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Accepted for/Published in: JMIR mHealth and uHealth

Date Submitted: May 11, 2020
Date Accepted: Sep 8, 2020

The final, peer-reviewed published version of this preprint can be found here:

The Utility of Predicting Hospitalizations Among Patients With Heart Failure Using mHealth: Observational Study

Cartledge S, Maddison R, Sara V, Falls R, Tumur O, Hopper I, Neil C

The Utility of Predicting Hospitalizations Among Patients With Heart Failure Using mHealth: Observational Study

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth 2020;8(12):e18496

DOI: 10.2196/18496

PMID: 33350962

PMCID: 7785406

Warning: This is an author submission that is not peer-reviewed or edited. Preprints - unless they show as "accepted" - should not be relied on to guide clinical practice or health-related behavior and should not be reported in news media as established information.

Can patient reported symptom data be used to predict hospitalisations for heart failure patients through mHealth? A pilot observational study.

  • Susie Cartledge; 
  • Ralph Maddison; 
  • Vogrin Sara; 
  • Roman Falls; 
  • Odgerel Tumur; 
  • Ingrid Hopper; 
  • Christopher Neil

ABSTRACT

Background:

Heart failure (HF) decompensation is a major driver of hospitalisations and represents a significant burden to the health care system. Identifying those at greatest risk of admission can allow for targeted interventions to reduce this risk.

Objective:

To compare the predictive value of objective and subjective HF symptoms on imminent HF decompensation and subsequent hospitalisation within a 30-day period.

Methods:

A prospective observational pilot study was conducted. People living at home with HF were recruited from a single-centre HF outpatient clinic. Objective (blood pressure, heart rate, weight, B-type Natriuretic Peptide) and subjective (four HF symptoms, scored for severity on a 5-point Likert scale) were collected twice weekly for a 30-day period.

Results:

A total of 29 participants (median age 79 years, 62% male) completed the study. Ten participants (34.5%) were hospitalised as a result of HF during the study period. For objective data, only heart rate exhibited a between group difference, however was non-significant for variability (P = 0.71). Subjective symptom scores provided better prediction, specifically the highest precision of HF hospitalisation was observed when HF patients experienced severe dyspnoea, orthopnoea and benopnoea on any given day (AUC 0.77, sensitivity 83%, specificity 73%).

Conclusions:

The use of subjective symptom reporting on a 5-point Likert scale provides a simple and low cost predication of HF decompensation and imminent hospitalisation risk. The collection of symptom data could be augmented by the use of ecological momentary assessment of self-reported symptoms collected via mobile health (mHealth).


 Citation

Please cite as:

Cartledge S, Maddison R, Sara V, Falls R, Tumur O, Hopper I, Neil C

The Utility of Predicting Hospitalizations Among Patients With Heart Failure Using mHealth: Observational Study

JMIR Mhealth Uhealth 2020;8(12):e18496

DOI: 10.2196/18496

PMID: 33350962

PMCID: 7785406

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© The authors. All rights reserved. This is a privileged document currently under peer-review/community review (or an accepted/rejected manuscript). Authors have provided JMIR Publications with an exclusive license to publish this preprint on it's website for review and ahead-of-print citation purposes only. While the final peer-reviewed paper may be licensed under a cc-by license on publication, at this stage authors and publisher expressively prohibit redistribution of this draft paper other than for review purposes.

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