Vijay Gurbaxani
Abstract
Using BITNET as a model, the author examines the adoption pattern of computing networks from the perspectives of innovation diffusion theory and economics.
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Index Terms
- Diffusion in computing networks: the case of BITNET
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Reviews
Santosh Chokhani
The author proposes that the proliferation of computer networks follows the innovation diffusion theory. According to this theory, the number of new subscribers over time can be represented by a bell-shaped curve with the following characteristics: 2.5 percent are innovators, 13.5 percent are early adopters, 34 percent are early majority, 34 percent are late majority, and 16 percent are laggards. The author further hypothesizes that the cumulative number of subscribers grows over time according to an S-curve. He goes on to analyze the history of BITNET to prove this hypothesis. The paper is well written and easy to read. It should interest telecommunications policy makers, regulators, and service providers.
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