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Risk analysis for intellectual property litigation

Published:06 June 2011Publication History

ABSTRACT

We introduce the problem of risk analysis for Intellectual Property (IP) lawsuits. More specifically, we focus on estimating the risk for participating parties using solely prior factors, i. e., historical and concurrent behavior of the entities involved in the case. This work represents a first step towards building a comprehensive legal risk assessment system for parties involved in litigation. This technology will allow parties to optimize their case parameters to minimize their own risk, or to settle disputes out of court and thereby ease the burden on the judicial system. In addition, it will also help U.S. courts detect and fix any inherent biases in the system.

We model risk estimation as a relational classification problem using conditional random fields [6] to jointly estimate the risks of concurrent cases. We evaluate our model on data collected by the Stanford Intellectual Property Litigation Clearinghouse, which consists of over 4,200 IP lawsuits filed across 88 U.S. federal districts and ranging over 8 years, probably the largest legal data set reported in data mining research. Despite being agnostic to the merits of the case, our best model achieves a classification accuracy of 64%, 22% (relative) higher than the majority-class baseline.

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          cover image ACM Other conferences
          ICAIL '11: Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Law
          June 2011
          270 pages
          ISBN:9781450307550
          DOI:10.1145/2018358

          Copyright © 2011 Authors

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          Association for Computing Machinery

          New York, NY, United States

          Publication History

          • Published: 6 June 2011

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          Overall Acceptance Rate69of169submissions,41%

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