Market impact and trading profile of hidden orders in stock markets

Esteban Moro, Javier Vicente, Luis G. Moyano, Austin Gerig, J. Doyne Farmer, Gabriella Vaglica, Fabrizio Lillo, and Rosario N. Mantegna
Phys. Rev. E 80, 066102 – Published 1 December 2009

Abstract

We empirically study the market impact of trading orders. We are specifically interested in large trading orders that are executed incrementally, which we call hidden orders. These are statistically reconstructed based on information about market member codes using data from the Spanish Stock Market and the London Stock Exchange. We find that market impact is strongly concave, approximately increasing as the square root of order size. Furthermore, as a given order is executed, the impact grows in time according to a power law; after the order is finished, it reverts to a level of about 0.5–0.7 of its value at its peak. We observe that hidden orders are executed at a rate that more or less matches trading in the overall market, except for small deviations at the beginning and end of the order.

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  • Received 3 August 2009

DOI:https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.80.066102

©2009 American Physical Society

Authors & Affiliations

Esteban Moro1,2, Javier Vicente3, Luis G. Moyano2, Austin Gerig4,3, J. Doyne Farmer3,5, Gabriella Vaglica6, Fabrizio Lillo3,6,7, and Rosario N. Mantegna6,7

  • 1Instituto de Ciencias Matemáticas, CSIC–UAM–UC3M–UCM, Madrid, Spain
  • 2Grupo Interdisciplinar de Sistemas Complejos (GISC) and Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Leganés, E-28911 Madrid, Spain
  • 3Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87501, USA
  • 4School of Finance and Economics, University of Technology, Sydney, Broadway, New South Wales 2007, Australia
  • 5LUISS Guido Carli, Viale Pola 12, 00198, Roma, Italy
  • 6Dipartimento di Fisica e Tecnologie Relative, Università di Palermo, Viale delle Scienze, I-90128 Palermo, Italy
  • 7CNR-INFM-SOFT, I-00100 Roma, Italy

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Issue

Vol. 80, Iss. 6 — December 2009

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