@article{ART001308711},
author={
남종오
and
백은영
and
한병세
},
title={
Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석
},
journal={
해양정책연구
},
issn={1225-0341},
year={2008},
number={2},
pages={79 - 104},
doi={10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003},
url={http://dx.doi.org/10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003}
TY - JOUR
AU - 남종오
AU - 백은영
AU - 한병세
TI - Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석
T2 - 해양정책연구
PY - 2008
VL - 23
IS - 2
PB - 한국해양수산개발원
SP - 79 - 104
SN - 1225-0341
AB - This paper provides the estimation of flounder demand function in Japan, using Nerlove's partial adjustment model in order to forecast short- and long-term changes in flounder consumed in Japan. To estimate the flounder demand function, this paper uses several econometrics methods. First of all, to solve problems of endogenous lag variables related with a dependent variable, this paper uses the Nerlove's partial adjustment model rather than the Koyck's model, the Cagan's adaptive expectation model, and compound geometric lag model of the Nerlove and the Cagan, and etc. Secondly, to cure problems of autocorrelation between error terms, this paper transforms the Nerlove's partial adjustment model through the Cochrane-Orcutt Iterative Method. Thirdly, to forecast short-and long-term demand quantities of flounder in Japan from the Nerlove's model transformed, this paper uses a forecasting equation, using price and income elasticities, increasing rates of population, price, and income, and autocorrelation coefficient(). The results suggests that in short-term, Japanese flounder demand quantities will stay in the current level or very slightly increase, but in long-term, the quantities will increase by 2.73%.
KW - Nerlove's Partial Adjustment Model, Japanese Flounder Demand Function, Cochrane-Orcutt Iterative Method, Correlogram and Q-statistics
DO - 10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003
ER -
남종오
,
백은영
and
한병세
(2008).
Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석.
해양정책연구,
23(2),
79 - 104.
남종오
,
백은영
and
한병세
. 2008,
“Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석”,
vol.23,
no.2,
pp. 79 - 104.
Available from: doi:10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003
남종오
외.
“Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석“
해양정책연구
23.2
pp. 79 - 104.
(2008): 79.
남종오
,
백은영
,
한병세
.
Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석
해양정책연구
[Internet].
2008;
23(2),
:
79 - 104.
Available from: doi:10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003
남종오
,
백은영
and
한병세
. “Nerlove 부분조정모형을 이용한 일본의 넙치 수요 분석“
해양정책연구
23, no.2,
(2008): 79 - 104. doi: :10.35372/kmiopr.2008.23.2.003