Skip to main content
SpringerLink
Log in

Temperature and Humidity Regime Changes on the Black Sea Coast in 1982-2014

  • Published:
Russian Meteorology and Hydrology Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Specific features of climate change in the Black Sea and on its northeastern coast for the period of 1982-2014 are investigated based on weather station data, ERA-Interim reanalysis, and satellite data on sea surface temperature. The main trends in air temperature and precipitation are revealed from weather station data and are compared with reanalysis data. The spatial peculiarities of variations in air temperature, integrated water vapor, moisture flux divergence, CAPE, and vertical velocity are analyzed. It is shown that air temperature variations on the coast highly correlate with sea surface temperature. In general, surface air temperature in the region has risen, especially in summer. Despite the increase in integrated water vapor and CAPE, no statistically significant increase was revealed for the mean amount of precipitation, for its intensity and maximum values. This fact might be associated with the moisture flux divergence increase in the region due to the intensification of large-scale downdrafts.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  1. B. P. Alisov, Climate of the USSR (MGU, Moscow, 1956) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  2. O. N. Bulygina, V. N. Razuvaev, and T. M. Aleksandrova, Description of the Dataset ofDaily Air Temperature and Precipitation for Weather Stations of Russia and the Former USSR (TTTR), Database State Registration Certificate No. 2014620942.

  3. G. V. Gruza, E. Ya. Ran'kova, and T. V. Platova, “Assessment of Seasonal Features of Regional Manifestations of Global Climate Change,” in Problems of Ecological Monitoring and Ecosystem Modeling, Vol. 23 (2010) [in Russian].

  4. V. V. Efimov, E. M. Volodin, A. E. Anisimov, and V. S. Barabanov, “Regional Climate Projections for the Black Sea Region in the Late 21st Century,” Morskoi Gidrofizicheskii Zhurnal, No. 5 (2015) [in Russian].

  5. A. A. Isaev, Statistics in Meteorology and Climatology (MGU, Moscow, 1988) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  6. A. V. Kislov, Climate in the Past, Present, and Future (MAIK Nauka/Interperiodika, Moscow, 2001) [in Russian].

    Google Scholar 

  7. T. A. Matveeva, D. Yu. Gushchina, and O. G. Zolina, “Large-scale Indicators of Extreme Precipitation in Coastal Natural-economic Zones of the European Part of Russia,” Meteorol. Gidrol., No. 11 (2015) [Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol., No. 11, 40 (2015)].

  8. I. I. Mokhov and M. G. Akperov, “Tropospheric Lapse Rate and Its Relation to Surface Temperature from Reanalysis Data,” Izv. Akad. Nauk, Fiz. Atmos. Okeana, No. 4, 42 (2006) [Izv., Atmos. Oceanic Phys., No. 4, 42 (2006)].

  9. S. A. Myslenkov and V. S. Arkhipkin, “Analysis of Wind Waves in the Tsemes Bay of the Black Sea Using the SWAN Model,” Trudy Gidromettsentra Rossii, No. 350 (2013) [in Russian].

  10. A. A. Shestakova, K. B. Moiseenko, and P. A. Toropov, “Hydrodynamic Aspects of the Novorossiysk Bora Episodes in 2012-2013,” Izv. Akad. Nauk, Fiz. Atmos. Okeana, No. 5, 51 (2015) [Izv., Atmos. Oceanic Phys., No. 5, 51 (2015)].

  11. N. Alexeevsky, D. V. Magritsky, K. P. Koltermann, I. Krylenko, and P. Toropov, “Causes and Systematics of Inundations of the Krasnodar Territory on the Russian Black Sea Coast,” Natural Hazards and Earth System Sci., No. 6, 16 (2016).

    Google Scholar 

  12. L. Bengtsson, K. I. Hodges, and E. Roeckner, “Storm Tracks and Climate Change,” J. Climate, No. 15, 19 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

  13. A. E. Croitoru, B. C. Chiotoroiu, V. I. Todorova, and V. Torica, “Changes in Precipitation Extremes on the Black Sea Western Coast,” Global and Planetary Change, 102 (2013).

  14. D. P. Dee, S. M. Uppala, A. J. Simmons, P. Berrisford, P. Poli, S. Kobayashi, U. Andrae, M. A. Balmaseda, G. Balsamo, P. Bauer, P. Bechtold, A. C. M. Beljaars, L. van de Berg, J. Bidlot, N. Bormann, C. Delsol, R. Dragani, M. Fuentes, A. J. Geer, L. Haimberger, S. B. Healy, H. Hersbach, E. V. Hylm, L. Isaksen, P. Kellberg, M. Kohler, M. Matricardi, A. P. McNally, B. M. Monge-Sanz, J.-J. Morcrette, B.-K. Park, C. Peubey, P. de Rosnay, C. Tavolato, J.-N. Thepaut, and F. Vitart, “The ERA-Interim Reanalysis: Configuration and Performance of the Data Assimilation System,” Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., No. 656, 137 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  15. J. R. Holton and G. J. Hakim, An Introduction to Dynamic Meteorology (Academic Press, New York, 2012).

    Google Scholar 

  16. R. D. Hudson, M. F. Andrade, M. B. Follette, and A. D. Frolov, “The Total Ozone Field Separated into Meteorological Regimes. Part II: Northern Hemisphere Mid-latitude Total Ozone Trends,” Atmos. Chem. Phys., No. 12, 6 (2006).

    Google Scholar 

  17. P. Jones and I. Harris, CRU TS3.21: Climatic Research Unit (CRU) Time-series (TS) Version 3.21 of High Resolution Gridded Data of Month-by-month Variation in Climate (Jan. 1901-Dec. 2012) (NCAS British Atmospheric Data Centre, 2013).

    Google Scholar 

  18. G. Lenderink and E. van Meijgaard, “Increase in Hourly Precipitation Extremes beyond Expectations from Temperature Changes,” Nature Geosci., No. 8, 1 (2008).

    Google Scholar 

  19. J. Lu, G. A. Vecchi, and T. Reichler, “Expansion of the Hadley Cell under Global Warming,” Geophys. Res. Lett., No. 6, 34 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  20. E. P. Meredith, V. A. Semenov, D. Maraun, W. Park, and A. V. Chernokulsky, “Crucial Role of Black Sea Warming in Amplifying the 2012 Krymsk Precipitation Extreme,” Nature Geosci., No. 8, 8 (2015).

    Google Scholar 

  21. S.-K. Min, X. Zhang, F. W. Zwiers, and G. C. Hegerl, “Human Contribution to More-intense Precipitation Extremes,” Nature, No. 7334, 470 (2011).

    Google Scholar 

  22. M. W. Moncrieff and M. J. Miller, “The Dynamics and Simulation of Tropical Cumulonimbus and Squall Lines,” Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., No. 432, 102 (1976).

    Google Scholar 

  23. R. W. Reynolds, T. M. Smith, C. Liu, D. B. Chelton, K. S. Casey, and M. G. Schlax, “Daily High-resolution Blended Analyses for Sea Surface Temperature,” J. Climate, No. 22, 20 (2007).

    Google Scholar 

  24. V. Semenov and L. Bengtsson, “Secular Trends in Daily Precipitation Characteristics: Greenhouse Gas Simulation with a Coupled AOGCM,” Climate Dynamics, No. 2, 19 (2002).

    Google Scholar 

  25. A. J. Simmons, K. M. Willett, P. D. Jones, P. W. Thorne, and D. P. Dee, “Low-frequency Variations in Surface Atmospheric Humidity, Temperature, and Precipitation: Inferences from Reanalyses and Monthly Gridded Observational Data Sets,” J. Geophys. Res., 115 (2010).

  26. "IPCC, 2013: Summary for Policymakers," in Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Ed. by T. F. Stocker, D. Qin, G.-K. Plattner, M. Tignor, S. K. Allen, J. Boschung, A. Nauels, Y. Xia, V. Bex, and P. M. Midgley (Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA, 2013).

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991, Russia

    M. A. Aleshina & P. A. Toropov

  2. Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Staromonetnyi per. 29, Moscow, 119017, Russia

    M. A. Aleshina, P. A. Toropov & V. A. Semenov

  3. Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Pyzhevskii per. 3, Moscow, 119017, Russia

    M. A. Aleshina & V. A. Semenov

Authors
  1. M. A. Aleshina
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. P. A. Toropov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  3. V. A. Semenov
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to M. A. Aleshina.

Additional information

Original Russian Text © M.A. Aleshina, P.A. Toropov, V.A. Semenov, 2018, published in Meteorologiya i Gidrologiya, 2018, No. 4, pp. 41-53.

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Aleshina, M.A., Toropov, P.A. & Semenov, V.A. Temperature and Humidity Regime Changes on the Black Sea Coast in 1982-2014. Russ. Meteorol. Hydrol. 43, 235–244 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373918040040

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373918040040

Keywords

Search

Navigation