신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석

@article{ART002391906},
author={ 김현구 and 김진영 and 김창기 },
title={신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석},
journal={풍력에너지저널},
issn={2093-5099},
year={2018},
volume={9},
number={3},
pages={13-18},
doi={10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002},
url={http://dx.doi.org/10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002}

TY - JOUR
AU - 김현구
AU - 김진영
AU - 김창기
TI - 신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석
T2 - 풍력에너지저널
PY - 2018
VL - 9
IS - 3
PB - 한국풍력에너지학회
SP - 13-18
SN - 2093-5099
AB - A statistical analysis of the power generation records of the Sinan Wind Power Plant located on the coast of Korea on the South Sea was carried out for an overview of ramp characteristics. It was found that up-ramp and down-ramp showed similar patterns such as the same probability of occurrence and ramp rate distribution. The probability of a significant ramp event exceeding 30 % of the nameplate capacity of the wind power plant was 0.6 %, 1.5 %, and 3.3 % for intervals of 1 min, 10 min, and 1 hour, respectively. In a comparative analysis to confirm whether numerical weather prediction can be used for a ramp diagnosis or forecasting, the reliability of the prediction was poor, although the prediction accuracy of wind speed was high at R2=0.72. Therefore, it was confirmed that the accuracy improvement of short-term prediction is an important issue for ramp forecasting using a numerical weather prediction model.
KW - 증감발, 증감발률, 신안풍력발전소
DO - 10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002
ER -

김현구 , 김진영 and 김창기 (2018). 신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석. 풍력에너지저널, 9( 3), 13- 18.

김현구 , 김진영 and 김창기 . 2018, “신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석”, 풍력에너지저널, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 13-18. Available from: doi:10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002

김현구 김진영 et al. 김창기 “신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석” 풍력에너지저널 9.3 pp. 13-18 (2018): 13.

김현구 , 김진영 , 김창기 . 신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석 풍력에너지저널 [Internet]. 2018; 9( 3), : 13-18. Available from: doi:10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002

김현구 , 김진영 and 김창기 . “신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석” 풍력에너지저널 9, no.3 (2018): 13-18. doi: 10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002

홈 권호 목록 논문 목록 논문 상세

신안풍력발전소의 증감발 특성 분석

풍력에너지저널

약어 : -

2018, vol.9, no.3, pp.13 - 18

DOI : 10.33519/kwea.2018.9.3.002

발행기관 : 한국풍력에너지학회

연구분야 : 기타공학

김현구¹ , 김진영² , 김창기³

¹한국에너지기술연구원

²한국에너지기술연구원

³한국에너지기술연구원

인용한 논문 수 : 2 서지 간략 보기

초록

A statistical analysis of the power generation records of the Sinan Wind Power Plant located on the coast of Korea on the South Sea was carried out for an overview of ramp characteristics. It was found that up-ramp and down-ramp showed similar patterns such as the same probability of occurrence and ramp rate distribution. The probability of a significant ramp event exceeding 30 % of the nameplate capacity of the wind power plant was 0.6 %, 1.5 %, and 3.3 % for intervals of 1 min, 10 min, and 1 hour, respectively. In a comparative analysis to confirm whether numerical weather prediction can be used for a ramp diagnosis or forecasting, the reliability of the prediction was poor, although the prediction accuracy of wind speed was high at R2=0.72. Therefore, it was confirmed that the accuracy improvement of short-term prediction is an important issue for ramp forecasting using a numerical weather prediction model.

키워드

증감발, 증감발률, 신안풍력발전소

참고문헌(15)

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