Refined nonuniform embedding for coupling detection in multivariate time series

Ziyu Jia, Youfang Lin, Yunxiao Liu, Zehui Jiao, and Jing Wang
Phys. Rev. E 101, 062113 – Published 5 June 2020

Abstract

State-space reconstruction is essential to analyze the dynamics and internal interactions of complex systems. However, it is difficult to estimate high-dimensional conditional mutual information and select the optimal time delays in most existing nonuniform state-space reconstruction methods. Therefore, we propose a nonuniform embedding method framed in information theory for state-space reconstruction. We use a low-dimensional approximation of conditional mutual information criterion for time delay selection, which is effectively solved by the particle swarm optimization algorithm. The obtained embedded vector has relatively strong independence and low redundancy, which better characterizes multivariable complex systems and detects coupling within complex systems. In addition, the proposed nonuniform embedding method exhibits good performance in coupling detection of linear stochastic, nonlinear stochastic, chaotic systems. In the actual application, the importance of small airports that cause delay propagation has been demonstrated by constructing the delay propagation network.

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  • Received 4 December 2019
  • Accepted 13 May 2020
  • Corrected 2 September 2020

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.101.062113

©2020 American Physical Society

Physics Subject Headings (PhySH)

Nonlinear DynamicsStatistical Physics & Thermodynamics

Corrections

2 September 2020

Correction: A footnote indicating the corresponding author's email address has been inserted.

Authors & Affiliations

Ziyu Jia1,2,3, Youfang Lin1,2,3, Yunxiao Liu1,2,3, Zehui Jiao1, and Jing Wang1,2,3,4,*

  • 1School of Computer and Information Technology, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
  • 2Beijing Key Laboratory of Traffic Data Analysis and Mining, Beijing 100044, China
  • 3Key Laboratory of Intelligent Passenger Service of Civil Aviation, CAAC, Beijing 101318, China
  • 4Beijing Laboratory of National Economic Security Early-warning Engineering, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China

  • *Corresponding author: wj@bjtu.edu.cn

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Vol. 101, Iss. 6 — June 2020

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