Modeling urban growth patterns with correlated percolation

Hernán A. Makse, José S. Andrade, , Jr.,, Michael Batty, Shlomo Havlin, and H. Eugene Stanley
Phys. Rev. E 58, 7054 – Published 1 December 1998
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Abstract

We propose and test a model that describes the morphology of cities, the scaling of the urban perimeter of individual cities, and the area distribution of systems of cities. The model is also consistent with observable urban growth dynamics, our results agreeing both qualitatively and quantitatively with urban data. The resulting growth morphology can be understood from interactions among the constituent units forming an urban region, and can be modeled using a correlated percolation model in the presence of a gradient.

  • Received 3 June 1998

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.58.7054

©1998 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Hernán A. Makse1, José S. Andrade, , Jr.,1,2, Michael Batty3, Shlomo Havlin1,4, and H. Eugene Stanley1

  • 1Center for Polymer Studies and Department of Physics, Boston University, Boston, Massachusetts 02215
  • 2Departamento de Física, Universidade Federal do Ceará, 60451-970 Fortaleza, Ceará, Brazil
  • 3Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis, University College London, 1-19 Torrington Place, London WC1E 6BT, United Kingdom
  • 4Department of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat-Gan, Israel

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Vol. 58, Iss. 6 — December 1998

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