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Reliability of human estimates of the presence of pups and the number of wolves vocalizing in chorus howls: implications for decision-making processes

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Abstract

Management decision-making processes require reliable tools providing information on the distribution, abundance, and trend of populations. Wolves vocalize in response to human imitations of howls. Traditionally, this phenomenon has been the basis of a widespread monitoring tool to assess the reproductive status in a wolf pack, as well as to estimate the minimum number of individuals in the pack: the elicited-vocalization technique. However, despite its broad use, only a few attempts to quantify its accuracy have been made so far. Here, we carried out a test to evaluate the accuracy of estimates obtained from the elicited-vocalization technique. We administered “chorus tests” to 205 human subjects, 182 rangers—with different level of experience with wolves—and 23 subjects with no previous experience with the species. We found that the estimates of the number of wolves participating in a chorus were not accurate, regardless of the experience of the listener (the correct number of wolves was only determined in 32% of tests). Listeners, however, identified pups vocalizing 98% of the times when there were pups in the chorus. They also reported the presence of pups when they were not present with a high frequency (71%). Estimating the number of individuals by the unaided human ear is flawed because of the bias inherent in the elicited-vocalization technique. Howling surveys have a low degree of selectivity to confirm the presence of pups. Thus, we make recommendations to improve the elicited-vocalization technique as a tool to monitor the presence of pups.

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Acknowledgements

We are in debt to the rangers of the Regional Government of Galicia and Picos de Europa National Park in Spain, as well as the rangers of the different counties with wolf presence in Sweden. We thank all volunteers collaborating in this study and conducting the “chorus test.” With respect to the chorus howls recordings used in this research, we thank Junta de Castilla y León, Principado de Asturias, and Xunta de Galicia for allowing us to record wild wolves and F. Petrucci-Fonseca and S. Pinho (CRLI), J. Escudero (La Dehesa), P. España and E. Sánchez (Cañada Real), and P. Abad (Carpín) for allowing us to obtain recordings from the captive wolves under their care. JVLB was supported by a Juan de la Cierva research contract (JCI-2012-13066) from the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness. This is scientific paper no. 17 of the Iberian Wolf Research Team (IWRT).

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Correspondence to Vicente Palacios.

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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional and/or national research committee and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards. All applicable international, national, and/or institutional guidelines for the care and use of animals were followed.

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Palacios, V., Font, E., García, E.J. et al. Reliability of human estimates of the presence of pups and the number of wolves vocalizing in chorus howls: implications for decision-making processes. Eur J Wildl Res 63, 59 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-017-1115-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10344-017-1115-4

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