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Differences in mental health problems, coping self-efficacy and social support between adults victimised before and adults victimised after the COVID-19 outbreak: population-based prospective study

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  24 January 2022

Peter G. van der Velden*
Affiliation:
Centerdata, the Netherlands and Tilburg University’s Network on Health and Labor (NETHLAB), Tilburg University, the Netherlands
Carlo Contino
Affiliation:
Fonds Slachtofferhulp, the Netherlands
Marcel Das
Affiliation:
Centerdata, the Netherlands and Tilburg School of Economics and Management, Tilburg University, the Netherlands
Joost Leenen
Affiliation:
Centerdata, the Netherlands
Lutz Wittmann
Affiliation:
International Psychoanalytic University Berlin, Germany
*
Correspondence: Peter G. van der Velden. Email: pg.vandervelden@tilburguniversity.edu
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Abstract

Background

Victims of violence, accidents and threats are at risk for mental health problems. Lower coping self-efficacy and social support levels increase this risk. Although highly relevant, it is unknown if the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic amplifies these risks.

Aims

To examine if the prevalence, incidence and/or mean scores for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), anxiety and depression symptoms, general mental health problems, coping self-efficacy, lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement are higher among adults victimised in the year after the COVID-19 outbreak compared with adults victimised in a similar period before the outbreak. Also, to compare symptoms, problems and support within non-victims during the same period.

Method

Data was extracted from four surveys of the VICTIMS study (March 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021), based on a random sample of the Dutch population. Multivariate logistic regression analyses and mixed-effects models were used to examine differences between the two victim groups (2019: n = 421, 2021: n = 319) and non-victims (n = 3245).

Results

Adults victimised after the outbreak more often had PTSD, anxiety and depression symptoms, general mental health problems and lower coping self-efficacy than those victimised before. They did not differ in lack of support and acknowledgement. Both victim groups differed from non-victims, where mental health problems and lack of support levels were much lower and almost stable.

Conclusions

The COVID-19 pandemic had a negative impact on the mental health and coping self-efficacy levels of victims, whereas mental health problems among non-victims remained virtually stable. Mental healthcare workers, general practitioners and victim services should take this impact into account.

Type
Paper
Creative Commons
Creative Common License - CCCreative Common License - BYCreative Common License - NCCreative Common License - ND
This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives licence (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial re-use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is unaltered and is properly cited. The written permission of Cambridge University Press must be obtained for commercial re-use or in order to create a derivative work.
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Royal College of Psychiatrists

Background

Each year, a considerable minority of the adult general population is victimised by exposure to violence, accidents and serious threats (VATs).Reference van der Velden, Komproe, Contino, de Bruijne, Kleber and Das1 The effects of these events on the mental health of the victims are well documented.Reference Koenen, Ratanatharathorn, Ng, McLaughlin, Bromet and Stein2 With respect to risk factors for post-trauma mental health problems, research has shown that lower levels of event-related coping self-efficacy, for example, the perceived ability to cope with post-trauma recovery demandsReference Benight and Bandura3,Reference Luszczynska, Benight and Cieslak4 and lower levels of social support are associated with in an increased risk of post-trauma mental health problems.Reference Kaniasty and Norris5,Reference van der Velden, Contino, Marchand, Das and Schut6

On 11 March 2020, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak was officially declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization. A meta-analysis of longitudinal cohort studies on the effects of this pandemic on the mental health of the general population with pre-outbreak data on mental health, has shown that the overall increase in mental health symptoms was most pronounced during the early stages of the pandemic (March–April 2020), before decreasing and being generally comparable with pre-pandemic levels by mid-2020.Reference Robinson, Sutin, Daly and Jones7 However, even in the absence of enduring effects of the current pandemic on the mental health of the general population, specific subgroups may be less resilient to pandemic-related stressors. As it is known that psychosocial problems such as financial hardship or lack of social support can increase the impact of potentially traumatic events, ongoing COVID-19 pandemic-related stressors (for example lockdowns, infection and health risks, unemployment risk) may substantially disturb or hinder the normal recovery process of victims.8,Reference Hobfoll9 Yet, to the best of our knowledge, to date no study has compared adults victimised during the COVID-19 pandemic with adults victimised in a similar time span before this pandemic. Insight into these effects is relevant for mental healthcare professionals and policymakers.

Aims

To fill this gap, the present population-based study compared the mental health (anxiety and depression symptoms, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, general mental health problems), event-related coping self-efficacy and lack of social support (lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement) of adults victimised by VATs before the outbreak (group 1victims: victimised between March 2018 (T 1) and March 2019 (T 2)) with adults victimised by VATs in the year after the outbreak of COVID-19 (group 2victims: victimised between March 2020 (T 3) and March 2021 (T 4)).

To examine the extent to which this pandemic specifically affects victims, we also examined the patterns of anxiety and depression symptoms, general mental health problems, and lack of emotional support among respondents in March 2019 and March 2021 not victimised by VATs between March 2018 and March 2021(i.e. non-victims).

Method

Procedures and participants

For the present study, data was extracted from four waves of the prospective VICTIMS studyReference van der Velden, Komproe, Contino, de Bruijne, Kleber and Das1, Reference van der Velden, Contino, Marchand, Das and Schut6 conducted in March 2018 (T 1; n invited = 7292, response 82.1%), March 2019 (T 2; n invited = 6298, response 83.2%), March 2020 (T 3; n invited = 6568, response 83.6%) and March 2021 (T 4; n invited = 6452, response 86.7%).

The VICTIMS study was conducted using the Longitudinal Internet Studies for the Social Sciences (LISS) panel, based on a traditional probability sample drawn from the Dutch population register of 16 years and older by Statistics Netherlands. The set-up of LISS was funded by the Dutch Research Council (NWO) and managed by Centerdata.Reference Scherpenzeel, Das, Das, Ester and Kaczmirek10 Panel members complete online questionnaires every month, which take about 30 min in total to complete. They receive an incentive of 15 euros per h and members who do not have a computer and/or internet access are provided with the necessary equipment at home (for further information about the LISS panel and open access data see: https://www.dataarchive.lissdata.nl, in English). The authors assert that all procedures contributing to this work comply with the ethical standards of the relevant national and institutional committees on human experimentation and with the Helsinki Declaration of 1975, as revised in 2008. All procedures were approved by an Internal Review Board of Centerdata. Explicit digital informed consent was obtained from all respondents.

Victims

We first compared the two victim groups: respondents victimised between March 2018 and March 2019 (group 1victims) and respondents victimised between March 2020 and March 2021 (group 2victims). For group 1victims, we linked data on mental health and lack of support assessed at T 1 (before victimisation between T 1 and T 2) and for group 2victims we linked the same data assessed at T 3 (before victimisation between T 3 and T 4).

Preliminary analyses showed that 105 respondents were victimised between T 1 and T 2, as well as between T 3 and T 4, prohibiting an independent comparison between both victim groups. To solve this problem, we randomly divided this subgroup into two subgroups. One-half (n = 52) was added to the group of respondents who participated at T 1 and T 2 (group 1total, n = 4717) and the other half (n = 53) to respondents who participated at T 3 and T 4 (group 2total, n = 4875). In this way, the proportion of group 1victims and group 2victims is similar (56% versus 44%) to the original proportion of people with VAT cases in between T 1 and T 2, and in between T 3 and T 4.

Next, we weighted the data of group 1total and group 2total using 16 exclusive demographic profiles among the total adult Dutch population (2018 and 2020 respectively), based on the data of Statistics Netherlands (see: https://opendata.cbs.nl/#/CBS/en/). These profiles were constructed using the variables gender (male, female), age (18–34, 35–49, 50–64, 65 years and older) and marital status (married and unmarried). After this procedure and weighting, we finally selected the victims of group 1 (n = 421) and the (non-overlapping) victims of group 2 (n = 319).

Non-victims

To examine differences in mental health and social support among non-victims before and after the outbreak, we assembled a second data-set. For this data-set, we first selected respondents who participated at T 2, T 3 and T 4 (regardless of being victimised, n = 4020). After this selection, we weighted the data using the 16 demographic profiles of the Dutch adult population (2019). We finally selected respondents who were not victimised by VATs in the period T 1 to T 4 (n non-victims = 3245).

All results are based on weighted data (except Cronbach's alpha).

Measures

At each survey, gender, age, marital and employment status and education level are assessed. Questions about post-traumatic stress symptoms, coping self-efficacy and social acknowledgement were only administered to victims.

Experiences with VATs

At each survey, respondents were asked to indicate for each of the 21 listed potentially traumatic events, if they were exposed to this specific event in the past 12 months (1, no; 2,  yes) including the following VAT events:

  1. (a) physical violence (sexual violence/sexual abuse (not online); online sexual violence/sexual abuse; robbery; physical violence, but not by own partner; physical violence by own partner);

  2. (b) accidents (traffic accidents, disasters, fire, medical errors); and

  3. (c) threats (serious threat; without the use of physical violence (not online); online serious threat, without use of physical violence).

The list also included events like (sudden) death of a (significant) other, (online) theft and serious illness categorised here as other stressful life events (SLEs). Participants were finally given the opportunity to report events in the previous 12 months that were not listed, which were recoded afterwards into existing or new categories.Reference van der Velden, Komproe, Contino, de Bruijne, Kleber and Das1

Lastly, they were asked when the (most drastic or stressful) event occurred (coded as 1 for 1 week ago to 8 for 7–12 months ago), and asked to rate the level of stress during the event (coded 1 for none to 5 for very much). To reduce the number of cells with low cell counts, both time since the event and stress during the event were dichotomised (time: 1, up to 2 months ago (1, 2, 3, 4 and 5); 2, 3–12 months ago (6, 7 and 8); stress: 1, not very stressful (1, 2 and 3); 2,  very stressful (4 and 5)).

Anxiety and depression symptoms

In all surveys, anxiety and depression symptoms were assessed using the five-item Mental Health Inventory: this scale covers symptoms during the past month on six-point Likert scales, such as ‘This past month I felt very anxious’ and ‘I felt depressed and gloomy’ (0, never to 5, continuously).Reference Ware and Sherbourne11,Reference Means-Christensen, Arnau, Tonidandel, Bramson and Meagher12 After recoding the negative formulated items, the total scores were computed and multiplied by four (range 0 to 100), where lower scores indicate higher anxiety and depression symptom levels (all Cronbach's alpha of group 1victims, group 2victims and non-victims ≥0.85). A cut-off score of ≤59 was used to identify respondents with moderate–severe anxiety and depression symptom levels.Reference Driessen13

Post-traumatic stress symptoms

To examine PTSD symptomatology at T 2 and T 4, victims were asked to fill in the eight-item version of PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 (PCL-5)Reference Price, Szafranski, van Stolk-Cooke and Gros14,Reference Weathers, Reyes and Elhai15 with the VAT event (reported in the same survey) in mind. When respondents reported two or more events, they were asked to focus on the most impactful or stressful VAT event when filling in the PCL-5. This event was presented on the screen. Examples of items are ‘Feeling very upset when something reminded you of the stressful experience’ and ‘Loss of interest in activities that you used to enjoy’. The items of the PCL-5 have a five-point Likert scale (0, not at all to 4, extremely) and examine symptoms across the four symptom clusters of PTSD according to DSM-5 and focus on symptoms in the past month (range 0 to 32). Higher scores reflect higher PTSD-symptom levels (Cronbach's alpha of group 1victims and group 2victims ≥ 0. 92). To identify victims with probable PTSD, a cut-off of ≥13 was applied.Reference Pereira-Lima, Loureiro, Bolsoni, Apolinario da Silva and Osório16

General mental health problems and physical problems

The brief screening Problems and Help Inventarisation ListReference van der Velden, Das, Contino and van der Knaap17 was administered at all surveys to examine the prevalence of various problems such as general mental health problems, financial problems and physical problems. All respondents were asked to indicate for each of the problem types listed whether they experience these problems or not (1, yes; 2,  no). For the present study, data was extracted from the items ‘psychological problems’ (as a proxy for general mental health problems), and ‘physical problems’.

Coping self-efficacy

To examine VAT-related coping self-efficacy among victims at T 2 and T 4, the seven-item Coping Self-Efficacy (CSE-7)Reference Bosmans, Komproe, Van der Knaap, Benight and van der Velden18 measure was administered with items such as ‘dealing with frightening images or dreams about the event’ and ‘being optimistic since the event’. The CSE-7 was administered in the same way as the PCL-5. For each item, respondents rated their perceived self-efficacy level on a seven-point Likert scale (1, I am completely incapable of to 7, I am perfectly capable of; Cronbach's alpha of group 1victims and group 2 victims ≥0.93). Higher scores reflect higher coping self-efficacy levels (range 7–49). A cut-off of ≤28, corresponding to (about) 10% lowest scores, was used to identify victims with relatively low versus high coping self-efficacy levels.

Social acknowledgement

To assess event-related social acknowledgement among victims at T 2 and T 4, the five-item general disapproval scale of the Social Acknowledgment Questionnaire (SAQ)Reference Maercker and Müller19 was administered, in the same way as the PCL-5 and CSE-7. The items have five-point answer categories (1, totally disagree to 5, totally agree). Examples of items are ‘There is not enough sympathy for what happened to me’ and ‘Most people cannot understand what I went through’ (both Cronbach's alpha of group 1victims and group 2victims ≥0.85). Higher scores reflect lower social acknowledgement levels (range 5–25). A cut-off of ≥17, corresponding to (about) the 10% highest scores, was used to identify respondents with a high lack of social acknowledgement.

Lack of emotional support

In all surveys, lack of emotional support in response to problems was examined among all respondents with the eight-item subscale lack of emotional support of the Social Support List-Discrepancy (SSL-D).Reference Bridges, Sanderman and van Sonderen20,Reference van Sonderen21 Examples of items are ‘comfort you’ and ‘help you to clarify your problems’. The SSL-D items apply four-point Likert scales (1, I miss this, I would like it to happen more often to 4, It happens too often). Low scores reflect a higher lack of emotional support levels (range 8–32) (Cronbach's alpha of group 1victims, group 2victims and non-victims ≥0.88). A cut-off of ≤16, corresponding to (about) the 10% lowest scores, was used to identify respondents with a high lack of emotional support.

Statistical analyses

Differences in characteristics between both victim groups were assessed using a chi-square test. Of the non-VAT-related characteristics of the non-victims at T 2, T 3 and T 4, we only examined differences in exposure to other events (SLEs) in the past 12 months and physical problems because age, education level, marital status and employment status follow a natural pattern (slight change) over a period of 3 years.

Post-event differences between both victim groups

To examine differences between both victim groups for the prevalence of post-event (for group 1victims at T 2, and for group 2victims at T 4) anxiety and depression symptoms, post-traumatic stress symptoms, general mental health problems, coping self-efficacy, lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement, multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted. To test differences between both victim groups in a rigorous way and to rule out alternative explanations for differences between the two groups as much as possible, we controlled for characteristics that differed between both groups not only at a P < 0.05 level but also at a P ≤ 0.10 level (see Table 1), for example gender, number of different VAT events in the past 12 months and general mental health problems in the year before.

Table 1 Characteristic victims before and after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaka

PTE, potentially traumatic event; SLE, stressful life event; VAT, exposure to violence, accidents and/or serious threat.

a. As a result of weighting, the numbers (n) may differ slightly.

b. Low, primary school, intermediate secondary education (USA: junior high school); medium, higher secondary education/preparatory university education (USA: senior high school); intermediate, vocational education (USA: junior college); high, higher vocational education, (USA: college, university), according to education level categories of Statistics Netherlands (CBS).

c. Respondents who were confronted with more than one type of VAT event, were asked to have the most stressful VAT event in the past 12 months in mind when answering the question. Of all 740 VAT victims, 33 answered this question with a theft-related event in mind. They were omitted from these analyses (n victims group 1 = 407, n victims group 2 = 300).

d. Three types of VATs were distinguished: violence, accidents and serious threats.

To examine differences in mean scores for post-event anxiety and depression symptoms, post-traumatic stress symptoms, coping self-efficacy, lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement between both victim groups, mixed-effects models were conducted with the same control variables as in the logistic regression analyses.

Differences in incidence (change) between both victim groups

Differences in the incidence of anxiety and depression symptoms, general mental health problems and lack of social support were conducted with similar logistic regression analyses (the incidence of other variables could not be calculated). The incidence was calculated by dividing the number of respondents with post-event symptoms, problems and lack of support among those without pre-event symptoms, problems and lack of support, by the total number of the victim group.

Differences after and before the outbreak among non-victims

To examine the extent to which the prevalence of anxiety and depression symptoms, general mental health problems and lack of social support among non-victims changed after the outbreak (T 4) compared with before the outbreak (T 2), repeated measures multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed. In the analyses, we controlled for T 2- and T 4-related demographics and reported other potentially traumatic or SLEs. Mixed-effects models were conducted to examine differences in mean scores of symptoms, problems, and support at T 2 and T 4 on the same (time-dependent) variables.

All analyses were performed with IBM SPSS version 26.

Results

Characteristics of victims and non-victims

The characteristics of the two victim groups, including pre-event are represented in Table 1. Table 1 shows that these two groups differed in gender, number of different VAT events, and the prevalence of general mental health problems at a P ≤ 0.10 level.

The characteristics of the non-victims at T 2 and T 4 are presented in Table 2. During the 12 months before T 4, non-victims were significantly less often exposed to SLEs than in the 12 months before T 2 (29.7% v. 24.8%, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 0.74, 95% CI 0.67–0.82, P < 0.001). In addition, the prevalence of physical problems decreased significantly (30.7% v. 29.6%, aOR = 0.992, 95% CI 0.862–0.988, P = 0.020) among non-victims.

Table 2 Characteristics non-victimsa

PTE, potentially traumatic event; SLE, stressful life event.

a. As a result of weighting, the numbers (n) may differ slightly.

b. Low, primary school, intermediate secondary education (USA: junior high school); medium, higher secondary education/preparatory university education (USA: senior high school); intermediate, vocational education (USA: junior college); high, higher vocational education, (USA: college, university), according to education level categories of Statistics Netherlands (CBS).

Differences between the two victim groups

Table 3 shows that respondents victimised after the outbreak of COVID-19 have a significant higher prevalence (37.6% v. 26.4%) and incidence (13.8% v. 8.8%) of anxiety and depression symptoms, and lower mean scores (i.e. higher levels) of these symptoms (64.1 v. 69.6, Cohens d = 0.30) than respondents victimised before the outbreak, while controlling for gender, the number of different VAT events in the past 12 months and general mental health problems in the year before.

Table 3 Differences between victims before and victims after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaka

aOR, adjusted odds ratio; n.a., not applicable.

a. As a result of weighting, the numbers (n) may slightly differ. aOR and F-value adjusted for gender, number of different exposure to violence, accidents and/or serious threat (VAT) events in the past 12 months, and general mental health problems in the year before. Incidence is incidence for group 1victims prevalence in March 2019 among those without symptoms, problems and lack support in March 2018, and for group 2victims prevalence in March 2021 among those without symptoms, problems and lack support in March 2020 (according to criteria prevalence).

b. Lower scores indicate higher anxiety and depression symptom/higher lack of emotional support levels.

c. Respondents who were confronted with more than one type of VAT event, were asked to have the most stressful VAT event in the past 12 months in mind when filling in the questionnaire. Of all 740 VAT victims, 33 filled in the PTSD Checklist for DSM-5 /seven-item Coping Self-Efficacy/Social Acknowledgment Questionnaire with a theft-related event in mind. They were omitted from the analyses (n victims group 1 = 407, n victims group 2 = 300). Including this small group showed almost similar results (see Supplementary Table 1, available at https://doi.org/10.1192/bjp.2021.226).

d. n victims group 1 = 387, n victims group 2 = 287.

In addition, they also have a significant higher prevalence of general mental health problems (30.4% v. 18.8%) and a significant higher prevalence of probable PTSD (28.1% v. 19.9%). Adults victimised in the year after the outbreak of COVID-19 had also significant higher post-traumatic symptom scores (Cohen's d = 0.25) than victims before the outbreak. In addition, this group had a significant lower prevalence of high coping self-efficacy levels (81.0% v. 89.4%) than adults victimised before this pandemic, but mean scores did not differ significantly between both groups. No significant differences were found between the two victim groups in lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement.

Differences after and before the outbreak among non-victims

Repeated measures multivariate logistic regression analyses (not shown in table) among the non-victims (n = 3245) revealed a significantly higher prevalence of anxiety and depression symptoms at T 4 (15.0%) than at T 2 (14.5%: aOR = 1.14, 95% CI 1.02–1.26, P = 0.015). No significant (P < 0.05) differences in general mental health problems (9.5% v. 9.2%), or lack of emotional support (8.2% v. 8.7%) were found. Mixed-effects models showed no significant differences in anxiety and depression symptom levels between T 4 and T 2 (T 2 mean 75.6, s.d. = 15.95; T 4 mean 75.40, s.d. = 15.70) and no differences in lack of emotional support levels (T 2 mean 22.1, s.d. = 3.24; T 4 mean 21.9, s.d. = 3.28).

Differences between victims and non-victims

The prevalence of moderate–severe anxiety and depression symptom levels, general mental health problems and high lack of emotional support were significantly more prevalent among victims than among non-victims in the same survey, when controlling for demographics and other SLEs (2019: aORanxiety and depression symptoms = 1.84, 95% CI 1.43–2.37, P < 0.001; aORgeneral mental health problems = 2.01, 95% CI 1.51–2.66, P < 0.001; and aORlack of emotional support = 2.17, 95% CI 1.63–2.90, P < 0.001, respectively; 2021: aORanxiety and depression symptoms = 2.77, 95% CI 2.13–3.60 P < 0.001; aORgeneral mental health problems = 3.34, 95% CI 2.51–4.45, P < 0.001; and aORlack of emotional support = 2.23, 95% CI 1.72–2.90, P < 0.001, respectively).

Post hoc control analyses

Respondents who were victimised in both study periods were randomly allocated to group 1victims or to group 2victims. Although both victim groups did not significantly differ in exposure to VATs in the year before, to rule out the possibility that the described results can be attributed to (non-significant) differences in exposure to VATs in the year before (28.0% v. 33.2%) we reanalysed the data by adding this variable to the list of control variables. No relevant differences to the results presented above emerged.

In addition, analyses of the prevalence of specific VAT-related events showed that group 1victims significantly more often (P < 0.05) was exposed to traffic accidents (36.1% v. 29.1%) than group 2victims, but that group 2victims was significant more often exposed to physical violence (not by own partner): 17.6% v. 9.7% (see Supplementary Table 2 available at https://doi.org/10.1192/bjp.2021.226). There was a statistical trend (P < 0.10) that group 2victims were also more often exposed to robberies (6.3% v. 3.3%). However, the fact that group 2victims was more often exposed to these events did not explain the differences in anxiety and depression symptoms, general mental health, PTSD symptomatology and coping self-efficacy. Adding these two variables to the list of control variables did not change results. Both groups did not significantly differ in the distribution of (the most stressful) VAT event when filling in the PCL-5, CSE-7 and SAQ (χ 2 = 12.21, d.f. = 12, P = 0.429, see Supplementary Table 3).

Discussion

The general aim of the present study was to examine the extent to which the COVID-19 pandemic and all related disruptions hindered the recovery of victims of potentially traumatic events. For this purpose, we compared the mental health, including PTSD symptomatology, trauma-related coping self-efficacy, and lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement among adults victimised during this pandemic (in the period March 2020–March 2021) with adults victimised before this pandemic (March 2018–March 2019). We focused on VATs.

Findings showed the following clear patterns. First, this pandemic partly hindered the recovery of victims as indicated by a significant higher prevalence and incidence of anxiety and depression symptoms, higher prevalence of general mental health problems, a lower prevalence of high coping self-efficacy and higher post-traumatic symptom scores among adult victims 12 months after the outbreak of COVID-19 compared with adults victimised in the same period before the outbreak. Second, no indications were found that this pandemic had a negative effect on emotional support and event-related social acknowledgement: both victim groups did not differ in related prevalence, incidence and/or mean scores, although they more often lacked emotional support than non-victims at both March 2019 and March 2021. These findings suggest that the decreased recovery among victims after the outbreak cannot be attributed to a decrease of emotional support, but to other stressors related to this pandemic (such as lockdowns, infection, health risks, unemployment risk).

Although there was no significant difference in the mean scores for anxiety and depression symptoms, the proportion of non-victims scoring above the cut-off score for elevated symptom levels slightly increased between before and after the COVID-19 outbreak (14.5% to 15.0%), whereas the prevalence of physical problems slightly decreased. The finding that such trivial differences gain statistical significance is most probably related to the large sample size (n = 3245). Among non-victims, no significant differences between both time periods were found with respect to general mental health problems and lack of emotional support. These results indicate that this pandemic particularly affected victims of VATs. Previous population-based research in the Netherlands found no indications for an increase in the prevalence and incidence of mental health problems among the general population until November–December 2020 compared with pre-pandemic levels, in contrast to an increase in loneliness.Reference van der Velden, Hyland, Contino, von Gaudecker, Muffels and Das22,Reference van der Velden, Marchand, Das, Muffels and Bosmans23

Practical relevance

A large number of COVID-19-related studies are aimed at identifying groups that are at risk for mental health problems because of this pandemic. These insights may guide the development and implementation of programmes and interventions to target these groups at risk so as to prevent or reduce (ongoing) COVID-19-related mental health problems. Victims of VATs are already at risk for mental health problems in ‘normal’ times, but this study clearly shows that being a victim of these events during this pandemic amplifies this risk. For mental healthcare professionals, general practitioners and victim services, screening and monitoring of victims’ mental health are important measures to determine if and which further interventions are needed. Our results indicate that during this pandemic these measures become even more important, also because lower coping self-efficacy levels were observed that increase the risk for mental health problems.Reference Luszczynska, Benight and Cieslak4,Reference Bosmans and van der Velden24

These findings stress the importance of securing the accessibility of mental healthcare services that was hindered during this pandemic because of social distancing measures, for instance, by providing virtual ‘walk-in’ clinics/victim services.Reference Matthewman, Spencer, Lavergne, McCracken and Hedden25 Importantly, as no significant differences between the two victim groups in lack of emotional support and social acknowledgement were found, it is not plausible to attribute the amplified risk to diminished social support levels. However, like in pre-pandemic times, victims more often lack emotional support than non-victims. It therefore remains equally important to address the lack of social support among victims.

Strength and limitations

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first comparative longitudinal study assessing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the mental health, coping self-efficacy and social support of victims of VATs. Major strengths are the use of a large longitudinal population-based random sample, the high response rates of each survey, the weighting of data to optimise the representativeness of the results, the use of validated questionnaires, analyses in which differences between both victim groups were controlled for, and the inclusion of non-victims assessed in the same period. However, some limitations need to be clarified.

Our study did not include children and adolescents, we did not examine the effects of this pandemic on respondents who were victimised by earlier potentially traumatic events such as adverse childhood experiences, and no clinical interviews were conducted to examine mental disorders among victims and non-victims. We have no information about the frequency of events. Given the aim of the present study, we did not focus on acute, life-threatening and catastrophic COVID-19-related events.Reference Norrholm, Zalta, Zoellner, Powers, Tull and Reist26,Reference Bridgland, Moeck, Green, Swain, Nayda and Matson27 In addition, we did not examine other relevant aspects of mental health such as burnout.

The main conclusions that can be drawn from the results is that adults victimised by VATs in the year following the outbreak of COVID-19 more often have post-traumatic stress symptoms, anxiety and depression symptoms, and general mental health problems, and had lower coping self-efficacy levels than those victimised before the outbreak.

Supplementary material

To view supplementary material for this article, please visit https://doi.org/10.1192/bjp.2021.226

Data availability

The data of the surveys in 2018, 2019, 2020 and 2021 of the VICTIMS study are, after registration, freely available from the LISS dataarchive (see https://www.dataarchive.lissdata.nl, in English, assembled study 208) for researchers, like all other studies conductedwith the LISS panel. The data of the survey conducted in 2021 will be added to the data archive soon.

Author contributions

P.G.v.d.V. and C.C. conceived and designed the study in collaboration with M.D. and L.W. The data analyses was performed by P.G.v.d.V. in cooperation with M.D. and L.W. All authors contributed to the data interpretation. P.G.v.d.V. wrote the first draft. All authors critically revised the first draft, and all authors approved the final version of the article to be published.

Funding

This study is funded by Fonds Slachtofferhulp, the Netherlands (50006/VICTIMS).

Declaration of interest

None.

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Figure 0

Table 1 Characteristic victims before and after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaka

Figure 1

Table 2 Characteristics non-victimsa

Figure 2

Table 3 Differences between victims before and victims after the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreaka

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