Elsevier

Vaccine

Volume 32, Issue 29, 17 June 2014, Pages 3687-3693
Vaccine

The effectiveness of seasonal trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine in preventing laboratory confirmed influenza hospitalisations in Auckland, New Zealand in 2012

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.04.013Get rights and content

Highlights

  • This study adds to the limited research on VE to influenza from the southern hemisphere.

  • TIV vaccines show low to moderate protection against influenza positive hospitalisation in 2012.

  • VE varied by influenza type and subtype.

  • Vaccination appeared to be less effective in patients aged 65 years and older.

  • Older people did not appear to be significantly protected against infection with influenza A (H3N2).

Abstract

Background

Few studies report the effectiveness of trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV) in preventing hospitalisation for influenza-confirmed respiratory infections. Using a prospective surveillance platform, this study reports the first such estimate from a well-defined ethnically diverse population in New Zealand (NZ).

Methods

A case test-negative design was used to estimate propensity adjusted vaccine effectiveness. Patients with a severe acute respiratory infection (SARI), defined as a patient of any age requiring hospitalisation with a history of a fever or a measured temperature ≥38 °C and cough and onset within the past 7 days, admitted to public hospitals in South and Central Auckland were eligible for inclusion in the study. Cases were SARI patients who tested positive for influenza, while non-cases (controls) were SARI patients who tested negative. Results were adjusted for the propensity to be vaccinated and the timing of the influenza season.

Results

The propensity and season adjusted vaccine effectiveness (VE) was estimated as 39% (95% CI 16;56). The VE point estimate against influenza A (H1N1) was lower than for influenza B or influenza A (H3N2) but confidence intervals were wide and overlapping. Estimated VE was 59% (95% CI 26;77) in patients aged 45–64 years but only 8% (−78;53) in those aged 65 years and above.

Conclusion

Prospective surveillance for SARI has been successfully established in NZ. This study for the first year, the 2012 influenza season, has shown low to moderate protection by TIV against influenza positive hospitalisation.

Introduction

Influenza continues to cause a significant burden of illness in adults and children [1], [2] despite vaccines having been used internationally for more than 60 years and being recommended by the World Health Organization [3]. Estimates of efficacy (from trials) and effectiveness (from observational studies) for seasonal trivalent inactivated vaccine (TIV) have been variable. An umbrella review of meta-analyses of community studies from 2005 to 2011 concluded that protection against laboratory-confirmed influenza (largely mild disease) by TIV ranged from 59 to 65% with estimates being similar in working age adults and children aged 2 years and above [4]. There have been too few trials in children under 2 years for accurate estimates of efficacy in this age group [5], [6]. Observational studies provide a range of effectiveness estimates from zero to approximately 60% protection in young children [7], [8]. While studies specifically of older adults are less common, vaccine effectiveness (VE) has been reported to be as high as 57% in adults over 70 years [6], there are significant concerns over bias in studies in this age group [9] and other studies report much lower or even null estimates [10]. However significant variability by season is acknowledged [6] and increasing immunosenescence and the presence of comorbidities are likely to reduce effectiveness [6].

Results are more limited when reviewing protection against influenza-confirmed hospitalisation. No trials address this outcome. Estimates from observational studies include no protection by TIV against laboratory-confirmed influenza [11] to a protective range of 49% to 61% in adults [12], [13], [14]. Pooled European data for VE against A (H3N2) during 2011/2012 gave a point estimate for the target groups for vaccination of 29% with wide confidence intervals [15].

The antigenic composition of influenza vaccines is reviewed annually to predict the best match for a constantly evolving virus. The impact of vaccination is expected to be higher in the presence of a good antigenic match, although significant effectiveness has been shown even in seasons when the circulating strain is not a good match [16], [17].

In New Zealand (NZ) seasonal unadjuvanted TIV is offered annually free of charge to all adults aged 65 years and over, pregnant women and all those over 6 months of age with chronic medical conditions that are likely to increase severity of infection. The vaccines are also available from early March on the private market for all others over 6 months of age. The influenza season usually occurs somewhere between early May and late September.

Using a case test-negative design (a modification to the case-control study design [18]), we aimed to estimate the effectiveness of seasonal TIVs in preventing hospitalised laboratory-confirmed influenza in persons aged at least 6 months who were admitted with an acute respiratory illness to public hospitals in Central, South and East Auckland between April 2012 and February 2013. The study reports results from the first year of a five year SHIVERS (Southern Hemisphere Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness, Research and Surveillance) project.

Section snippets

Methods

Ethics approval for the study was obtained from the Northern A Health and Disability Ethics Committee (NTX/11/11/102 AM02).

Study design

We used the standard case test-negative design [19] and a similar analytic approach to a previous study of hospitalised patients, with adjustment for the propensity to be vaccinated [13]. From 30 April 2012 to 28th February 2013 we attempted to enrol all individuals aged 6 months and older who were hospitalised with a severe acute respiratory infection (SARI). Based on the World Health Organization definition, this was defined as a patient requiring hospitalisation with a patient-reported

Participant information

Demographic data collected for all cases and non-cases included age; sex; ethnicity (Māori, Pacific, Asian, NZ European or other); and income, with low income defined as a household that received either a government benefit or held a community services card. The age data were cross validated with hospital held electronic data. Clinical information was obtained from both the case report form and electronic data extraction from hospital databases. These data included clinical symptoms and signs;

Laboratory methods

Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected with a COPAN flocked swab and transported in viral transport medium (VTM) at 4 °C. Nasopharyngeal aspirates and other respiratory samples were collected according to hospital standard operational procedures. Respiratory samples were tested using the United States Center for Disease Control and Prevention real time RT-PCR protocol [22] at Auckland District Health Board Laboratory and the AusDiagnostic PCR protocol at the Counties Manukau District Health Board

Statistical analysis

The influenza season was defined to start when there were two consecutive weeks of four or more cases and to end when there were no consecutive weeks of four or more cases. Patients at higher risk of an adverse outcome from influenza infection, and for whom the vaccine is provided at no charge, may be more likely to be vaccinated. We allowed for this by using a multivariate logistic model to calculate the propensity to get vaccinated for the controls, given the range of available patient

Results

The influenza season ran from the 28th of May 2012 until the 10th of October 2012. Case selection and exclusion/inclusion criteria are shown in Fig. 1. Of the 6373 admissions screened, 2682 (42%) met the definition of SARI. After exclusions for lack of consent (n = 224), no record of vaccination history (n = 300), no recorded date of birth (n = 1), aged less than 6 months (n = 226), outside of influenza season (n = 484) or no laboratory results available (n = 88), a total of 1359 admissions remained, of

Vaccine effectiveness

The VE against any influenza infection and adjusted only for the timing relative to the peak of season was 27% (95% confidence interval 6;44). After adjusting for the propensity to be vaccinated the estimated VE was 39% (16;56). In the sensitivity analysis, the VE against any influenza infection estimated from the epidemiological model was 42% (19;58) and from the statistical model was 41% (21;58). There was no significant change to these estimates when omitting patients with missing values or

Discussion

This study has four important findings. First, we found that 21% of SARI admissions in Auckland during the study period were due to influenza. Second, VE against hospitalisation for the 2012 season was relatively low with a point estimate of 39%. Third, while underpowered to show age effects, vaccination appeared less effective in patients aged at least 65 years although this finding may reflect response to the circulating influenza type rather than an age effect, and lastly VE varied by

Strengths and limitations

The strengths of this study include the establishment of an effective influenza surveillance system in New Zealand, and using RT-PCR-confirmed hospitalised influenza as the outcome measure. Estimating VE against the severe outcome of hospitalisation may have more relevance for public health policy than estimation of protection against mild disease that is managed in the community. The recruitment process selected potential SARI cases from a full range of respiratory illness categories including

Acknowledgements

The SHIVERS (Southern Hemisphere Influenza and Vaccine Effectiveness Research and Surveillance) project is funded by U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) (1U01IP000480-01). The SARI surveillance is a key component of the SHIVERS project. The project is a five year research cooperative agreement between Institute of Environmental Science and Research and US CDC's National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases (NCIRD) Influenza

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