Abstract
Introduction: Immunosuppressive therapy is required to prevent graft rejection. Calcineurin inhibitors such as tacrolimus are paradoxically toxic to the kidney, whereas sirolimus (rapamycin; Rapamune®) is not generally associated with the nephrotoxicity of CNIs. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the relative cost utility of sirolimus versus tacrolimus for the primary prevention of graft rejection in renal transplant recipients in the UK.
Methods: A stochastic simulation model was constructed using clinical trial and observational data comparing the two treatments. Time duration was up to 20 years. Costs were from a UK NHS perspective, valued at 2003 prices and discounted at 6%. Benefits were discounted at 1.5%. Simulated events included patient and graft survival, haemodialysis, peritoneal dialysis, re-transplants and acute rejection. Costs were summed for events and various maintenance therapies. Utility was differentially accredited depending upon survival and using the alternative renal replacement therapies. Outcome was predicted using post-transplant creatinine levels up to 3 years. Extensive statistical economic and sensitivity analyses were undertaken.
Results: Over the 10-year horizon, sirolimus gained 0.72 years (discounted) of functioning graft over tacrolimus, resulting in an incremental cost per year of functioning graft that was dominant. Over a 20-year time horizon, the cost effectiveness of sirolimus over tacrolimus further improved with an average discounted gain in years of a functioning graft of 1.8 years, resulting in an incremental cost-utility ratio that was also dominant. The number of haemodialysis events was 48 243 for sirolimus recipients versus 127 829 for those receiving tacrolimus and peritoneal dialysis events 40 872 versus 105 249, respectively. Similar values were obtained when real-life observational data on tacrolimus use in Cardiff, Wales were entered into the model. Using data from Cardiff, sirolimus remained dominant over tacrolimus under all scenarios.
Conclusion: Our study suggests that sirolimus may be more cost effective than tacrolimus for the primary prevention of graft rejection in renal transplant recipients in the UK. Sirolimus was economically ‘dominant’ under almost all scenarios investigated. This finding was robust using statistical economic analysis and univariate sensitivity analysis.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
The use of trade names is for product identification purposes only and does not imply endorsement.
References
Irish W, Sherrill B, Brennan DC, et al. Three-year post transplant graft survival in renal-transplant patients with graft function at 6 months receiving tacrolimus or cyclosporine microemulsion within a triple-drug regimen. Transplantation 2003; 76: 1686–90
Johnson C, Ahsan N, Gonwa T, et al. Randomized trial of tacrolimus (Prograf) in combination with azathioprine or mycophenolate mofetil versus cyclosporine (Neoral) with mycophenolate mofetil after cadaveric kidney transplantation. Transplantation 2000; 69: 834–41
Kaplan B, Schold JD, Meier-Kriesche HU. Long-term graft survival with neoral and tacrolimus: a paired kidney analysis. J Am Soc Nephrol 2003; 14: 2980–4
Gonwa T, Johnson C, Ahsan N, et al. Randomized trial of tacrolimus + mycophenolate mofetil or azathioprine versus cyclosporine + mycophenolate mofetil after cadaveric kidney transplantation: results at three years. Transplantation 2003; 75: 2048–53
Jurewicz WA. Tacrolimus versus cyclosporin immunosuppression: long-term outcome in renal transplantation. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2003; 18 Suppl. 1: i7–11
Bunnapradist S, Daswani A, Takemoto SK. Graft survival following living-donor renal transplantation: a comparison of tacrolimus and cyclosporine microemulsion with mycophenolate mofetil and steroids. Transplantation 2003; 76: 10–5
Henry ML. Cyclosporine and tacrolimus (FK506: a comparison of efficacy and safety profiles. Clin Transplant 1999; 13: 209–20
Podbielski J, Schoenberg L. Use of sirolimus in kidney transplantation. Prog Transplant 2001; 11: 29–32
Morelon E, Mamzer-Bruneel MF, Peraldi MN, et al. Sirolimus: a new promising immunosuppressive drug: towards a rationale for its use in renal transplantation. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2001; 16: 18–20
National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence. NICE guidelines on renal transplant immunosuppression [online]. Available from URL: http://www.nice.org.uk/ page.aspx?.o=221103 [Accessed 2005 Jun 15]
National Kidney Federation. Transplantation and live donors [online]. Available from URL: http://www.kidney.org.uk/ campaigns/Transplantation/ukt-press-dec03.htm1 [Accessed 2005 Oct 27]
Buxton MJ, Drummond MF, Van Hour BA, et al. Modelling in economic evaluation: an unavoidable fact of life. Health Econ 1997; 6: 217–27
Kamon J. Alternative decision modelling techniques for the evaluation of health care technologies: markov processes versus discrete event simulation. Health Econ 2003; 12: 837–48
Gentil MA, Cantarell Aixendri C, Gonzalez Roncero FM, et al. Impact of the new drugs in the cost of maintenance immunosuppression of renal transplantation: is it justified? Nephrol Dial Transplant 2004; 19 Suppl. 3: III77–82
Gonzalez Molina M, Sola E, Cabello M, et al. Effect of the immunosuppressive treatment on long-term renal graft survival. Nephrol Dial Transplant 2004; 19 Suppl. 3: III52–56
Douglas R. Department of Health (UK). Discount rates and the cost of capital -EL (97) 71 [online]. Available from URL: http://www.dh.gov.uk//assetRoot/04/01/13/61/04011361.pdf [Accessed 2005 Jun 18]
West RR, McNabb R, Thompson AG, et al. Estimating implied rates of discounting in health care decision making. Health Technol Assess 2003; 7: 1–60
McEwan P, Keshwar B, Dixon S, et al. Patterns of graft and patient survival following renal transplantation and evaluation of serum creatinine as a predictor of survival: a review of data collected from one clinical centre over 34 years. Curr Med Res Opin 2005; 21 (11): 1793–1800
Oberbauer R, Kreis H, Johnson RW, et al. Rapamune Maintenance Regimen Study Group. Long-term improvement in renal function with sirolimus after early cyclosporine withdrawal in renal transplant recipients: 2-year results of the Rapamune Maintenance Regimen Study. Transplantation 2003; 76: 364–70
Rogers J, Ashcraft EE, Emovon OE, et al. Long-term outcome of sirolimus rescue in kidney-pancreas transplantation. Transplantation 2004; 78: 619–22
Kiberd BA. Should hepatitis C-infected kidneys be transplanted in the United States? Transplantation 1994; 57: 1068–72
Laupacis A, Keown P, Pus N, et al. A study of the quality of life and cost utility of renal transplantation. Kidney Int 1996; 50: 235–42
Gudex CM. Health-related quality of life in end-stage renal failure. Qual Life Res 1995; 4: 359–66
Department of Health. NHS costing manual: detailed guide to costing for NHS providers and commissioners [online]. Available from URL: http://www.dh.gov.uk/PolicyAndGuidance/ OrganisationPolicy/FinanceAndPlanning/NHSCostingManual /fs/en [Accessed 2004 May 1]
British National Formulary [online]. Available from URL: www.bnf.org. [Accessed 2004 May 1]
Parlevliet KJ, ten Berge RJ, Raasveld MH, et al. Low-dose OKT3 induction therapy following renal transplantation: a controlled study. Nephrol Dial Transplant 1994; 9: 698–703
Hariharan S, McBride MA, Cherikh WS, et al. Post-transplant renal function in the first year predicts long-term kidney transplant survival. Kidney Int 2002; 62: 311–8
Friedman PJ. Serum creatinine: an independent predictor of survival after stroke. J Intern Med 1991; 229: 175–9
Ferrara JJ, Wanamaker S, Carey LC. Preoperative serum creatinine as a predictor of survival in perforated gastroduodenal ulcer. Am Surg 1985; 51: 551–5
Carter JT, Lee CM, Weinstein RJ, et al. Evaluation of the older cadaveric kidney donor: the impact of donor hypertension and creatinine clearance on graft performance and survival. Transplantation 2000; 70: 765–71
Cecka JM. Outcome statistics of renal transplants with an emphasis on long-term survival. Clin Transplant 1994; 8: 324–7
Flechner SM, Modlin CS, Serrano DP, et al. Determinants of chronic renal allograft rejection in cyclosporine-treated recipients. Transplantation 1996; 62: 1235–41
Zuckermann A, Plotter M, Czemy M, et al. Even slightly impaired kidney function (creatinine >1.79 MMOL/L) one year after cardiac transplantation has a negative impact on long term survival. J Heart Lung Transplant 2001; 20: 206
Laskow DA, Neylan JF, Shapiro RS, et al. The role of tacrolimus in adult kidney transplantation: a review. Clin Transplant 1998; 12: 489–503
Gordois A, Mudge M, Davey P, et al. The cost-effectiveness of sirolimus with cyclosporin withdrawal versus low dose sirolimus and continued cyclosporin when initiated within four months of renal transplantation [abstract]. Value Health 2004; 7: 364
Acknowledgements
This study was funded by Wyeth UK, the manufacturer of sirolimus. Pete Conway is a salaried employee of Wyeth UK. The authors declare that they have no other conflict of interest.
Phil McEwan developed the simulation model and undertook much of the analysis.
Simon Dixon designed the study and co-wrote first draft.
Keshwar Baboolal provided clinical input for the study.
Pete Conway commissioned and co-designed the study and commented on various drafts.
Craig Currie designed the study, had overall responsibility for the study, and wrote the first draft and subsequent redrafts.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
McEwan, P., Dixon, S., Baboolal, K. et al. Evaluation of the cost effectiveness of sirolimus versus tacrolimus for immunosuppression following renal transplantation in the UK. Pharmacoeconomics 24, 67–79 (2006). https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200624010-00006
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.2165/00019053-200624010-00006