Weather Forecast 16:7–34

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rockel B, Will A, Hense A (2008) The regional climate model COSMO-CLM (CCLM). Meteorol Z 17:347–348

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Romero R, Emanuel K (2013) Medicane risk in a changing climate. J Geophys Res 118:5992–6001

    Google Scholar 

  • von Storch H, Feser F, Barcikowska M (2011) Downscaling tropical cyclones from global re-analysis and scenarios: statistics of multi-decadal variability of TC activity in e Asia. Coastal Engineering Proceedings 1(32):management—17

  • Tous M, Romero R (2013) Meteorological environments associated with medicane development. Int J Climatol 33:1–14

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tous M, Romero R, Ramis C (2012) Surface heat fluxes influence on medicane trajectories and intensication. Atmos Res 123:400–411

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trigo I, Davies T, Bigg G (1999) Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region. J Clim 12:1685–1696

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Trigo IF, Davies TD, Bigg GR (1999) Objective climatology of cyclones in the Mediterranean region. J Clim 12:1685–1696

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Storch H, Langenberg H, Feser F (2000) A spectral nudging technique for dynamical downscaling purposes. Mon Weather Rev 128:3664–3673

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walsh K (1997) Objective detection of tropical cyclones in high-resolution analyses. Mon Weather Rev 125:1767–1779

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walsh K, Giorgi F, Coppola E (2013) Mediterranean warm-core cyclones in a warmer world. Clim Dyn 1–14. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1723-y

  • Walsh KJE, Fiorino M, Landsea CW, McInnes KL (2007) Objectively determined resolution-dependent threshold criteria for the detection of tropical cyclones in climate models and reanalyses. J Clim 20:2307–2314

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zahn M, von Storch H (2010) Decreased frequency of North Atlantic polar lows associated with future climate warming. Nature 467:309–312

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zahn M, von Storch H (2008) Tracking polar lows in CLM. Meteorol Z 17:445–453

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zahn M, von Storch H, Bakan S (2008) Climate mode simulation of North Atlantic polar lows in a limited area model. Tellus A 60:620–631

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

We acknowledge Burkardt Rockel and Beate Geyer for their precious help with the model. We thank Antonio Navarra for many valuable and stimulating discussions. The research leading to these results has received funding from the Italian Ministry of Education, University and Research and the Italian Ministry of Environment, Land and Sea under the GEMINA Project, and from the South East Europe Transnational Cooperation Programme under the ORIENTGATE Project.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Leone Cavicchia.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Cavicchia, L., von Storch, H. & Gualdi, S. A long-term climatology of medicanes. Clim Dyn 43, 1183–1195 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1893-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-013-1893-7

Keywords

Navigation