Elsevier

Vaccine

Volume 28, Issue 11, 8 March 2010, Pages 2296-2301
Vaccine

Failure to vaccinate or failure of vaccine? Effectiveness of the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine program in Indigenous adults in the Northern Territory of Australia

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2009.12.066Get rights and content

Abstract

Over the last decade, there has been no discernible reduction in Invasive Pneumococcal Disease (IPD) amongst Indigenous adults in the Northern Territory (NT) of Australia, despite increasing vaccination coverage. We examined the utility of two common methods, the screening method and the indirect method, to determine the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine effectiveness (VE) in prevention of IPD amongst Indigenous adults in this setting. VE was calculated for the period 2001–2005 across two distinct geographical areas where the disease burden was known to differ. VE against vaccine-type IPD was 3.4% (95% CI −43, 35) for the NT. However, population vaccination coverage varied widely according to geographical region and where this was within the range appropriate for the use of the screening method, VE was within the expected range (67.2%, 95% CI 47, 80). VE according to the indirect cohort appeared unreliable in this setting due to the analysis being based on a very limited number of non-vaccine-type IPD cases. Surveillance based estimates of VE such as these need to be considered with caution, but the results suggest failure to vaccinate is the most likely reason vaccine-type IPD has not reduced in this setting.

Introduction

In common with other economically developed countries, age-specific rates of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease (IPD) in Australia are highest in the very young and the elderly. There is a marked disparity for Indigenous Australian adults residing in the Central region of the Northern Territory (NT), first recognised more than a decade ago [1], where age-specific rates for Indigenous adults aged 20–49 years were over 20 times those of their non-Indigenous counterparts—178/100,000 population (95% CI 132–235) compared to 8/100,000 (95% CI 3–16).

Indigenous Australians experience high rates of conditions that have not only been associated with increased risk of IPD, but also with reduced vaccine effectiveness (VE). Such conditions include high rates of alcohol abuse and associated malnutrition, smoking, diabetes mellitus, chronic renal failure and cardiac disease [2].

In light of this high disease burden, since 1995 the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (23vPPV) has been recommended for all Indigenous Australian adults aged ≥50 years and for those aged 15–49 years with medical risk factors [3]. As a regional initiative, this was expanded in 2000 to include all Indigenous adults in the NT aged ≥15 years [4]. Re-vaccination was recommended every 5 years, but since 2003, a maximum of three lifetime doses is now recommended for Indigenous adults—a second dose 5 years after the first dose and then a third dose 10 years after the second, or at age 50 years, whichever is later [3].

Data on the effectiveness of pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine continues to remain controversial [5], [6], [7], [8]. A Cochrane Review [5] provided supportive evidence for the prevention of IPD in adults with a pooled odds ratio (OR) from randomised controlled trials of 0.26 (95% CI 0.15–0.46), supported by pooled data from non-randomised studies (OR 0.48 95% CI 0.37–0.61). The protective value of vaccination in adults with chronic illness was less clear, with data from randomised controlled trials failing to demonstrate protective efficacy for this group [5], [9]. Although this may be due to inadequate sample size and lack of power, it is of concern given that adults with chronic illness are a primary target for vaccination. A subsequent review has raised further questions about the quality of clinical trials and has led to calls for withdrawal of recommendations for the use of 23vPPV in high risk groups [6], [10].

Within the NT, surveillance of IPD has been conducted since 1994 with laboratories required to report all cases to the NT public health authority. As the only licensed vaccine for adolescents and adults, the 23vPPV is the current standard for IPD prevention in these ages. Monitoring vaccine effectiveness in the field is essential, particularly so in the NT where there is high lifetime exposure to pneumococci [11], increased susceptibility to disease, repeated vaccination and the continued high burden of IPD amongst Indigenous adults. We aimed to describe IPD incidence over time and determine the effectiveness of the 23vPPV in this population group.

Section snippets

Enhanced surveillance

IPD was defined as a pneumococcal infection with Streptococcus pneumoniae isolated from a usually sterile body fluid. Cases occurring between 1 January 1994 and 31 December 2005 were identified from the NT notifiable diseases database. Enhanced surveillance for each notified case was conducted routinely by the NT public health authority. Enhanced surveillance included medical record review, search of the regional immunisation database and patient interview (where possible) to collect clinical

Results

From 1994 to 2005, there were 444 IPD cases aged 15–49 years, 87% of whom were Indigenous (Table 1). Rates of IPD amongst Indigenous adults in the NT were 110 per 100,000 population over this period, 18 times that of non-Indigenous adults. Indigenous adults in the Central region were four times more likely to develop IPD (222/100,000) than their counterparts residing in the Top End (56/100,000).

Of the 385 IPD cases in Indigenous adults, a serotype was available for 342 (89%). Of these cases,

Discussion

Results presented in this paper indicate that rates of IPD in Indigenous Australian adults in the Northern Territory have remained constant despite increasing vaccination coverage. Whilst these data suggest the vaccine program has not had any significant impact on IPD prevention, the primary reason for this appears to be poor uptake of the vaccine rather than poor performance of the vaccine. Our analysis highlights the limitations of two commonly used methods for assessing vaccine effectiveness

Conclusions

Our data suggest that a failure to vaccinate may be the root issue that accounts for the failure to observe a reduction in IPD in our setting. Although we welcome the development of new vaccines, the current formulations of low valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines are unlikely to solve the problem, given that only 17% of IPD isolates in Indigenous adults in the NT come from the seven serotypes in the currently available vaccine, and 33% would be covered by the 13-valent vaccine under

Acknowledgements

We acknowledge all those involved in the surveillance of IPD in the Northern Territory and those reporting to and maintaining the Adult Immunisation Database, Susan Donath for statistical support, and Kathryn Weston who commented on drafts of this paper.

The National Health and Medical Research Council (ID 384490) & Centre for Clinical Research Excellence (Indigenous Immunisation) provided a Postgraduate Public Health Scholarship for Sarah Moberley.

Conflict of interest statement: No conflicts of

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