JCEEES

JCEEES aims to publish original articles covering the theoretical foundations of major computer, electronic and electrical engineering sciences, as well as academic, commercial and educational aspects that propose new ideas for the application and design of artificial intelligence, software and information systems. In addition to wide-ranging regular topics, JCEEES also makes it a principle to include special topics covering specific topics in all areas of interest mainly in computational medicine, artificial intelligence, computer science, and electrical & electronic engineering science.

Index
Original Article
Investigation of financial applications with blockchain technology
Aims: This article investigates recent advancements in machine learning and blockchain technology for cryptocurrency price prediction. The study presents a ML system using various techniques applied to six different datasets. The findings highlight that simpler models can outperform complex ones in predicting cryptocurrency prices.
Methods: The methods used in this study include applying diverse ML techniques such as LSTM, CNN, SVM, KNN, XGBoost, Astro ML, LASSO, RIDGE, linear regression, DT, and GP on six cryptocurrency datasets to predict prices.
Results: The research evaluated various machine learning techniques for predicting cryptocurrency prices and reported the following RMSE values: Bitcoin prediction using Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression yielded an RMSE of 0.17, while Dogecoin prediction with linear regression resulted in an RMSE of 0.032. Ethereum price prediction using Gaussian regression achieved an RMSE of 0.02. For USD Coin, a combination of XGBoost, Gaussian regression, and Ridge techniques led to an RMSE of 0.014. Binance Coin price prediction using Gaussian regression had an RMSE of 0.032, and finally, Cardano Coin prediction employing LSTM reached an RMSE of 0.059.
Conclusion: This study demonstrated the effectiveness of various machine learning techniques in predicting cryptocurrency prices. It revealed that simpler models can outperform complex ones in certain cases. The research contributes valuable insights to the field and can guide future work in cryptocurrency price prediction. The proposed model achieved promising results as evaluated by the RMSE metric.


1. Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost. Proceedings of the 22ndACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discoveryand Data Mining, 785-794. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939785
2. Gowda, N., & Chakravorty, C. (2021). Comparative study oncryptocurrency transaction and banking transaction. GlobalTransitions Proceedings, 2(2), 530-534. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gltp.2021.08.064
3. Gundlach, R., Gijsbers, M., Koops, D., & Resing, J. (2021). Predictingconfirmation times of Bitcoin transactions. ACM SIGMETRICSPerformance Evaluation Review, 48(4), 16-19. https://doi.org/10.1145/3466826.3466833
4. Hitam, N. A., & Ismail, A. R. (2018). Comparative Performance ofMachine Learning Algorithms for Cryptocurrency Forecasting.Indonesian Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science,11(3), 1121. https://doi.org/10.11591/ijeecs.v11.i3.pp1121-1128
5. Ho, A., Vatambeti, R., & Ravichandran, S. K. (2021). Bitcoin PricePrediction Using Machine Learning and Artificial Neural NetworkModel. Indian Journal of Science and Technology, 14(27), 2300-2308.https://doi.org/10.17485/IJST/v14i27.878
6. Hoerl, A. E., & Kennard, R. W. (1970). Ridge Regression: Applicationsto Nonorthogonal Problems. Technometrics, 12(1), 69-82. https://doi.org/10.1080/00401706.1970.10488635
7. Hu, B., Lu, Z., Li, H., & Chen, Q. (2015). Convolutional NeuralNetwork Architectures for Matching Natural Language Sentences.http://arxiv.org/abs/1503.03244
8. Jagannath, N., Barbulescu, T., Sallam, K. M., Elgendi, I., Okon, A.A., Mcgrath, B., Jamalipour, A., & Munasinghe, K. (2021). A Self-Adaptive Deep Learning-Based Algorithm for Predictive Analysis ofBitcoin Price. IEEE Access, 9, 34054-34066. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2021.3061002
9. Kim, H.-M., Bock, G.-W., & Lee, G. (2021a). Predicting Ethereumprices with machine learning based on Blockchain information.Expert Systems with Applications, 184, 115480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115480
10. Kim, H.-M., Bock, G.-W., & Lee, G. (2021b). Predicting Ethereumprices with machine learning based on Blockchain information.Expert Systems with Applications, 184, 115480. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eswa.2021.115480
11. Koops, D. (2018). Predicting the confirmation time of Bitcointransactions. http://arxiv.org/abs/1809.10596
12. Lahmiri, S., & Bekiros, S. (2019). Cryptocurrency forecasting withdeep learning chaotic neural networks. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals,118, 35-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2018.11.014
13. Noble, W. S. (2006). What is a support vector machine? NatureBiotechnology, 24(12), 1565-1567. https://doi.org/10.1038/nbt1206-1565
14. Pabuçcu, H., Ongan, S., & Ongan, A. (2020). Forecasting themovements of Bitcoin prices: an application of machine learningalgorithms. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 4(4), 679-692.https://doi.org/10.3934/QFE.2020031
15. Park, T., & Casella, G. (2008). The Bayesian Lasso. Journal of theAmerican Statistical Association, 103(482), 681-686. https://doi.org/10.1198/016214508000000337
16. Peterson, L. (2009). K-nearest neighbor. Scholarpedia, 4(2), 1883.https://doi.org/10.4249/scholarpedia.1883
17. Quinlan, J. R. (1986). Induction of decision trees. Machine Learning,1(1), 81-106. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00116251
18. Quiñonero, J., Quiñonero-Candela, Q., Rasmussen, C. E., & De, C.M. (2005). A Unifying View of Sparse Approximate Gaussian ProcessRegression. In Journal of Machine Learning Research (Vol. 6).
19. Rahouti, M., Xiong, K., & Ghani, N. (2018). Bitcoin Concepts, Threats,and Machine-Learning Security Solutions. IEEE Access, 6, 67189-67205. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2018.2874539
20. VanderPlas, J., Connolly, A. J., Ivezic, Z., & Gray, A. (2012).Introduction to astroML: Machine learning for astrophysics. 2012Conference on Intelligent Data Understanding, 47-54. https://doi.org/10.1109/CIDU.2012.6382200
21. Weisberg, S. (2005). Applied Linear Regression. John Wiley & Sons,Inc. https://doi.org/10.1002/0471704091
22. Yogeshwaran, S., Kaur, M. J., & Maheshwari, P. (2019). Project BasedLearning: Predicting Bitcoin Prices using Deep Learning. 2019 IEEEGlobal Engineering Education Conference (EDUCON), 1449-1454.https://doi.org/10.1109/EDUCON.2019.8725091
Volume 1, Issue 1, 2023
Page : 10-14
_Footer