Acta Oeconomica Pragensia 2013, 21(3):68-85 | DOI: 10.18267/j.aop.405

Oil in Timor-Leste: A Ticket to Prosperity?

Jiøí Sıkora
Timor-Leste (juve616@yahoo.com).

Timor-Leste is currently the third newest member state of the United Nations, independent since 2002. It is also one of the poorest places on earth where life is extremely difficult: after prolonged fighting, physical infrastructure is virtually nonexistent, services such as health and education are of a low quality and not accessible in the mountainous interior, and a big part of the population lives in extreme poverty scraping just enough to survive. However, all this might change during the next decade(s). Timor-Leste not only has many problems but also a powerful tool for their solution: oil and gas reserves in the Timor Sea. Timor-Leste has had to fight just as hard for the rights to exploit its natural resources as it was fighting for its independence. Many pressing socio-economic problems are awaiting resolution but the country can use over $10 billion of oil revenue to address them. Institutions and instruments have been set up for efficient management of Timorese oil resources, but will the government really manage to spend the country's wealth wisely?

Keywords: international law, public administration, management of oil resources
JEL classification: E22, F51, H54

Published: June 1, 2013  Show citation

ACS AIP APA ASA Harvard Chicago IEEE ISO690 MLA NLM Turabian Vancouver
Sıkora, J. (2013). Oil in Timor-Leste: A Ticket to Prosperity? Acta Oeconomica Pragensia21(3), 68-85. doi: 10.18267/j.aop.405
Download citation

References

  1. AREZKI, R.; VAN DER PLOEG, F. Can the Natural Resource Curse Be Turned Into a Blessing? The Role of Trade Policies and Institutions [IMF Working Paper WP/07/55]. Washington, DC : IMF, 2007. Go to original source...
  2. BARTSCH, U. How Much Is Enough? Monte Carlo Simulations of Oil Stabilization Fund for Nigeria [IMF Working Paper WP/06/142]. Washington DC : IMF, 2006. Go to original source...
  3. CLEARY P Shakedown, Australia's Grab for Timor Oil. Allen Unwin, Crows Nest, 2007. ISBN 978-174114-926-5.
  4. COMMISSION FOR RECEPTION, TRUTH, AND RECONCILIATION (CAVR). Chega! The Report of the Commission for Reception, Truth, and Reconciliation Timor-Leste. Dili, Timor-Leste : CAVR, 2005.
  5. Corruption Perception Index2011. Berlin : Transparency International, 2011. ISBN 978-3-943497-18-2.
  6. DELOITTE. Timor-Leste Extractive Industry Transparency Initiative Report, 31 December 2009. Dili, 2010. http://eiti.org/countries.
  7. GUTERIANO, N.; SCHNEIDER, C. Oil in Timor-Leste. Dili : La'o Hamutuk, 2005. www.laohamutuk.org/ Oil/curse/OilInTLOilwatch.htm.
  8. HORTA, R. CNTR Statement on Timor Gap Oil. New York : ETAN, 1998.
  9. Human Development Report 2011. New York : UNDP 2011. ISBN 9780230363311.
  10. INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND. Democratic Republic of Timor-Leste: 2011 Article IV Consultation [IMF Country Report No. 12/24]. Washington, DC :IMF, 2012. Go to original source...
  11. LAGUE, D. Timor Plea to Revise Oil Treaty. Sydney Morning Herald. 2000, 8 May, p. 7.
  12. LEIGH, D.; OLTERS, J. P Natural-Resource Depletion, Habit Formation, and Sustainable Fiscal Policy: Lessons from Gabon [IMF working paper WP/06/193]. Washington, DC : IMF, 2006. Go to original source...
  13. MEGHIR, C. A Retrospective on Friedman's Theory of Permanent Income [WP04/01]. London : The Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2004. Go to original source...
  14. OOMES, N.; KALCHEVA, K. Diagnosing Dutch Disease: Does Russia Have the Symptoms? [IMF Working Paper WP/07/102]. Washington, DC : IMF, 2007. Go to original source...
  15. REPÚBLICA DEMOCRÁTICA DE TIMOR-LESTE. Strategic Development Plan 2011-2030. Dili : Gover-no de Timor-Leste, 2011. www.tls.searo.who.int/LinkFiles/Home_NATIONAL_STRATEGIC_DEVE-LOPMENT_PLAN_2011-2030.pdf.
  16. SACHS, J. D.; WARNER, A. M. Natural Resource Abundance and Economic Growth [NBER Working Paper No. 5398]. Cambridge, Mass. : National Bureau of Economic Research, 1995. Go to original source...
  17. SEGURA, A. Management of Oil Wealth under the Permanent Income Hypothesis: The Case of Sao Tomé and Príncipe [IMF Working Paper WP/06/183]. Washington, DC : IMF, 2006. Go to original source...
  18. SHABSIGH, G.; ILAHI, N. Looking Beyond the Fiscal: Do Oil Funds Bring Macroeconomic Stability? [IMF Working Paper WP/07/96]. Washington, DC : IMF, 2007. Go to original source...
  19. TAKIZAWA, H.; GARDNER, E. H.; UEDA, K. Are Developing Countries Better Off Spending Their Oil Wealth Upfront? [IMF Working Paper WP 04/141]. Washington, DC :IMF, 2004. Go to original source...
  20. The Global Competitiveness Report2011-2012. Geneva : World Economic Forum, 2011. ISBN 978-9295044-74-6.
  21. TIMOR POST. Primeiro Ministro Apresenta Coresaun Orsamentu 2012 iha Parlamentu Nasional. Timor Post. 2012, 12 October.
  22. UNITED NATIONS. The Convention on the Continental Shelf. Geneva : United Nations, 1958. http://untreaty.un.org/cod/diplomaticconferences/lawofthesea-1958/lawofthesea-1958.html.

This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0), which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original publication is properly cited. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.