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Forecasting and Evaluating the Consequences of Electoral Change in New Zealand

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Abstract

The debate in New Zealand over whether to adopt a mixed-member proportional (MMP) system was based on a number of predictions about the effects of electoral systems. After four elections under MMP we are now in a better position to evaluate the validity of these claims. We find that both proponents and opponents made claims that proved to be true but there were also unforeseen consequences that neither side predicted.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Political Studies, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

    Jack Vowles

  2. Department of Politics, UK and Department of Political Science, University of Exeter, Exeter, University of Twente, The Netherlands

    Susan A Banducci

  3. Department of Politics, UK and Department of Political Science, University of Exeter, Exeter, University of Twente, The Netherlands

    Jeffrey A Karp

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  1. Jack Vowles
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  2. Susan A Banducci
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  3. Jeffrey A Karp
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Vowles, J., Banducci, S. & Karp, J. Forecasting and Evaluating the Consequences of Electoral Change in New Zealand. Acta Polit 41, 267–284 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1057/palgrave.ap.5500159

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